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Bristol City vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
Bristol City will look to push their top-six claims when they host Derby County this weekend. This Championship match between the Robins and the Rams at Ashton Gate on Saturday comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this weekend’s matches, Bristol are 10th with 34 points from 25 matches, and Derby are 17th with 27 points. The hosts are five points behind the top six and come here after a frustrating 2-2 draw against Plymouth on January 1, where they conceded beyond the 90th minute.
They will hope to bounce back immediately, as Bristol have won three and drawn one of their last four home league matches at this venue. The visitors are only five points above the relegation zone ahead of this round, after a 4-2 loss to Sheffield Wednesday on New Year’s Day.
It was their third defeat across the last four matches, with only a win against West Brom being the exception. Their poor form is reflected on the road as Derby lost three and drew two of their recent five matches away from home.
Derby did manage to win 3-0 in the reverse fixture, but that was way back in August, which gives them a chance to record a first league double over Bristol since 2015-16.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bristol City v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.37 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.62 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.62 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.44 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.44 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.35 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.65 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.3 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.44 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.55 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bristol City and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Bristol City vs Derby County match is: Bristol win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Bristol City and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.13% for a win of Bristol City against Derby County with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bristol City vs Derby County is 23.97% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Bristol City with odds of 5.1 at 1xbet.
Bristol City - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bristol City Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 45.13% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.15% | 2.31 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bristol City | 21.45% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Bristol City vs Derby County Form
Bristol City and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
37 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
|
18
|
27 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -4 |
Bristol City and Derby County Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
22 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
22 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
Bristol City vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
12 Feb 2020 - Championship
27 Apr 2019 - Championship
Bristol City against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Most goals and assists
Bristol City
Derby County
A. Mehmeti
(9 Goals)
J. Yates
(6 Goals)
J. Knight
(4 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
Bristol City - Derby County Key Points
- Bristol won two of their last three league matches, drawing the other
- At home, Bristol won three of their last four league matches, while drawing the other
- Derby lost three of their last four league matches
- Away from home, Derby lost their last two league trips
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Our Bristol City vs Derby County Prediction
Bristol City will look to bring some consistency to their game as they chase a playoff spot. They had only two wins from their last seven matches, but three wins from their last four games at this venue is a good sign ahead of this weekend. Derby has been all over the place recently and starts this round a few points above the relegation zone. Their away form is equally poor, and our prediction for Bristol City vs Derby County is a Bristol win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bristol City Derby County
| Bristol City vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City wins | 2.05 | 1.75 | -14.6% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
| Derby County wins | 3.75 | 4.75 | +26.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bristol City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 57.1% (8.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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