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Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
This week’s Premier League action kicks off on Friday night at the American Express Stadium with Brighton & Hove Albion playing host to Chelsea. The Seagulls are in 10th place in the league standings with 34 points while the Blues are fourth with 43 points after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After losing the reverse fixture 4-2 in September, Brighton have now suffered defeat in their last three matches against this opponent, following a five-match unbeaten run before that. Chelsea have lost just one of their seven away games in the Premier League against the Seagulls, which was back in October 2022 by a 4-2 scoreline.
Despite the home advantage, Brighton are the underdogs in this match according to the bookmaker odds. However, it was the Seagulls that knocked the Blues out of the FA Cup at this venue less than a week ago. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 2.7 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.89 | 2.31 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.89 | 2.31 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.78 | 2.26 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.78 | 2.26 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.7 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.89 | 3.78 | 2.26 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.7 | 2.31 |
|
|
3 | 3.74 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.8 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Chelsea match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/02/2025 between Brighton and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.94% for a win of Brighton against Chelsea with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Chelsea is 31.84% with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Brighton with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
Brighton vs Chelsea Form
Brighton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
43 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
|
10
|
34 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | -3 |
Brighton and Chelsea Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
Brighton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion were handed their heaviest defeat of the season in their last league match when they were torn apart by Nottingham Forest 7-0 at the City Ground at the start of the month.
That was the Seagulls’ second defeat in succession, while they have only won two of their last 12 top-flight matches dating back to a 2-1 win over Bournemouth in late November (W2 D6 L4).
At the Amex, the hosts are winless in their last five league games, though they have been tough to beat, losing only twice in 10 matches at this venue all season (W3 D6 L2).
Brighton failed to score in their last two games - the first time that has happened since last April!
Meanwhile, Chelsea will undoubtedly be out for revenge after seeing their FA Cup campaign come to an end by this opponent here on the South Coast last weekend.
In league terms, the Blues won their last match 2-1 against West Ham, while their only defeat in their last five league games was away to Manchester City at the end of last month.
However, the visitors have been unimpressive on the road of late, winless in their last four outings, while they’ve conceded two or more goals in two of the last three in that time.
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Missing players
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
P. Estupinan
MidfielderJ. Milner
M. Wieffer
S. March
W. Fofana
B. Badiashile
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
O. Kellyman
Brighton & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Brighton were dealt another injury setback last weekend, with Lewis Dunk sustaining a back injury in the win against the Blues, and he is unlikely to feature in this match.
Dunk adds to the Seagull’s already lengthy casualty list which features the likes of Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Igor, Mats Wieffer, and Solly March.
Pervis Estupinan could return from injury for Brighton this week!
For Chelsea, Mykhaylo Mudryk is serving a provisional doping ban and will remain sidelined for the foreseeable future.
The visitors have four confirmed injury absentees for this match, including Wesley Fofana (hamstring), Benoit Badiashile (thigh), Omari Kellyman (hamstring) and Romeo Lavia (muscle).
Enzo Maresca provided an update on Marc Guiu, revealing the attacker is likely to be out for “a few weeks”, but Nicolas Jackson is expected to be available after missing the FA Cup match last week.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Chelsea
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
J. Pedro
(5 Assists)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
Brighton and Chelsea Stats in Premier League
Brighton - Chelsea Key Points
- Nine of Brighton’s last 15 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine home league games.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Chelsea have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine away league games.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last four matches across all competitions between these sides.
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Our Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Matches between these two sides over the years have delivered goals, and that seems likely to be the case again this week, given their recent defensive records.
Indeed, Chelsea are worthy favourites in this match owing to their league position, but they were beaten by this opponent less than a week ago and are have failed to win any of their last four away league games. Choosing an outright winner here feels a little too risky, but we are expecting a few goals by the full-time whistle. Our Brighton vs Chelsea prediction is over 2.5.
Brighton vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 and BTTS
Brighton have only kept one clean sheet in their last six league games, while Chelsea have only shut out opponents once in their last eight matches. Additionally, five of the last six matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals and with both teams scoring.
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Brighton vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will be played on February 14 at 20:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will take place at the American Express Stadium in East Sussex.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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