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12 October 2024 - 12:00 

- Day 3

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
VS
Luxembourg

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Bulgaria will play host to Luxembourg in their next UEFA Nations League match, looking to keep up their recent rise. The Lions are joint top in Group C3 and will be favorites as they welcome bottom placed Red Lions. Going into their 16th meeting, we have a prediction below.

Bulgaria’s last two matches against Luxembourg were played away from home and they drew. Coming into this game on the better run, they’ll be confident of winning at home.

Ilian Iliev has injected a bit of stability in the team, and ahead of this game, they are unbeaten in eight. However, the coach will want his charges to improve on the current run of just two wins in 17 matches.

The most recent of those came in their last outing, a 1-0 win against Northern Ireland through Kiril Despodov's first half goal.

Luxembourg have never won a fixture against Bulgaria. In the 15 meetings pitting the two nations, they lost 13 times. This run will cause some worry as the visitors look to rise from a poor start to the current Nations League edition.

So far, Luxembourg are the only ones yet to earn a point in this group. After 13 straight losses against Bulgaria, they’ll look at two back-to-back draws with their hosts as a positive.

The fact that they come here on four straight losses will, however, dent much of the away fans’ hopes. In this group, they opened with a 2-0 loss to Northern Ireland and most recently a 1-0 defeat at home to Belarus.

Luxembourg also failed to score in their last four matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bulgaria v Luxembourg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 3.4 5.25
Ladbrokes
2.15 2.37 4.4
1xbet
1.84 3.6 5.14
22bet
1.84 3.6 5.14
Betobet
1.74 3.4 5
Betwinner
1.86 3.4 4.46
Stake
1.76 3.35 4.8
Melbet
1.78 3.46 4.94
Tonybet
1.77 3.45 4.9
Check all Bulgaria vs Luxembourg odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg?

Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Bulgaria and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.65% for a win of Bulgaria against Luxembourg with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Luxembourg is 35.96% with odds of 3.6 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Form

Bulgaria and Luxembourg's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
4 2 1 1 0 1
4
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
0 2 0 0 2 -3

Bulgaria and Luxembourg Last Matches

Bulgaria
Bulgaria Last matches
W D D D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  0
Northern Ireland

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Belarus
0 :  0
Bulgaria

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Bulgaria

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Romania
0 :  0
Bulgaria

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Bulgaria

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
1 :  0
Tanzania
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Last matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Belarus

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Luxembourg

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
3 :  0
Luxembourg

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Luxembourg

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
2 :  1
Kazakhstan

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Georgia
2 :  0
Luxembourg

Bulgaria against Luxembourg : Head to Head (H2H)

Bulgaria

0 %

Draw

100 %

Luxembourg

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.5
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  0
Bulgaria

10 Oct 2017 - World Cup

Luxembourg
1 :  1
Bulgaria
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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg last Lineups

Bulgaria

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
D. Mitov
16
V. Popov
5
A. Petkov
3
Z. Atanasov
13
F. Nurnberger
8
R. Kirilov
7
G. Kostadinov
4
I. Gruev
11
K. Despodov
9
A. Kolev
17
M. Minchev
9
D. Sinani
11
E. Muratovic
19
M. Olesen
16
L. Martins
8
C. Martins
4
F. Bohnert
13
D. Carlson
2
M. Chanot
15
E. Dzogovic
18
L. Jans
1
A. Moris

Formation : 5 - 2 - 1 - 2

Luxembourg

Bulgaria and Luxembourg Stats in UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
50%
Victories
0%
50%
Draw
0%
0%
Defeats
100%
0.5
Total goals per match
1.5
0.5
Goals scored per match
0
0
Goals conceded per match
1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
100%
Under 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
No goals conceded
0%

Bulgaria - Luxembourg Key Points

  1. Luxembourg failed to score in their last four matches.
  2. Bulgaria failed to score in two of their last four matches.
  3. Each of Luxembourg’s last two matches had under 2.5 goals.
  4. Four of Bulgaria’s last five home matches had under 2.5 goals.
  5. An average of 1.0 goals were scored in Bulgaria’s last five matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction

These two nations’ opening matches in the Nations League have been tight affairs and the same could be witnessed here. Low scores have been a recurring stat in the two teams’ games.

While Luxembourg failed to score in the last four matches, Bulgaria managed just three goals in the last five matches. Only two of Bulgaria’s last six matches produced more than a goal so going for a low-scoring game could be justified. Our prediction for Bulgaria v Luxembourg is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction
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