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Burnley vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Burnley
01/01/2025 10:00
Stoke

Prediction :

 

Burnley wins the match

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions

Burnley will be out to extend their unbeaten run in the Championship when they face Stoke City at Turf Moor on New Year’s Day. The Clarets are third in the league standings while the Potters are 18th after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below. 

Burnley signed off 2024 with a goalless draw away to fellow promotion rivals Middlesbrough which took them to 48 points, three behind league leaders Leeds United.

That result also brought up the Clarets’ 11th consecutive league game without defeat - a period during which they also maintained a very impressive eight clean sheets and conceded only three goals. 

The hosts are still unbeaten after 11 home games this term (W6 D5 L0), and have not lost to their upcoming opponents in their last six encounters dating back to December 2016. 

Meanwhile, Stoke City's last match ended in a much-needed 1-0 victory at home against Sunderland which ended a nine-match winless run since the start of November. 

The victory took the Potters to 25 points, four clear of the drop, though they are certainly not out of the woods, as they’ve played a game more than the bottom three sides in the division. 

The visitors are on a three-match losing streak on the road and winless in four. They have conceded two or more goals in each of those defeats and failed to score in five of their last nine away games. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Stoke Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 4.2 6.25
Betfred
1.44 4.33 7
Ladbrokes
1.8 2.75 5.25
1xbet
1.55 4.34 6.45
22bet
1.55 4.34 6.45
Check all Burnley vs Stoke odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Stoke?

Our prediction for the Burnley vs Stoke match is: Burnley wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2025 between Burnley and Stoke in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.39% for a win of Burnley against Stoke with odds of 1.8 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Stoke is 30.05% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 9.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Burnley with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.

Burnley - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:

Burnley Stoke Prediction Probability Odds
Burnley wins 60.39% 1.8 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 65.31% 2 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 44.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley 39.95% 4.33 at Betsson

Burnley vs Stoke Form

Burnley and Stoke's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Burnley
Burnley
94 44 26 16 2 46
17
Stoke
Stoke
50 44 12 14 18 -15

Burnley and Stoke Last Matches

Burnley
Burnley Last matches
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  2
Burnley

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford

17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
4 :  0
Hull City

15 Dec 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Burnley

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford

17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
4 :  0
Hull City

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
8 :  1
Birmingham City

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
0 :  2
Burnley

15 Dec 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Burnley

7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
0 :  0
Burnley

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Sunderland

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Leeds

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  0
Stoke

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Cardiff

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Luton Town
2 :  1
Stoke

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  1
Stoke
D D L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Sunderland

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Leeds

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Cardiff

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Millwall
L W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  0
Stoke

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Luton Town
2 :  1
Stoke

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  1
Stoke

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Stoke

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Stoke

29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
3 :  2
Stoke

Burnley vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

80 %

Draw

20 %

Stoke

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.4
Total goals
20%
BTTS
1.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

30 Dec 2022 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Burnley

22 Apr 2018 - Premier League

Stoke
1 :  1
Burnley

12 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Stoke

4 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Stoke
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Burnley against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Trafford
14
C. Roberts
6
C. Egan-Riley
5
M. Esteve
23
L. Pires
24
J. Cullen
8
J. Brownhill
11
J. Anthony
7
J. Sarmiento
30
L. Koleosho
9
J. Rodriguez
28
T. Cannon
10
B. Joon-ho
24
A. Moran
11
L. Koumas
6
W. Burger
12
T. Seko
2
L. Gooch
16
B. Wilmot
26
A. Phillips
22
J. Tchamadeu
1
V. Johansson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Stoke

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Stoke
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England L. Baker (7 Goals) Netherlands M. Manhoef (7 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Anthony (8 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland A. Moran (6 Assists)

Burnley - Stoke Key Points

  1. Burnley are unbeaten in their last 11 league games.
  2. Burnley are unbeaten at home this season.
  3. Burnley have kept seven clean sheets in 11 home league matches.
  4. Burnley are unbeaten in their last six league matches against this opponent.
  5. Stoke City are on a three-match losing streak in away league matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Burnley - Stoke! 

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Our Burnley vs Stoke Prediction

Burnley have been on an excellent run of form recently, now unbeaten in their last 11 league games, and they have yet to taste defeat at home this season thanks in large to their solid defence. 

Stoke City brought an end to a two-month winless run last time out, but they have only earned eight points from a possible 33 on the road this term and are currently on a three-match losing streak on the road. Our Burnley vs Stoke City prediction is Burnley wins.

Prediction :

 

Burnley wins the match

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Stoke

Burnley vs Stoke Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burnley wins 1.6 1.5 -6.3%
Draw 3.75 4.2 +12.0%
Stoke wins 5.5 6.25 +13.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Burnley is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 66.7% (4.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Stoke Prediction
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