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England - Championship

Burnley
21 Sep 2024 10:00
Portsmouth

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions

Teams that were two divisions apart last season clash at Turf Moor on Saturday as 3rd-place Burnley takes on 23rd-place Portsmouth in Championship action. There is a huge discrepancy in the position in the standings but is it that simple for making a prediction on the game?

Burnley opened the season with a bang. 4-1 winners away at Luton in their opening game, they thrashed Cardiff 5-0 at home next up. Things have quieted down for them in front of goal since, a 1-1 draw with local rivals Blackburn in their only other home league game.

They will see this as a good opportunity to get back to scoring goals against a team who have struggled so far this season. Only Cardiff are below Portsmouth in the league table and we know how they got on when they had to go to Turf Moor. 

They scored 49 at home when they were last at this level two seasons back and that home form will be required again if they are to get themselves straight back up to the Premier League. 

Portsmouth are yet to pick up a win in their six matches since returning to the Championship but they have picked up a point in each of their two away games. 3-3 at Leeds in their opening fixtures was followed by a 2-2 draw at Middlesbrough.

They seem to play with more reckless abandon away from Fratton Park where they have drawn 0-0, lost 1-3 and 0-3. That goal conceding could be a serious issue given that Burnley has already torn teams to shreds in front of goal this season. That could see plenty of goal action for the fans to enjoy in this one.

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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Portsmouth Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 4.2 7
Ladbrokes
1.48 4.4 6
1xbet
1.5 4.3 6.55
22bet
1.5 4.3 6.55
Betobet
1.46 4.6 6.75
Betwinner
1.53 4.24 6.1
LSbet
1.53 4.24 6.1
Stake
1.47 4.3 6.6
Melbet
1.5 4.28 6.5
Tonybet
1.47 4.4 6.6
Vbet
1.46 4.75 7.3
Betway
1.44 4.5 6
Unibet
1.44 4.5 6.5
Betfair
1.44 4.6 7
Betsson
1.47 4.44 6.87
William Hill
1.47 4 7
Check all Burnley vs Portsmouth odds
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Portsmouth! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Portsmouth?

Our prediction for the Burnley vs Portsmouth match is: Over 3.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Burnley and Portsmouth in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.21% for a win of Burnley against Portsmouth with odds of 1.53 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Portsmouth is 39.9% with odds of 4.75 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Burnley with odds of 7.3 at Vbet.

Burnley - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:

Burnley Portsmouth Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 39.9% 4.75 at Vbet
Over 2.5 goals 50.12% 1.97 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 59.52%
Half-time: Burnley / Full-time: Draw 18.29% 21 at Betsson

Burnley vs Portsmouth Form

Burnley and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Burnley
Burnley
27 15 7 6 2 12
23
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
12 15 2 6 7 -12

Burnley and Portsmouth Last Matches

Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
6 :  0
Queens Park Rangers

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

10 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Bristol City
1 :  3
Burnley

1 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  4
Charlton Athletic

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Blackburn

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Burnley
L W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
6 :  0
Queens Park Rangers

1 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  4
Charlton Athletic

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Blackburn

18 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
3 :  3
Ipswich Town

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
5 :  0
Cardiff

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest
D L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

10 Sep 2024 - Professional Development League

Bristol City
1 :  3
Burnley

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Burnley

27 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Burnley

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  0
Burnley

13 Aug 2024 - Professional Development League

Millwall
1 :  1
Burnley
Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D L D D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  3
West Brom

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  3
Sunderland

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Portsmouth

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Luton Town

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth
W L L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  3
West Brom

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  3
Sunderland

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Luton Town

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

20 Apr 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Wigan

16 Apr 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
3 :  2
Barnsley
W W D L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Portsmouth

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Charlton Athletic
2 :  0
Portsmouth

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Portsmouth

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bognor Regis Town FC
0 :  2
Portsmouth

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Havant & Waterlooville
0 :  3
Portsmouth
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Burnley against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Trafford
6
C. Egan-Riley
4
J. Worrall
5
M. Esteve
23
L. Pires
24
J. Cullen
8
J. Brownhill
30
L. Koleosho
28
H. Mejbri
11
J. Anthony
17
L. Foster
15
C. Saydee
23
J. Murphy
49
C. Lang
32
P. Lane
8
F. Potts
7
M. Pack
3
C. Ogilvie
16
T. McIntyre
5
R. Poole
22
Z. Swanson
1
W. Norris

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Portsmouth

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Portsmouth
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Lang (4 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Pires (2 Assists)
England J. Anthony (2 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (3 Assists)
England C. Lang (3 Assists)

Burnley - Portsmouth Key Points

  1. Burnley have scored an average of three goals per home game this season.
  2. Portsmouth scored three of the four goals Leeds have conceded at home this season and two of the three Middlesbrough have.
  3. Only two teams have more total goals scored than Burnley.
  4. Portsmouth have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per away game this campaign.
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Portsmouth! 

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Our Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction

This match screams goals. Portsmouth have shipped 11 goals so far this season, with three of their five games seeing them concede three. Burnley have scored four and five already this campaign and they will be rubbing their hands in anticipation of the visit of Pompey. How many exactly is up for debate but it would be a surprise if the home team were not to net a few in this one so our Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction is for over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Portsmouth

Burnley vs Portsmouth Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burnley wins 1.48 1.45 -2.0%
Draw 4.2 4.2 0%
Portsmouth wins 6.5 7 +7.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 23.8% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction
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