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Brighton vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions
A chance to extend their impressive recent record against Manchester United presents itself as Brighton play host this weekend. This Premier League match at the Amex Stadium on Saturday is the second of the 2024/25 Premier League campaign for the two teams and comes with our prediction of being full of goals.
Brighton started the journey under their new manager, 31-year-old Fabian Hurzeler, with a comfortable 3-0 win over Everton. United started their season with a win as well, although it was a scrappy and nervy 1-0 win over Fulham.
The Seagulls have had the stick over the Red Devils in recent times, winning four of the five latest Premier League matches between these sides. Erik ten Hag will be under pressure to deliver after an eighth-place finish last campaign, especially with new signings adding depth to the squad.
Can Brighton continue their hold over United and master this contest? Or, will there be some redemption for the visitors? Let’s take a deeper look at what the form, statistics, and history suggest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 2.05 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.7 | 2.75 |
|
|
3.96 | 2.17 | 3.14 |
|
|
3.96 | 2.17 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.8 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.76 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.76 | 2.61 |
|
|
6.5 | 1.3 | 6.25 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.78 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.65 |
|
|
8.2 | 1.28 | 7.8 |
|
|
8.5 | 1.18 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.03 | 16 | 426 |
|
|
6.5 | 1.25 | 8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.9 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Manchester United match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Brighton and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.44% for a win of Brighton against Manchester United with odds of 8.5 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Manchester United is 12.25% with odds of 16 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Brighton with odds of 426 at Unibet.
Brighton - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 47.31% | 426 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.01% | 3.6 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 22.45% | 20 at Unibet |
Brighton vs Manchester United Form
Brighton and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
|
13
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Brighton and Manchester United Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2024 - Premier League
12 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - FA Cup
19 May 2024 - Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sep 2023 - Premier League
4 May 2023 - Premier League
23 Apr 2023 - FA Cup
7 Aug 2022 - Premier League
7 May 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Brighton started their season with a 3-0 win over Everton on matchday one. It was a game that was closer than what the final scoreline suggests, but the Seagulls were always the better team on the day. Goals from Mitoma, Welbeck, and Adingra were enough to win the match. Brighton also had a numerical advantage for nearly 30 minutes, with Ashley Young sent off just after the hour mark.
Brighton have a good recent record against United, winning four of the last five matches.
The only loss in that sequence came when the sides met at this venue in the last match of the previous campaign. United are perhaps slightly better than the mess they were last season, but a scrappy 1-0 matchday one win doesn’t inspire much confidence.
The Red Devils generated a number of chances, but the usual problem of failing to convert those chances flared up. One positive is the performance of their midfield, as Mason Mount backtracked off the ball and Casemiro rolled back the years to provide an attacking outlet. New signing Joshua Zirkzee proved that he can be an attacker for the future with a timely goal.
That 1-0 win over Fulham made it three league wins in a row for United, going back to the previous campaign. The win over Brighton at this venue last season was an exception of sorts though, as the Red Devils had failed to win five matches away from home prior to that.
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Brighton against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. March
L. Shaw
T. Malacia
L. Yoro
Brighton & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Brighton has a lengthy injury list, but they are hoping to have the likes of Evan Ferguson and Tariq Lamptey available for this match. Pervis Estupinan is also on that injury list, but the hosts hope to have the trio at least in the squad.
Yankubah Minteh, one of the summer signings, was forced off in the win over Everton and is ruled out here, alog with Bart Verbruggen and Julio Enciso.
Manchester United have as many as five players ruled out.
Rasmus Hojlund and Luke Shaw are ruled out, at least until the September international break. Tyrell Malacia and Leny Yoro are ruled out until almost the end of the year, so there’s a lot on the plate for the medical team at United.
Victor Lindelof and Jadon Sancho round off the injured list for United, although Sancho is nearing a return. However, both Lindelof and Sancho are on the market and could be up for a transfer if a suitable offer comes, which means their selection in the squad is not guaranteed.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Manchester United
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
A. Garnacho
(6 Goals)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
Brighton - Manchester United Key Points
- Brighton have seen over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches.
- In three of their last five Premier League matches at home, Brighton have seen at least three goals scored.
- Six of United’s last ten league games have also witnessed at least three goals scored.
- Brighton have scored at least two goals in three of their last five league matches against United.
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Our Brighton vs Manchester United Prediction
Brighton hasn’t been a side Manchester United would love to face, at least in the last few seasons. The Seagulls have won four of their last five Premier League matches against the Red Devils, although they lost the last in that sequence. That defeat came at this venue when the sides met in their last match of the previous league campaign.
Will things repeat for Erik ten Hag’s men? They are still too inconsistent to be backed in the win market, and hence we are dipping into the goal market. Our prediction for Brighton vs Manchester United is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Brighton vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Danny Welbeck to score anytime
Danny Welbeck started the campaign brightly, scoring and assisting in Brighton’s win over Everton. He has scored four goals in his last three matches, coming into this game against his old employers. Welbeck could enjoy popping up and hurting United with a goal. Back him to find the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Manchester United
| Brighton vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.8 | 3.5 | +25.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 2.05 | -43.1% |
| Manchester United wins | 2.35 | 3.5 | +48.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 48.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 28.6% (-14.0%)
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Brighton vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
This Brighton vs Manchester United Premier League match will be televised live on TNT Sports in the UK. Fans can also catch the match live online via the Discovery+ app.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Premier League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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