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Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Second-placed Burnley have the chance to go top of the Championship. The Clarets will do just that if they beat Middlesbrough (who are fifth in the table) at Turf Moor on Friday. Here's our match prediction.
Burnley are two points behind league leaders Sheffield United. They have won each of their last four league games and haven't conceded a goal in their last five matches in the Championship. Only six league goals have been conceded by Burnley in their 18 games this season.
Home form has seen them win five and draw three at Turf Moor with only a couple of goals conceded. All of their last 12 league matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored. Just one of their last 15 league and cup games have ended in defeat.
Middlesbrough are six points behind their opponents. They are also in good form at present with four of their last five league games being won. 32 goals have been scored by them in their 18 league matches this season.
The goals have been flowing in recent weeks with 13 scored in their last three away league fixtures. Ten have come in the last two against QPR and Oxford United but how effective can they be on Friday? We tip Burnley to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.32 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.32 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.34 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.3 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.2 | 2.91 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.25 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.3 | 2.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Middlesbrough match is: Burnley to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2024 between Burnley and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.18% for a win of Burnley against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.63 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Middlesbrough is 25.04% with odds of 3.34 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Burnley with odds of 2.98 at Melbet.
Burnley - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 50.18% | 2.63 at Unibet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.94% | 2.43 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 25.84% | 6 at Betfair |
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Form
Burnley and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
44 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 19 |
|
6
|
35 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
Burnley and Middlesbrough Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League
8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
7 Nov 2024 - Championship
3 Nov 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Apr 2023 - Championship
17 Dec 2022 - Championship
8 Apr 2017 - Premier League
26 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Players list
J. Trafford
DefenderC. Roberts
L. Pires
M. Esteve
B. Humphreys
MidfielderJ. Cullen
J. Brownhill
ForwardJ. Anthony
H. Mejbri
J. Laurent
Z. Flemming
S. Dieng
DefenderA. Dijksteel
D. Fry
G. Edmundson
N. Borges
MidfielderD. Barlaser
H. Hackney
I. Jones
F. Azaz
ForwardR. McGree
E. Latte Lath
Substitutes
V. Hladky
DefenderL. Pires
J. Worrall
H. Ekdal
MidfielderH. Mejbri
Z. Flemming
H. Massengo
J. Laurent
A. Hountondji
S. Brynn
DefenderM. Clarke
G. McCormick
L. Ayling
MidfielderI. Jones
J. Howson
R. McGree
A. Gilbert
E. Latte Lath
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Middlesbrough
J. Brownhill
(8 Goals)
E. Latte Lath
(9 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Pires
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Roberts
(2 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(2 Assists)
F. Azaz
(8 Assists)
Burnley - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Burnley have only conceded six league goals this season.
- Burnley have kept five consecutive clean sheets.
- Burnley are attempting to win a fifth straight league match.
- Burnley are yet to lose a home league game and have only conceded two goals.
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Our Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Burnley are going well in their attempt to return to the Premier League at the first attempt. They are second in the Championship and have the best defence in the league. Only six goals have been conceded and just two in eight home league fixtures.
Middlesbrough have been going well in recent weeks and scoring plenty of goals. Can they do that against the stubborn Burnley defence though that hasn't conceded in their last five games? Our Burnley v Middlesbrough prediction is Burnley to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Middlesbrough
| Burnley vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 2.35 | 2.4 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.25 | -7.1% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.8 | 2.9 | +3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 41.7% (-0.9%)
Use £30 free bets for the Burnley vs. Middlesbrough game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Burnley and Middlesbrough? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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