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Burnley vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Burnley look to return to winning ways when they entertain Derby County at Turf Moor on Tuesday. The Clarets are third in the Championship with their opponents struggling in 16th place. Here's our match prediction.
The home side were held to a 1-1 draw by Middlesbrough at Turf Moor last Friday evening. They had to come from behind to get the point in that match. It ended a run of four straight league victories and five consecutive clean sheets.
They have only conceded seven goals in their 19 matches in this season's Championship. Home form has seen them win five of their nine home league games with the other four drawn. Only one of their last 16 league and cup games have ended in defeat. The recent 1-1 draw with Middlesbrough made it 13 consecutive league games in which a total of under 2.5 goals have been scored.
Derby County were beaten 2-0 at Leeds United on Saturday. That was their third league defeat in a row and the Rams are only three points above the relegation zone. Each of those three league losses has seen them concede twice.
It's now five games without a win for Derby. They have just one win at Coventry in the last ten played on the road.
We tip Burnley to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Derby County Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 3.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.71 | 6.41 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.71 | 6.41 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.5 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.62 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.62 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.55 | 6 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.52 | 5.7 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.65 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.3 | 6 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.53 | 6.32 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.3 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.57 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.45 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Derby County match is: Burnley to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2024 between Burnley and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.86% for a win of Burnley against Derby County with odds of 1.7 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Derby County is 43.32% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Burnley with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
Burnley - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
Burnley Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Burnley wins | 46.86% | 1.7 at William Hill |
Under 2.5 | 75.52% | 1.96 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 25.71% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Burnley vs Derby County Form
Burnley and Derby County's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
|
44 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 19 |
16
|
24 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
Burnley and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2024 - Championship
3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2024 - Championship
3 Dec 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League
8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
7 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
Burnley against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Burnley - Derby County Key Points
- Burnley are unbeaten at home in the Championship this season.
- Derby have lost their last three matches.
- Burnley have only conceded seven league goals this season, just three at home.
- Derby County have only won one of their ten away league games this term.
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Our Burnley vs Derby County Prediction
Burnley continued their unbeaten run when drawing with Middlesbrough. They conceded a goal in that match ending a run of five successive clean sheets. The Clarets remain unbeaten at home since returning to the Championship.
Derby County are struggling in the bottom half of the Championship. They go to Turf Moor hoping to avoid a fourth successive defeat but have only won one away league game this season. Our Burnley v Derby County prediction is Burnley to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Derby County
Burnley vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Burnley wins | 1.65 | 1.65 | 0% |
Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
Derby County wins | 5.25 | 5.75 | +9.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 60.6% (0.0%)
Use the Burnley vs. Derby County game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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