Africa - AFCON
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Burkina Faso vs Malawi Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Burkina Faso and Malawi will face off in the second round of matches in the 2025 AFCON qualifiers on Tuesday. Both nations’ opening encounters were dramatic and either side will be looking to bag their initial three points. Bookies’ predictions lean towards the Stallions beating the Flames in this match.
As they lack a quality venue for this game, Burkina Faso will host it in Bamako, Mali. Burkina Faso’s push in the opening round saw Ousseni Bouda rescue a late point away to Senegal.
After holding the former champions to a 1-1 draw, Burkina Faso will feel capable of taking down this Malawi side. For all their quality and superior play it doesn’t augur well for Burkina that they have no win in eight straight matches.
Brama Traore’s charges have four losses and as many draws in that period.
Malawi aren’t doing much better either and their shock defeat at home to Burundi says it all. The visitors will be looking to bounce back after dropping points in a 3-2 loss, having dominated the game.
Kaonga Chawanangwa and Lanjesi Nkhoma scored for Malawi but a resolute Burundi showed up meaning business, and shot to the top of the group. That was Malawi’s second straight loss, having earlier fallen to Equatorial Guinea.
They have managed just two wins in the previous 10 matches and a serious recovery will do for them here. For Patrick Mabedi’s side, this is another uphill task, considering they’ve never beaten Burkina Faso before.
In six matches pitting the two nations, Burkina Faso have four wins and Malawi just one clean sheet.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burkina Faso v Malawi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 2.45 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.69 | 7.43 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.69 | 7.43 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.6 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.8 | 6.38 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.8 | 6.38 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.78 | 6.29 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.6 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.78 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.43 | 3.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.55 | 6.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burkina Faso and Malawi?
Our prediction for the Burkina Faso vs Malawi match is: Burkina Faso to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Burkina Faso and Malawi in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.71% for a win of Burkina Faso against Malawi with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burkina Faso vs Malawi is 32.39% with odds of 3.8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Malawi vs Burkina Faso with odds of 7.5 at Betfair.
Burkina Faso - Malawi Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burkina Faso Malawi Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 54.71% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 67.41% | 2.12 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.55 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burkina Faso | 32.13% | 4.2 at Unibet |
Burkina Faso vs Malawi Form
Burkina Faso and Malawi's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 |
Burkina Faso and Malawi Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
3 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
25 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Burkina Faso vs Malawi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2020 - AFCON
12 Nov 2020 - AFCON
Burkina Faso vs Malawi last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Burkina Faso
Malawi
Burkina Faso - Malawi Key Points
- Burkina Faso have four wins in six matches against Malawi.
- Malawi have suffered five losses in their last six matches.
- Burkina Faso lost once in five AFCON qualification matches.
- Burkina Faso have no clean sheet in eight matches.
- Malawi failed to score in four of their last 10 matches.
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Our Burkina Faso vs Malawi Prediction
Burkina Faso have never lost to Malawi before. After frustrating Senegal, they will come here confident of extending their dominance in this fixture. The only concern they bear is the difficulty to keep clean sheets. Burkina Faso conceded in nine of their last 10 matches.
They meet a Malawi side that’s not too shady in attack and holds the potential to shock them. The visitors failed to score in four of 10 matches and in Burkina Faso’s form, we will back them to score here too. Our prediction for Burkina Faso v Malawi is for Burkina Faso to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burkina Faso Malawi
| Burkina Faso vs Malawi | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 1.85 | 1.91 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 2.45 | 2.45 | 0% |
| Malawi wins | 5.75 | 5.5 | -4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 52.4% (-1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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