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Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Bulgaria will play host to Luxembourg in their next UEFA Nations League match, looking to keep up their recent rise. The Lions are joint top in Group C3 and will be favorites as they welcome bottom placed Red Lions. Going into their 16th meeting, we have a prediction below.
Bulgaria’s last two matches against Luxembourg were played away from home and they drew. Coming into this game on the better run, they’ll be confident of winning at home.
Ilian Iliev has injected a bit of stability in the team, and ahead of this game, they are unbeaten in eight. However, the coach will want his charges to improve on the current run of just two wins in 17 matches.
The most recent of those came in their last outing, a 1-0 win against Northern Ireland through Kiril Despodov's first half goal.
Luxembourg have never won a fixture against Bulgaria. In the 15 meetings pitting the two nations, they lost 13 times. This run will cause some worry as the visitors look to rise from a poor start to the current Nations League edition.
So far, Luxembourg are the only ones yet to earn a point in this group. After 13 straight losses against Bulgaria, they’ll look at two back-to-back draws with their hosts as a positive.
The fact that they come here on four straight losses will, however, dent much of the away fans’ hopes. In this group, they opened with a 2-0 loss to Northern Ireland and most recently a 1-0 defeat at home to Belarus.
Luxembourg also failed to score in their last four matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bulgaria v Luxembourg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.37 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.29 | 4.79 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.29 | 4.79 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.46 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.46 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.15 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.46 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.45 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.23 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.45 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.3 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Bulgaria and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.89% for a win of Bulgaria against Luxembourg with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Luxembourg is 36.11% with odds of 3.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 22% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria with odds of 6 at Betsson.
Bulgaria - Luxembourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bulgaria Luxembourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria wins | 41.89% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 72.64% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bulgaria | 19.17% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Form
Bulgaria and Luxembourg's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
Bulgaria and Luxembourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Bulgaria against Luxembourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
K. Despodov
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kraev
(1 Goals)
,
V. Panayotov
(1 Goals)
G. Rodrigues
(2 Goals)
A. Kolev
(1 Assists)
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
Bulgaria - Luxembourg Key Points
- Luxembourg failed to score in their last four matches.
- Bulgaria failed to score in two of their last four matches.
- Each of Luxembourg’s last two matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Bulgaria’s last five home matches had under 2.5 goals.
- An average of 1.0 goals were scored in Bulgaria’s last five matches.
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Our Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction
These two nations’ opening matches in the Nations League have been tight affairs and the same could be witnessed here. Low scores have been a recurring stat in the two teams’ games.
While Luxembourg failed to score in the last four matches, Bulgaria managed just three goals in the last five matches. Only two of Bulgaria’s last six matches produced more than a goal so going for a low-scoring game could be justified. Our prediction for Bulgaria v Luxembourg is for under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bulgaria Luxembourg
| Bulgaria vs Luxembourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria wins | 1.73 | 1.85 | +6.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.2 | -11.1% |
| Luxembourg wins | 4.75 | 4.5 | -5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bulgaria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 54.1% (-3.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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