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Europe - Europa League

Brighton
14 Dec 2023 15:00
Marseille

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Brighton vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Steve Ashfield in Europa League Predictions

Both Brighton and Hove Albion and Marseille have already qualified for the knockout stages of the Europa League. Now it's the final fixture of Group B and Brighton need a home win over leaders Marseille to win the group. Doing so is so important as the group winners go into the last 16 rather than the knockout play-off round. The play-off round is rather treacherous territority as opponents will be drawn from the sides who finished third in their Champions League group and that includes Benfica, Milan, Young Boys and Feyenoord. Brighton come into this game just a point behind their Ligue 1 opponents. Only a win will see them be group leaders and move into the last 16 in their first ever European campaign. Marseille drew 2-2 at home with Brighton but will be disappointed with that result as they led that game 2-0 in the first half. Another drawat the Amex Stadium won't be so disappointing as it will see them win the group.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Marseille Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.65 4.33 4.75
NetBet
1.61 4.2 4.6
1xbet
1.72 4.47 4.78
22bet
1.72 4.47 4.78
Betwinner
1.66 4.3 4.6
LSbet
1.66 4.3 4.6
Stake
1.65 3.95 4.7
Melbet
1.66 4.3 4.6
Tonybet
1.67 4.4 4.7
Vbet
1.68 4.5 4.9
Betway
1.62 4.33 4.5
Unibet
1.63 4.3 4.8
Betsson
1.65 4.5 4.75
William Hill
1.67 4.2 4.6
Check all Brighton vs Marseille odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Marseille?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2023 between Brighton and Marseille in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.96% for a win of Brighton against Marseille with odds of 1.72 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Marseille is 39.45% with odds of 4.5 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Brighton with odds of 4.9 at Vbet.

Brighton - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:

Brighton Marseille Prediction Probability Odds
Brighton wins 39.96% 1.72 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 54.82% 2.63 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time: Marseille / Full-time: Brighton 15.57% 22 at Stake

Brighton vs Marseille Form

Brighton and Marseille's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Brighton
Brighton
13 6 4 1 1 5
2
Marseille
Marseille
11 6 3 2 1 4

Brighton and Marseille Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
D W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Burnley

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Brighton

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

AEK Athens
0 :  1
Brighton

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Brighton

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Sheffield United
D W D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Burnley

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Sheffield United

29 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

26 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Brighton
2 :  0
Ajax

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Liverpool
L D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Brighton

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

AEK Athens
0 :  1
Brighton

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Brighton

9 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
0 :  2
Brighton

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Brighton

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brighton
Marseille
Marseille Last matches
L D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  4
Marseille

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Lyon

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Rennes

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
4 :  3
Ajax

25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Marseille

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Marseille
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Lyon

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Rennes

30 Nov 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
4 :  3
Ajax

4 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Lille

26 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
3 :  1
AEK Athens

8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Le Havre
L L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  4
Marseille

25 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  1
Marseille

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Marseille

9 Nov 2023 - Europa League

AEK Athens
0 :  2
Marseille

21 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Marseille

30 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  2
Marseille

Brighton vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
2 :  2
Brighton
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Brighton - Marseille: Form Analysis

It's been an exciting first European campaign for the Seagulls. It didn't start well with a 3-2 home loss to AEK though they did pull themselves level before conceding a late goal. Then they went 2-0 down in the reverse fixture at Marseille. They managed to come home from France with a 2-2 draw and then had two wins over Ajax and amazingly for Brighton they won both games without conceding a goal.. Their last game saw them clinch qualification with a 1-0 away win at AEK. Brighton are eighth in the Premier League and not been the most consistent of teams in England's top flight in recent months apart from both teams scoring in each game. That statistic has come up in their last 20 Premier League game and twice in this competition. Last weekend saw them held to a 1-1 draw at home by struggling Burnley.and that was their third draw in the last four games at the Amex. They are unbeaten in their last seven home games in all competitons since that loss to AEK in September. Of their last 14 home fixtures, only the 2-0 win over Ajax hasn't seen both teams get on the scoresheet.

Marseille have 11 points from their five group games, one more than their opponents. The Olympians are the top scorers in the group with 14 goals. However, nine goals have been conceded by them and only Ajax have let in more. It's been an up and down campaign though and in their opening fixture needed to come 2-0 and 3-2 down at Ajax to get a point. The 2-2 draw with Brighton followed and two penalties were needed to beat AEK 3-1 at home. The reverse fixture with the Greeks was won 2-0 and then they needed a 93rd minute goal to beat Ajax 4-3 at home and clinch qualification. They are currently sixth in Ligue 1 and only four points behind the final Champions League place. The Phocaeans are in good form at present and are chasing a fifth successive victory. Their most recent win was a 4-2 success at Lorient. Both teams have scored in three of their last five games and in four of their games in this group.

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Brighton against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
J. Steele
3
Igor
5
L. Dunk
29
J. Van Hecke
41
J. Hinshelwood
24
S. Adingra
11
B. Gilmour
13
P. Gross
40
B. Facundo
9
J. Pedro
22
K. Mitoma
9
V. Carvalho
10
P. Aubameyang
11
A. Harit
27
J. Veretout
8
A. Ounahi
7
J. Clauss
12
R. Lodi
5
L. Balerdi
99
C. Mbemba
18
B. Meite
16
P. Lopez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Marseille

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

S. March

Marseille
Marseille
Midfielder

V. Rongier

Brighton & Marseille Squad Analysis

Ansu Fati has scored in two of Brighton's last three games in this group. He's injured at present and won't be playing on Thursday. Joao Pedro is fit though and will hope to add to the five goals he's netted in this group, four from the penalty spot. With Arsenal away at the weekend, Brighton might be expected to rest some players for this game. However, that might not be the case as they will really want to win this game and ease their New year fixture list. Joel Veltman is expected to make his return to the side after missing the weekend home game against Burnley. Also expected to start this game are Lewis Dunk, Billy Gilmour and Jan Paul van Hecke. Marseille will be without Valentin Rongier and Joaquin Correa with Geoffrey Kondogbia doubtful. Jonathan Clauss was sent off against Lorient in Ligue 1 last weekend but he's not suspended for this fixture.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (27 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (11 Assists)

Brighton - Marseille Key Points

  1. Four of Marseille's group games have seen both teams score.
  2. The reverse fixture ended 2-2.
  3. Three of the last five Marseille games have seen both teams score.
  4. 13 of the last 14 Brighton home games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
  5. Both teams have scored in the last 20 Brighton Premier League games.
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Our Brighton vs Marseille Prediction

There's a lot at stake in this Europa League game. Marseille only need a point to win the group and go into the last 16. Brighton have to get the win to avoid a knockout play-off game against a side transferred from the Champions League. They aren't too consistent though and drawing too many home games. Our Brighton v Marseille prediction is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Brighton vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions

Brighton to win

Odds 1.6
Brighton and Hove Albion have won their last three group games and with home advantage can be backed to make it four in a row and top the group.
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Brighton vs Marseille match : Frequently asked questions

This Europa League game between Brighton and Marseille is being played on Thursday December 14 and is scheduled to kick off at 20:00 UK time.
This is a home game for Brighton and Hove Albion and that means the game is being played at The Amex Stadium where Brighton have won and lost one Europa League game this season.
This Europa League game is being shown live on TNT Sports. You do need to have a subscription to watch the game but you can follow all the action on our Sportytrader Livescore with updated stats and text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Marseille Prediction
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