Africa - AFCON
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Burkina Faso vs Burundi Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Kennedy Kechula in AFCON Predictions
The 2025 AFCON qualification process returns and Burundi will make the trip to west Africa to take on Burkina Faso in Group L. Without an approved venue, the Stallions will host the Swallows in Cote d’Ivoire, at the Alassane Ouattara Olympic Stadium in Abidjan. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Burkina Faso will seek to rise past the challenge of not playing in front of their home fans. By now they should be used to it, and they have a good run whenever playing as hosts.
In the last 10 matches they ‘hosted’, Burkina Faso suffered just one loss. It will also work in their favor that in their only two previous matches against Burundi, they won.
The hosts’ last action ended in a 3-1 win against Malawi, the third of their unbeaten outings and they lead the group, jointly with four points.
Burundi will arrive for this game placed third in Group L with three points gained from the Match Day 1 win against Malawi.
They couldn’t, however, build on that 3-2 win, and were 1-0 losers at home to Senegal in the most recent match. That marked Burundi’s first defeat in four matches and the second time in five matches that they failed to score.
While they seek a return to winning ways, history suggests that will be a long shot for Burundi. In two of the last three AFCON qualification matches, they lost. Away from home, they have three wins only in 20 matches in AFCON qualification.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burkina Faso v Burundi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 2.62 | 6 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.89 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.89 | 7.25 |
|
|
1.45 | 4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.2 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.2 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.49 | 4 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 5.86 |
|
|
1.49 | 3.85 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.49 | 4 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.8 | 6 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.9 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.75 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burkina Faso and Burundi?
Our prediction for the Burkina Faso vs Burundi match is: Burkina Faso to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Burkina Faso and Burundi in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.01% for a win of Burkina Faso against Burundi with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burkina Faso vs Burundi is 37.12% with odds of 4.2 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Burundi vs Burkina Faso with odds of 7.6 at Vbet.
Burkina Faso - Burundi Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burkina Faso Burundi Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 45.01% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 2.25 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 2.3 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burkina Faso | 18.3% | 4.25 at Unibet |
Burkina Faso vs Burundi Form
Burkina Faso and Burundi's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Burkina Faso and Burundi Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Sep 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Burkina Faso vs Burundi last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Ouattara
Most goals and assists
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Burkina Faso - Burundi Key Points
- Playing as hosts, Burkina Faso lost only once in 10.
- Burkina Faso beat Burundi in both previous meetings.
- Burkina Faso are unbeaten in their last three matches.
- In 20 away AFCON qualification matches, Burundi won three.
- Burundi lost twice in their last three AFCON qualification matches.
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Our Burkina Faso vs Burundi Prediction
Burkina Faso ranks higher than Burundi and in terms of their recent form will be the bookies favorites here. They lost just once in the last 10 matches they played as hosts. In their two previous meetings with Burundi, Burkina Faso won home and away.
Burundi, meanwhile, stumbled in their last game, falling 1-0 at home to Senegal. The visitors managed just three wins in their last 20 AFCON qualifying matches. Our prediction for Burkina Faso v Burundi is for Burkina Faso to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burkina Faso Burundi
| Burkina Faso vs Burundi | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 1.44 | 1.75 | +21.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 2.62 | -31.1% |
| Burundi wins | 6 | 6 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 57.1% (-12.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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