England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Second-placed Burnley can return to the top of the Championship if avoiding defeat at home to Norwich CIty who are 11th in the table. Can the Clarets get a vital home win? Here's our match prediction.
Burnley topped the table but could only draw 0-0 at Derby on Tuesday. The same evening, Leeds won at Middlesbrough to go top on goal difference. Burnley are two points clear of third-placed Sheffield United with five games remaining.
The home side are undefeated in their last 28 league games, last losing in November. However, the draw at Derby was their 16th in this season's Championship. FIve of their last six home league games have been won.
Eight of the last nine home league games have seen them keep a clean sheet. They remain the only club in the Championship not to have lost a home league game this season with 11 wins and nine draws and just five goals conceded.
Norwich City also drew on Tuesday, being held to a goalless draw at home by Sunderland. The Canaries are seven points behind the final promotion play-off position but that will be nine if Coventry win on Wednesday.
City have only won four away league games this season with their last two both being lost.
We tip Burnley to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Norwich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.65 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.88 | 5.87 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Norwich?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Norwich match is: Burnley to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2025 between Burnley and Norwich in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.33% for a win of Burnley against Norwich with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Norwich is 25.72% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Burnley with odds of 6.75 at Unibet.
Burnley - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Norwich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 62.33% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 62.98% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 37.92% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Burnley/Burnley | 35.65% | 2.55 at Betsson |
Burnley vs Norwich Form
Burnley and Norwich's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
88 | 42 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 44 |
|
13
|
53 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 5 |
Burnley and Norwich Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
7 Apr 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
18 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
10 Mar 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
28 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
25 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
7 Mar 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
7 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
14 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
Burnley vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
4 Feb 2023 - Championship
25 Oct 2022 - Championship
10 Apr 2022 - Premier League
2 Oct 2021 - Premier League
18 Jul 2020 - Premier League
Burnley against Norwich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Norwich
J. Brownhill
(13 Goals)
B. Sainz
(18 Goals)
J. Anthony
(7 Assists)
E. Marcondes
(8 Assists)
Burnley - Norwich Key Points
- Burnley are yet to lose a home league game this season.
- Burnley have only conceded five goals in their 20 home Championship fixtures.
- Norwich have lost ten away league games this season.
- Norwich have only won one of their last seven away fixtures.
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Our Burnley vs Norwich Prediction
Burnley lost their position as Championship leaders on Tuesday evening. They were held to a goalless draw at improving Derby County. The Clarets are in a big three-way battle for the two automatic promotion places and can't afford to drop more points on Friday.
Norwich City still have an outside chance of making the play-offs but also dropped points on Tuesday. Their away form is not inspiring with ten league losses with the last two both being lost.. Our Burnley v Norwich prediction is Burnley to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Norwich
| Burnley vs Norwich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 1.67 | 1.55 | -7.2% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Norwich wins | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 64.5% (4.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Burnley vs. Norwich game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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