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Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
The EFL Championship matchday 27 on Friday at the Turf Moor brings an intriguing top-four battle between Burnley and Sunderland. This match between the 2nd-placed Clarets and the 4th-placed Black Cats, separated by just two points, comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Burnley has 52 points and Sunderland 50, with the two teams chasing automatic promotion that’s reserved for the top two spots. The hosts are one point behind leaders Leeds but have the best defensive record of the campaign with only nine goals conceded.
The Clarets defeated Reading 3-1 in extra time in the FA Cup away from home last weekend. They had a 1-0 win over Blackburn away from home in their last league match, extending their unbeaten run to 13 league matches.
The record is equally impressive at home, as Burnley is unbeaten in 12 league games this season at this venue, winning and drawing six times each.
Sunderland was beaten 2-1 at home by Stoke, also in extra time, in their FA Cup match last weekend. They had a 2-1 win over Sheffield United and a 1-0 win over Portsmouth in their last two league matches, both at home.
The away record needs improvement, though, as Sunderland won just one of their last seven league trips, drawing four and losing two.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Sunderland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.15 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.16 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.19 | 2.98 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.05 | 3.53 |
|
|
2.25 | 3 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Sunderland match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2025 between Burnley and Sunderland in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.99% for a win of Burnley against Sunderland with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Sunderland is 42.06% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Burnley with odds of 3.7 at Ladbrokes.
Burnley - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.06% | 3.3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 69.62% | 1.91 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.63% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Sunderland Form
Burnley and Sunderland's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
52 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 22 |
|
4
|
50 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 17 |
Burnley and Sunderland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
6 Dec 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
29 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
Burnley vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Mar 2023 - Championship
18 Mar 2017 - Premier League
17 Jan 2017 - FA Cup
31 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Burnley vs Sunderland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Sunderland
J. Brownhill
(9 Goals)
W. Isidor
(8 Goals)
L. Pires
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Roberts
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(2 Assists)
,
J. Brownhill
(2 Assists)
,
B. Humphreys
(2 Assists)
P. Roberts
(6 Assists)
Burnley and Sunderland Stats in Championship
Burnley - Sunderland Key Points
- In 18 of their last 20 Championship matches, Burnley has seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Burnley kept a clean sheet in seven of their last nine home league matches.
- Eight of Burnley’s last nine home league matches saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Five of Sunderland’s last seven away league games saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Sunderland failed to score in their last two league matches against Burnley.
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Our Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction
There’s so much riding on this result as both Burnley and Sunderland are dreaming of automatic promotion. Burnley will hope to continue their strong defensive performances, as they conceded a league-low nine goals this season. Sunderland may look to spoil their plans, as they come here with a record of 39 goals, the third-best tally in this campaign. The Black Cats still have a lot to improve on the road, and that may limit the number of goals here. That’s why our prediction for Burnley v Sunderland is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Sunderland
| Burnley vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 1.95 | 2.15 | +10.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Sunderland wins | 3.9 | 3.4 | -12.8% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.3% (0.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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