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Burnley vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions
Burnley will be out to extend their unbeaten run in the Championship when they face Stoke City at Turf Moor on New Year’s Day. The Clarets are third in the league standings while the Potters are 18th after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below.
Burnley signed off 2024 with a goalless draw away to fellow promotion rivals Middlesbrough which took them to 48 points, three behind league leaders Leeds United.
That result also brought up the Clarets’ 11th consecutive league game without defeat - a period during which they also maintained a very impressive eight clean sheets and conceded only three goals.
The hosts are still unbeaten after 11 home games this term (W6 D5 L0), and have not lost to their upcoming opponents in their last six encounters dating back to December 2016.
Meanwhile, Stoke City's last match ended in a much-needed 1-0 victory at home against Sunderland which ended a nine-match winless run since the start of November.
The victory took the Potters to 25 points, four clear of the drop, though they are certainly not out of the woods, as they’ve played a game more than the bottom three sides in the division.
The visitors are on a three-match losing streak on the road and winless in four. They have conceded two or more goals in each of those defeats and failed to score in five of their last nine away games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Stoke Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.5 | 4.2 | 6.25 |
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1.44 | 4.33 | 7 |
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1.8 | 2.75 | 5.25 |
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1.55 | 4.34 | 6.45 |
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1.55 | 4.34 | 6.45 |
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1.51 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
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1.52 | 4.24 | 6.3 |
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1.52 | 4.24 | 6.3 |
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1.5 | 4.2 | 6.4 |
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1.52 | 4.24 | 6.3 |
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1.49 | 4.5 | 6.8 |
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1.51 | 4.28 | 6.4 |
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1.5 | 4 | 6.5 |
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1.5 | 4.2 | 6.8 |
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1.48 | 4 | 6.5 |
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1.43 | 4.3 | 7.5 |
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1.44 | 4.1 | 6.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Stoke match is: Burnley wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2025 between Burnley and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.39% for a win of Burnley against Stoke with odds of 1.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Stoke is 30.05% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Burnley with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
Burnley - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
Burnley Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Burnley wins | 60.39% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 65.31% | 2 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 44.17% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 39.95% | 4.33 at Betsson |
Burnley vs Stoke Form
Burnley and Stoke's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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68 | 34 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 34 |
19
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35 | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -11 |
Burnley and Stoke Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
17 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
6 Dec 2024 - Championship
3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
Burnley vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Dec 2022 - Championship
22 Apr 2018 - Premier League
12 Dec 2017 - Premier League
4 Apr 2017 - Premier League
Burnley against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists







Burnley - Stoke Key Points
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last 11 league games.
- Burnley are unbeaten at home this season.
- Burnley have kept seven clean sheets in 11 home league matches.
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last six league matches against this opponent.
- Stoke City are on a three-match losing streak in away league matches.
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Our Burnley vs Stoke Prediction
Burnley have been on an excellent run of form recently, now unbeaten in their last 11 league games, and they have yet to taste defeat at home this season thanks in large to their solid defence.
Stoke City brought an end to a two-month winless run last time out, but they have only earned eight points from a possible 33 on the road this term and are currently on a three-match losing streak on the road. Our Burnley vs Stoke City prediction is Burnley wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Stoke
Burnley vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Burnley wins | 1.6 | 1.5 | -6.3% |
Draw | 3.75 | 4.2 | +12.0% |
Stoke wins | 5.5 | 6.25 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 66.7% (4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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