England - Carabao Cup
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Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Wednesday’s round of 16 fixtures in the Carabao Cup will get underway with Brighton & Hove Albion taking on Liverpool at the American Express Stadium. Both these sides are enjoying impressive Premier League campaigns with the Seagulls currently in sixth place while the Reds are second. Let’s get into the match prediction.
This match will be the first between these two sides in the space of four days as they are set to face off in the Premier League this weekend. The last time these sides met was back in March in a league fixture which Liverpool won 2-1 to end a four-match winless streak against Brighton across all competitions dating back to October 2022.
Given their impressive record this season, the visitors are the clear favourites at the books for this encounter. However, with a busy schedule both domestically and abroad over the next few weeks, they may consider making a fair few changes here which could level the playing field. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.29 | 3.88 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.29 | 3.88 | 2.11 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.88 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.88 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.22 | 3.8 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.65 | 2.06 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.75 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.74 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Liverpool match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/10/2024 between Brighton and Liverpool in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.34% for a win of Brighton against Liverpool with odds of 3.6 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Liverpool is 30.93% with odds of 3.88 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Brighton with odds of 2.4 at Betsson.
Brighton - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 42.74% | 2.4 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.55% | 1.79 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool | 19.48% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Liverpool Form
Brighton and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
29 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
14 Jan 2023 - Premier League
1 Oct 2022 - Premier League
12 Mar 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion come into this match off the back of a dramatic 2-2 draw against Wolves, where they squandered a two-goal lead in the dying moments of the tie.
Still, that result marked the Seagull’s third consecutive match without defeat following back-to-back wins over Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur after the international break.
The hosts have been impressive at home this season, unbeaten after six matches across all competitions, while only failing to score two or more goals in one of those games.
Meanwhile, Liverpool enter this match riding a nine-match unbeaten run in all competitions!
Their most recent match was away to Arsenal where they came out with a 2-2 draw following eight wins on the bounce, during which they beat West Ham in the last round of this competition.
That draw against the Gunners saw the Reds drop out of the lead in the Premier League standings, and they are now one point behind defending champions Man City.
On the road, Liverpool are yet to taste defeat this season, securing six wins and just one draw in seven matches, while maintaining four clean sheets during that period.
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Players list
J. Steele
DefenderIgor
T. Lamptey
P. Estupinan
J. Veltman
MidfielderJ. Hinshelwood
M. Wieffer
ForwardD. Welbeck
K. Mitoma
E. Ferguson
S. Adingra
V. Jaros
DefenderC. Bradley
A. Robertson
J. Gomez
I. Konate
MidfielderT. Nyoni
D. Nunez
A. Mac Allister
C. Jones
ForwardM. Salah
L. Diaz
Substitutes
B. Verbruggen
DefenderE. Turns
J. Veltman
P. Estupinan
K. Mitoma
C. Baleba
Y. Ayari
J. Hinshelwood
D. Welbeck
C. Kelleher
DefenderK. Tsimikas
I. Konate
V. Van Dijk
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
T. Nyoni
M. Salah
D. Nunez
R. Young
Missing players
A. Webster
L. Dunk
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
ForwardY. Minteh
Alisson
MidfielderH. Elliott
ForwardD. Jota
Brighton & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Brighton have a fairly lengthy injury list at present with as many as seven players likely to be sidelined for this match.
Solly March has not featured for the Seagulls in over a year and is still working his way back to full fitness, while Matt O'Riley has missed nine games with an ankle injury and is still sidelined.
The remaining absentees for the hosts in this match include Jack Hinshelwood (muscle), Yankuba Minteh (muscle), Adam Webster (hamstring), Joao Pedro (ankle), and James Milner (hamstring).
For Liverpool, Diogo Jota has now been ruled out for three to four weeks with an injured rib!
Joining the Portuguese international on the treatment table is Alisson Becker, who is out with a hamstring strain meaning Caoimhin Kelleher should continue between the sticks for the Reds.
Harvey Elliot is still several weeks away from returning from a fractured foot sustained on international duty and right-back Conor Bradley is flagged as a doubt owing to a knock.
Finally, new signing Federico Chiesa is working his way to match fitness having only made three appearances since arriving at Anfield.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Liverpool
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
M. Salah
(10 Goals)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
M. Salah
(10 Assists)
Brighton - Liverpool Key Points
- Five of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have scored two or more goals in each of their last four home games.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have only kept one clean sheet in their last six games.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last nine matches.
- Liverpool have scored in nine consecutive away games ahead of this one.
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Our Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction
While Liverpool are the clear favourites to win this match, Brighton & Hove Albion have found a good bit of form recently and their home record this season is very impressive, still unbeaten across all competitions.
The Reds are likely to consider a few changes for this match, which could see their defence weakened, and we fancy that the hosts will therefore be able to find a goal despite their injury concerns. Our Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool prediction: Both teams to score!
Brighton vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Seven of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals scored. Additionally, in seven away games this term, Liverpool have scored two or more goals five times.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Liverpool
| Brighton vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 4.1 | 3.1 | -24.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.9 | 2.25 | +18.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 44.4% (-8.2%)
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Brighton vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Carabao Cup match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool will be played on October 30 at 21:30 GMT.
The Carabao Cup match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool will take place at the American Express Stadium in East Sussex.
The EFL Cup match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Carabao Cup Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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