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Burton Albion vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Joseph King | in League One Predictions
Matchday 21 in the English League One sees seventh-place Derby taking on 23rd-place Burton Albion at the Pirelli Stadium on Saturday. The visitors are on a run of six league matches unbeaten with their most recent result a 0-0 draw against Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. However, Derby have found it difficult to turn their draws into wins, managing only two victories over that stretch of games. The Rams now hold a record of eight wins, six draws and five defeats, putting them on 30 points and trailing sixth-place Peterborough by just a single point. They’ll face off against a struggling Burton side that look set for a relegation battle as we near the halfway point of the season. The Brewers have just three wins from their 20 matches in the 2022/23 campaign, drawing another six while losing 11. This puts Burton on 15 points, second-from bottom and tying them with two other teams for the lowest points total in the division.
In what will be seen as a golden opportunity to get back to winning ways against one of the division’s worst teams, Derby will have to show more bite on the offensive side of the ball if they are to walk away with the three points on Saturday. The Rams have now failed to score in their last two league matches, although did manage to score two against Newport and five against Torquay United in their two FA Cup matches over the past three weeks. Working in the visitors favor is the fact that Burton have been kept off the scoresheet in half of their home matches this season, failing to score in five of their 10 matches at the Pirelli Stadium. They will also have to take advantage of coming up against the league’s worst defense as Burton have conceded a league high 41 goals while managing to keep just two clean sheets from their 20 matches so far.
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Burton Albion vs Derby County Form
Burton Albion and Derby County's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
76 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 21 |
|
15
|
56 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | -22 |
Burton Albion and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
19 Nov 2022 - League One
29 Oct 2019 - Carabao Cup
23 Jan 2019 - Carabao Cup
9 Jan 2019 - Carabao Cup
18 Dec 2018 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
19 Nov 2022 - League One
29 Oct 2019 - Carabao Cup
23 Jan 2019 - Carabao Cup
30 Oct 2018 - Carabao Cup
17 Nov 2017 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2019 - Carabao Cup
18 Dec 2018 - Carabao Cup
30 Mar 2018 - Championship
19 Nov 2016 - Championship
29 Oct 2016 - Championship
24 Sep 2016 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2022 - League One
15 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
6 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
9 Aug 2022 - Carabao Cup
15 Apr 2022 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
15 Apr 2022 - Championship
30 Jan 2022 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
29 Nov 2021 - Championship
28 Aug 2021 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2022 - League One
9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
6 Nov 2022 - FA Cup
9 Aug 2022 - Carabao Cup
2 Feb 2022 - Championship
3 Jan 2022 - Championship
Players list
B. Garratt
DefenderC. Borthwick-Jackson
T. Hamer
C. Ndaba
J. Brayford
A. Oshilaja
MidfielderS. Hughes
T. Taylor
ForwardV. Adeboyejo
J. Dodoo
B. Kamwa
J. Wildsmith
DefenderC. Forsyth
E. Cashin
MidfielderK. Smith
C. Hourihane
M. Bird
L. Sibley
ForwardJ. Collins
D. McGoldrick
T. Barkhuizen
L. Dobbin
Substitutes
J. Kean
DefenderA. Mariappa
MidfielderM. Carayol
T. Onyango
C. Lakin
C. Butcher
ForwardD. Keillor-Dunn
S. Loach
DefenderC. Davies
H. Roberts
MidfielderL. Thompson
N. Mendez Laing
J. Knight
ForwardW. Osula
Most goals and assists
Burton Albion
Derby County
A. Oshilaja
(7 Goals)
D. McGoldrick
(24 Goals)
Burton Albion - Derby County Key Points
- Derby has won two of the last three away matches across all competitions.
- Burton has conceded 12 goals in the last five League One matches, for an average of 2.4 goals per match.
- Derby has kept four clean sheets over the last six matches, which includes holding Liverpool to a 0-0 draw at Anfield.
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Our Burton Albion vs Derby County Prediction
We’re going to back Derby to get the three points in this match. Burton have been simply shambolic on the defensive side of the ball this season, giving up an average of just over two goals per game. Derby will have to take advantage of their much weaker opposition if they are to boost their position in the playoff as we approach the midway mark of the league season. Expect the Rams to continue their solid defensive form in this match while having enough to get on the score sheet against the league’s worst defense.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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