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England - Premier League

Brighton
25 Apr 2024 15:00
Manchester City

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions

Brighton face Manchester City on Thursday in a Premier League clash for the purist. Under manager Roberto De Zerbi, Brighton have become one of the most attractive passing teams in the Premier League. They deservedly qualified for Europe last season on the back of it and sit in the top half of the table once again this season. They face a Manchester City side who were knocked out of the Champions League on penalties last week by Real Madrid. However, City bounced back to claim a spot in the FA Cup Final at the weekend with a 1-0 win over Chelsea. The Seagulls have lost to Liverpool and Arsenal in recent weeks, Manchester City fans will be hoping they make it a trio of losses against the top three here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Manchester City Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
151 51 1
Betfred
6 4.6 1.5
Ladbrokes
6.5 4.5 1.44
NetBet
7.75 5.3 1.29
1xbet
8.64 5.64 1.36
22bet
8.64 5.64 1.36
Betwinner
8.5 5.85 1.3
LSbet
8.5 5.85 1.3
Stake
8.4 6 1.35
Melbet
8.4 5.5 1.33
Tonybet
8.2 6 1.33
Vbet
7.9 5.9 1.38
Betway
51 19 1.02
Unibet
61 19 1.03
Betfair
8.5 5.5 1.33
Betsson
7.8 5.6 1.38
William Hill
8.5 5.5 1.32
Check all Brighton vs Manchester City odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Manchester City?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2024 between Brighton and Manchester City in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.46% for a win of Brighton against Manchester City with odds of 151 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Manchester City is 30.6% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 51.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Brighton with odds of 1.5 at Betfred.

Brighton - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:

Brighton Manchester City Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 51.94% 1.5 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals 51.87% 1.79 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 62.08%
Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City 22.47% 2 at Bet365

Brighton vs Manchester City Form

Brighton and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Manchester City
Manchester City
91 38 28 7 3 62
11
Brighton
Brighton
48 38 12 12 14 -7

Brighton and Manchester City Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W W L D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Brighton

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Brighton
1 :  0
Roma

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest
D W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Brighton
1 :  0
Roma

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

22 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Wolves
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Brighton

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Roma
4 :  0
Brighton

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  0
Brighton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  0
Brighton
Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Luton Town

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  4
Manchester City

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Real Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Luton Town

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Arsenal

16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  3
Manchester City

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  4
Manchester City

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Luton Town
2 :  6
Manchester City

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Manchester City

13 Feb 2024 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  3
Manchester City

Brighton vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

17 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester City

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brighton

24 May 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Manchester City

22 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Brighton

20 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Brighton

23 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  4
Manchester City

18 May 2021 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Manchester City
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Brighton - Manchester City: Form Analysis

Brighton have lost just twice at the AMEX this season, but have won just seven of their 15 home games so far this season. They come into this game with just one win in their last seven games, with three draws in that run. After rattling in four past Crystal Palace and then five at Sheffield United in February, the goals dried up for the home side with Brighton scoring just four goals in their next seven games. That will be a worry for the home fans given the goalscoring form of their opponents at present.

Manchester City still are unbeaten in 90 or 120 minutes of football for 29 games. Their only blemish, a penalty defeat to Real Madrid after two draws forced extra time and penalties. Domestically, Pep Guardiola’s team have been impressive of late, especially in the Premier League where they sit third in the table. After two successive draws away to Liverpool and at home to Arsenal, Man City have won their last three EPL games, scoring 13 goals and conceding four. They have beaten Brighton already this season, a 2-1 win at the Etihad in October. They have a great record against Brighton in recent years. City have won 12 of the last 14 against their south-coast hosts.

