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Bristol City vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
17th-place Bristol City will welcome 7th-place Oxford to Ashton Gate for a Championship contest on Saturday afternoon. The home side is unbeaten on their own turf while their visitors are yet to pick up a point on the road. We have our prediction for the match below.
There have been plenty of goals in the two Bristol City home games so far, nine in total with the 'Robins' beating Millwall 4-3 and picking up a 1-1 draw with Coventry. They will be happy to be back home after back-to-back 0-3 defeats on the road.
It is at the back that City have had most concerns this season. An expected goals against of 1.21 is in reality a full goal higher at 2.2. Most of those have come in the second half, nine of the 11 league goals they have conceded have come after the 54th minute!
Oxford have made a bright start to the season at the Kassam. Wins over Norwich, Preston and Stoke have come at the cost of a single goal conceded. Things have been Tougher away from home with a 1-2 defeat at Blackburn and a 2-3 loss at Coventry. Both of those teams are considerably better than Bristol City, however.
The losing goal in both games came in the final 10 minutes with both of those teams ahead of Bristol City in the league standings. Blackburn sit third and Oxford are the team who have come closest to taking something away from Ewood Park this season.
It is a little surprising then that they are such a big price, especially as Bristol City were beaten 3-0 away at Blackburn in their most recent outing.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bristol City v Oxford United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.54 | 4.59 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.54 | 4.59 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.54 | 4.58 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.54 | 4.58 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.52 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.65 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.68 | 4.41 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.85 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bristol City and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Bristol City vs Oxford United match is: Oxford to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Bristol City and Oxford United in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.95% for a win of Bristol City against Oxford United with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bristol City vs Oxford United is 18.64% with odds of 3.85 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Bristol City with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
Bristol City - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bristol City Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 50.95% | 1.82 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% | 1.97 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bristol City | 27.4% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Bristol City vs Oxford United Form
Bristol City and Oxford United's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
27 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
|
23
|
18 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -16 |
Bristol City and Oxford United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
16 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
16 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Bristol City against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Bristol City
Oxford United
A. Mehmeti
(6 Goals)
M. Harris
(4 Goals)
, 
T. Goodhram
(4 Goals)
,
D. Scarlett
(4 Goals)
J. Knight
(4 Assists)
C. Brannagan
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Brown
(2 Assists)
, 
I. El Mizouni
(2 Assists)
,
E. Moore
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Rodrigues
(2 Assists)
Bristol City - Oxford United Key Points
- Both teams have scored in both of Bristol City’s home games this season.
- They have each played two of the same teams in their opening five games, Bristol picking up one point over Oxford’s zero but that was at home, Oxford have met both on the road.
- Both teams have scored in each of Oxford’s away games this season.
- No Championship team has conceded more than Bristol City this season.
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Our Bristol City vs Oxford United Prediction
This might look simple on paper, an unbeaten home team against a team without a point on the road but it is far from as cut and dry as that. Both teams have played Coventry this season, City drawing 1-1 at home and Oxford losing 2-3 away to an injury-time winner. Both have played Blackburn at Ewood Park, City losing 0-3 and Oxford losing 1-2 to an 83rd-minute winner.
There is simply no way that Oxford should be 5.0 for this game but we'll go bigger still. Both teams have scored in both Bristol's home games and both Oxford's away so our Bristol City vs Oxford prediction is for Oxford to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bristol City Oxford United
| Bristol City vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 1.7 | 1.73 | +1.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Oxford United wins | 5.25 | 4.75 | -9.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bristol City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 57.8% (-1.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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