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Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Bulgaria are set to host Northern Ireland after their unbeaten starts in Group 3 of League C in the Nations League. While Bulgaria played to a draw with Belarus, Northern Ireland bagged three points against Luxembourg. Here’s our preview and prediction of the match.
For the first time in 2024, Bulgaria will be playing at home. They will hope to make it worthwhile as the last three years haven't returned great results. Bulgaria’s only win in their last 16 matches was against low-ranking Tanzania.
Having finished their game away to Belarus with 10 men, Bulgaria will feel the 0-0 draw was a fair result. Filip Krastev was sent off in that game. The Lions will now seek to do better than their four straight draws. They have a seven-game unbeaten run to defend here, but lost three of five at home.
Northern Ireland had a good start and will be eyeing a number of firsts here. They haven't won any of their last five meetings with Bulgaria. The visitors will also be seeking a first ever away win in the Nations League.
Northern Ireland last met Bulgaria three years ago and suffered a 2-1 defeat. However, coming from two straight wins, they will be motivated here. In their Match Day 1 encounter, Michael O’Neill’s charges claimed a 2-0 win over Luxembourg.
That came through early goals from Patrick McNair and Dan Ballard. The Green and White Army have now scored in the first half in each of their last five matches. Improving their Nations League form will now be the priority, having won just two of 17 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bulgaria v Northern Ireland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 2.88 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.22 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.22 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.97 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.97 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.12 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
|
|
3.12 | 2.88 | 2.72 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.75 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
3 | 2.63 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.8 | 2.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Northern Ireland?
Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland match is: Match to end in a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2024 between Bulgaria and Northern Ireland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.36% for a win of Bulgaria against Northern Ireland with odds of 3.12 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland is 31.19% with odds of 3.22 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
Bulgaria - Northern Ireland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bulgaria Northern Ireland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria wins | 42.36% | 3.12 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.31% | 1.97 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bulgaria | 19.55% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland Form
Bulgaria and Northern Ireland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
|
2
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3 |
Bulgaria and Northern Ireland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Oct 2021 - World Cup
31 Mar 2021 - World Cup
Bulgaria against Northern Ireland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Bulgaria
Northern Ireland
K. Despodov
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kraev
(1 Goals)
,
V. Panayotov
(1 Goals)
I. Price
(4 Goals)
A. Kolev
(1 Assists)
S. Charles
(3 Assists)
Bulgaria - Northern Ireland Key Points
- Northern Ireland have never won an away match in the Nations League.
- Northern Ireland failed to win in nine of their last 14 matches.
- Bulgaria have four straight draws ahead of this match.
- Bulgaria have just one win in their past 16 matches.
- At home, Bulgaria have no win in five matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland Prediction
Northern Ireland aren’t coming into this game with a great run in the Nations League. They managed just two wins in their 17 total matches in the competition. Playing away from home won’t make things easier for them here.
They have no win away from home in the competition. Fortunately, they face a Bulgaria side that’s also struggling. Though the hosts haven't lost any of their last seven matches, only one win came out of that run.
With the teams’ recent forms, our prediction for Bulgaria v Northern Ireland is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bulgaria Northern Ireland
| Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria wins | 2.45 | 2.8 | +14.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 2.88 | -11.4% |
| Northern Ireland wins | 2.88 | 2.7 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bulgaria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 35.7% (-5.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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