New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

England - Championship

Burnley
10 Dec 2024 14:45
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Burnley to win

 
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Burnley vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Burnley look to return to winning ways when they entertain Derby County at Turf Moor on Tuesday. The Clarets are third in the Championship with their opponents struggling in 16th place. Here's our match prediction.

The home side were held to a 1-1 draw by Middlesbrough at Turf Moor last Friday evening. They had to come from behind to get the point in that match. It ended a run of four straight league victories and five consecutive clean sheets.

They have only conceded seven goals in their 19 matches in this season's Championship. Home form has seen them win five of their nine home league games with the other four drawn. Only one of their last 16 league and cup games have ended in defeat. The recent 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough made it 13 consecutive league games in which a total of under 2.5 goals have been scored.

Derby County were beaten 2-0 at Leeds United on Saturday. That was their third league defeat in a row and the Rams are only three points above the relegation zone. Each of those three league losses has seen them concede twice.

It's now five games without a win for Derby. They have just one win at Coventry in the last ten played on the road.

We tip Burnley to win this match.

Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Derby County! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Derby County Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.65 3.5 5.75
Ladbrokes
1.65 3.4 6
1xbet
1.65 3.71 6.41
22bet
1.65 3.71 6.41
Betobet
1.65 3.5 6.25
Betwinner
1.62 3.62 6.25
LSbet
1.62 3.62 6.25
Stake
1.64 3.55 6
Melbet
1.69 3.52 5.7
Tonybet
1.68 3.65 5.8
Betfair
1.62 3.3 6
Betsson
1.64 3.53 6.32
William Hill
1.7 3.3 5.5
Vbet
1.66 3.57 6.6
Betway
1.62 3.5 5.75
Unibet
1.65 3.45 6
Check all Burnley vs Derby County odds
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Derby County! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Derby County?

Our prediction for the Burnley vs Derby County match is: Burnley to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2024 between Burnley and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.86% for a win of Burnley against Derby County with odds of 1.7 at William Hill.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Derby County is 43.32% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 9.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Burnley with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.

Burnley - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:

Burnley Derby County Prediction Probability Odds
Burnley wins 46.86% 1.7 at William Hill
Under 2.5 75.52% 1.96 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 50% 2.5 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley 25.71% 4.2 at Betsson

Burnley vs Derby County Form

Burnley and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Burnley
Burnley
44 22 12 8 2 19
16
Derby County
Derby County
24 22 6 6 10 -1

Burnley and Derby County Last Matches

Burnley
Burnley Last matches
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
0 :  0
Burnley

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
8 :  1
Birmingham City

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
8 :  1
Birmingham City

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City

22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
5 :  0
Luton Town Reserves

10 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Swansea

29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
5 :  0
Coventry City
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
0 :  0
Burnley

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Burnley

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley

18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield Wednesday
3 :  2
Burnley

8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Reading
1 :  3
Burnley

7 Nov 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Burnley
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W D D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

1 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Swansea

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Derby County
L W D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Swansea

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Hull

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
QPR

28 Sep 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Norwich
D D L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Derby County

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Derby County

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Derby County
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Burnley against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Trafford
14
C. Roberts
5
M. Esteve
12
B. Humphreys
23
L. Pires
24
J. Cullen
8
J. Brownhill
11
J. Anthony
29
J. Laurent
7
J. Sarmiento
19
Z. Flemming
39
D. Brown
10
J. Yates
32
E. Adams
17
K. Goudmijn
16
L. Thompson
20
C. Elder
6
E. Cashin
35
C. Nelson
12
N. Phillips
23
J. Ward
1
J. Zetterstrom

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Derby County

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England K. Jackson (4 Goals) England J. Yates (4 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil L. Pires (2 Assists)
Wales C. Roberts (2 Assists)
England J. Anthony (2 Assists)
England J. Brownhill (2 Assists)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez Laing (3 Assists)

Burnley - Derby County Key Points

  1. Burnley are unbeaten at home in the Championship this season.
  2. Derby have lost their last three matches.
  3. Burnley have only conceded seven league goals this season, just three at home.
  4. Derby County have only won one of their ten away league games this term.
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Derby County! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Burnley vs Derby County Prediction

Burnley continued their unbeaten run when drawing with Middlesbrough. They conceded a goal in that match ending a run of five successive clean sheets. The Clarets remain unbeaten at home since returning to the Championship.

Derby County are struggling in the bottom half of the Championship. They go to Turf Moor hoping to avoid a fourth successive defeat but have only won one away league game this season. Our Burnley v Derby County prediction is Burnley to win.

Prediction :

 

Burnley to win

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Derby County

Burnley vs Derby County Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burnley wins 1.65 1.65 0%
Draw 3.75 3.5 -6.7%
Derby County wins 5.25 5.75 +9.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Burnley is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 60.6% (0.0%)

Use the Burnley vs. Derby County game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!

acca gold vbet

Are you looking to use the match between Burnley and Derby County in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Championship and start to build those accas!

Place your Championship accas with Vbet!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Derby County Prediction
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Derby County! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer