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Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Struggling Burnley could climb out of the bottom three this weekend. They are currently 19th in the Premier League and host Newcastle United who are seventh. If Luton were unable to beat Everton on Friday and Nottingham Forest lose at Sheffield United on Saturday, a home win for Burnley will see them escape the bottom three. It's been a dismal season for the Clarets but they are only a point from safety. They are unbeaten in their last three league games and only been beaten in one of them. The problem is they draw too many games with five of the last eight ending level. Home form was a disaster at the start of the season but they have earned five points from their last three. They've still only won a couple of home league fixtures this season with 11 losses. Both teams regularly score in their home matches and that stat has come up in all but one of their last eight league games at Turf Moor.
Newcastle United still have a chance of European football next season. They start the weekend in seventh place but are only a point behind Manchester United who are sixth. They still have to play United away so that will be a crucial match. The Magpies would be higher in the table but for their poor away form. Only four of their 16 away Premier League games have been won this season with ten defeats. They have won three of their last four league matches and last week beat Sheffield United 5-1 at home. Two of those wins came at home though and Newcastle have lost three of the last four on the road. Both teams have scored in five of their last eight away games in all competitions. We go for that stat to come up in this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
51 | 23 | 1.02 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.95 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.53 | 4.16 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.53 | 4.16 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.19 | 4.04 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.19 | 4.04 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.45 | 4.1 | 1.98 |
|
|
3.4 | 4 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.3 | 4.2 | 2.01 |
|
|
81 | 34 | 1.01 |
|
|
3.35 | 4.2 | 2.04 |
|
|
501 | 501 | 1 |
|
|
3.35 | 4.1 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
|
|
61 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Newcastle?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2024 between Burnley and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.05% for a win of Burnley against Newcastle with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Newcastle is 30.21% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Burnley with odds of 2.05 at Betsson.
Burnley - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 37.74% | 2.05 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 55.84% | 2.77 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle | 15.96% | 6 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Newcastle Form
Burnley and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
60 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 23 |
|
19
|
24 | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Professional Development League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
23 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
19 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
19 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
14 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
29 Mar 2024 - Professional Development League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2024 - Professional Development League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Apr 2024 - Professional Development League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
Burnley vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Sep 2023 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
25 Aug 2021 - Carabao Cup
11 Apr 2021 - Premier League
3 Oct 2020 - Premier League
Burnley against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Beyer
MidfielderA. Ramsey
ForwardL. Koleosho
N. Redmond
S. Botman
J. Lascelles
M. Targett
MidfielderS. Tonali
L. Miley
J. Willock
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Newcastle
D. O'Shea
(8 Goals)
A. Isak
(23 Goals)
D. O'Shea
(8 Assists)
K. Trippier
(11 Assists)
Burnley - Newcastle Key Points
- Seven of the last eight Burnley games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Five of the last eight Newcastle away games have seen both teams score.
- Only two of the last Burnley seven home league matches haven't seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last four Burnley home games against Newcastle.
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Our Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