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Brighton against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
J. Steele
34
J. Veltman
29
J. Van Hecke
5
L. Dunk
19
V. Barco
13
P. Gross
20
C. Baleba
14
A. Lallana
15
J. Moder
9
J. Pedro
18
D. Welbeck
19
J. Alvarez
47
P. Foden
17
K. De Bruyne
20
B. Silva
8
M. Kovacic
16
Rodri
24
J. Gvardiol
6
N. Ake
25
M. Akanji
2
K. Walker
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester City

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

S. March

J. Milner

J. Hinshelwood

K. Mitoma

Forward

E. Ferguson

Manchester City
Manchester City

Brighton & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi will have a relatively small squad of players to pick from for this game with ten Brighton players on the injury list. Those unlikely to play any part in the game are defenders Pervis Estupinan, Tariq Lamptey and Adam Webster. Midfielders injured include Solly March, Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma, James Milner and Billy Gilmour and in attack both Evan Ferguson and Julio Enciso have been ruled out. Having so many key players out injured has been a real issue for Brighton at various points of this campaign

In contrast, Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola has just one injury concern ahead of the game with Brighton. Striker Erling Haaland had not recovered from his knock against Real Madrid to play against Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final at the weekend. The powerful Norwegian striker is rated to be a 50/50 chance to play, which could mean Julian Alvarez will get to play a more centrally attacking role in the team. Other than their top goalscorer, City have a clean bill of health heading into this fixture. Phil Foden has certainly emerged as one of Manchester City’s top performers this season having scored over 20 goals in all competitions. The England international is one of the favourites for the PFA Player of the Year award, alongside team-mate Rodri.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (33 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium K. De Bruyne (12 Assists)
England P. Foden (12 Assists)

Brighton - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Both Brighton’s and Manchester City’s Premier League games have averaged Over 2.5 Goals 63% of the time this season.
  2. Brighton have won just one of their last seven games, losing three and drawing three.
  3. Manchester City have gone 29 games unbeaten in all competitions.
  4. Four of Manchester City’s last six Premier League games have seen Over 2.5 Goals.
  5. Manchester City have scored 13 goals in their last three Premier League games, conceding 4.
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Our Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction

Manchester City’s repeat Treble hopes may have died in their penalties defeat to Real Madrid, but aside from that penalties loss, City remain unbeaten in 29 games. A 1-0 win over Chelsea at the weekend secured them a second successive FA Cup Final date with Manchester United, but they had to watch on as both Arsenal and Liverpool won tricky matches to go top of the table. Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola is a self-confessed fan of how Brighton play football, but it is hard to see City slipping up here against a team that they have such a good record against. The data shows goals are likely here, so our prediction for Brighton v Manchester City is for Man City to win and Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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$150 offered for betting!

Brighton vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions

Julian Alvarez (Manchester City) to score at any time

Odds 2.2

With Erling Haaland an injury doubt for the game, Manchester City may not want to risk their 20-goal Norwegian striker. That could mean a start for Julian Alvarez. The Argentinean World Cup winner has eight goals in 31 Premier League appearances this season but has not scored in any of the last 11 Premier League games. He is certainly due a goal and he did score one of the two City goals in their 2-1 win over Brighton earlier this season. Our second prediction here is for Julian Alvarez to score at any time.

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Brighton vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League clash between Brighton and Manchester City will take place at the AMEX Stadium in Brighton on Thursday 25th April, kicking off at 8pm UK Time.

Australian referee Jarred Gillett will take charge of the Brighton v Manchester City game at the AMEX Stadium. 

Mr. Gillett has officiated 18 games previously in the Premier League this season, awarding a penalty once every three games on average, issuing 84 yellow cards (4.67 per game average) and two red cards. 

Darren Cann and Neil Davis are his assistant referees. Graham Scott has fourth official duties while John Brooks is the VAR official, assisted by Akil Howson.

Sky Sports will be showing Brighton v Manchester City live on their Sky Sports Premier and Sky Sports Main Event channels. Talksport will be providing full radio commentary on the game for listeners in the U.K.

Another option to follow the Brighton v Manchester City game is via the  live data-stream in real time with Sportytrader’s Premier League Livescore page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction
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