England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Burnley are third in the Championship and only a place and two points behind the automatic promotion spots. They bid for three more points when hosting 22nd-placed Luton Town. Could the Hatters spring a massive surprise? Read our match prediction.
The home side were victorious in midweek when they won at Cardiff City. That was their 19th league win of the season and saw them bounce back from their 3-0 FA Cup loss at Preston last weekend. The goal they conceded at Cardiff ended a run of 12 league games without conceding a goal.
Burnley are the only side in the Championship yet to lose a home league match. However, while they have won nine matches, eight have ended level. 12 home league clean sheets have been kept this season and only four goals conceded.
Luton Town are five points from safety as they try to avoid a second successive relegation. Midweek saw Luton beat Portsmouth 1-0 at home and that ended a run of 12 league games without a win.
On the road, the Hatters have only won one of their 17 league games with just five points earned. The last 14 away league fixtures have produced just one draw and 13 defeats. Their last two away matches in the Championship have both been lost 2-0.
We tip Burnley to win this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Luton Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.73 | 7.02 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.73 | 7.02 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Luton Town match is: Burnley wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Burnley and Luton Town in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.64% for a win of Burnley against Luton Town with odds of 1.66 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Luton Town is 31.05% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 6.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Burnley with odds of 7.02 at 1xbet.
Burnley - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 62.64% | 1.66 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 67.63% | 2.18 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.29% | 2.4 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Burnley/Burnley | 29.59% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
Burnley vs Luton Town Form
Burnley and Luton Town's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
81 | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 42 |
|
23
|
38 | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | -25 |
Burnley and Luton Town Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
21 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Professional Development League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
6 Jan 2025 - Championship
Burnley vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Aug 2024 - Championship
12 Jan 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2023 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Championship
Burnley against Luton Town Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Luton Town
J. Brownhill
(13 Goals)
C. Morris
(7 Goals)
J. Anthony
(7 Assists)
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
Burnley - Luton Town Key Points
- Burnley won the reverse fixture 4-1.
- Burnley are yet to lose a home league game this season.
- Burnley have only conceded four home league goals this term.
- From 17 away league games this season, Luton Town have only earned five points and one from the last 14.
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Our Burnley vs Luton Town Prediction
Burnley could climb into the automatic promotion places with a home win over Luton.Town. That will be so if they win this game and Sheffeld United fail to defeat Preston this weekend. Burnley are still unbeaten at home in the Championship this season with only four goals conceded.
Luton Town were in the Premier League last season but are now in the Championship relegation zone. They had a welcome home win in midweek but their away form is appaling with five points from 17 fixtures. Our Burnley v Luton Town prediction is Burnley wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Luton Town
| Burnley vs Luton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 1.57 | 1.57 | 0% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Luton Town wins | 5.5 | 6.5 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 63.7% (0.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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