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Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in FA Cup Predictions
The fourth round of the FA Cup brings us an all-Premier League affair with Brighton and Hove Albion playing host to Chelsea at the American Express Stadium on Saturday evening. The Seagulls reached the fifth round of this competition last season, while the Blues made it to the semi-finals. Check out our match prediction below.
Chelsea have been the dominant side in this encounter in recent times, winning each of the last four matches between these sides across all competitions. In fact, Brighton have only won one of the last 11 meetings (W1, D3, L7) between these sides. The Blues have progressed from 25 of their last 27 FA Cup fourth-round ties and last lifted the trophy in 2018. Brighton, on the other hand, have never tasted FA Cup glory. Their best ever finish was in 1983 where they finished as runners-up to Manchester United.
The visitors are installed as clear favourites in this contest but it will not be an easy task at what should be a jam-packed Amex. Let's get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.95 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.95 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.82 | 2.23 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.82 | 2.23 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.6 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.82 | 2.17 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.8 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.8 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.75 | 2.2 |
|
|
3 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.75 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Chelsea match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2025 between Brighton and Chelsea in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.96% for a win of Brighton against Chelsea with odds of 3.03 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Chelsea is 31.79% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Brighton with odds of 2.33 at Vbet.
Brighton vs Chelsea Form
Brighton and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Brighton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion will enter this match looking to put a thumping 7-0 defeat at the hands of Premier League surprise package Nottingham Forest from last weekend behind them.
The Seagulls were also beaten by Everton 1-0 a week earlier which followed a six-match unbeaten run dating back to mid-December. That was also the first time they failed to score in consecutive matches since April last year.
The hosts have found home wins hard to come by of late, winless in their last five matches across all competitions and having won just two of their last 10.
Chelsea have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions!
The Blues showed their powers of recovery, coming from a goal down to beat West Ham United 2-1 in the Premier League on Monday night.
Indeed, the West Londoners are on an upward trajectory having lost just one of their last five matches after winning just one of the preceding five.
However, their away form has been uninspiring, winless in their last four across all competitions - a notable downturn following a five-match win streak between mid-November and mid-December.
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Brighton vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
MidfielderJ. Milner
M. Wieffer
W. Fofana
B. Badiashile
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardO. Kellyman
Brighton & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Igor Julio is confirmed out for the remainder of the season owing to a hamstring injury that required surgery.
James Milner suffered a setback in his rehabilitation and will remain on the treatment table until early April, while Mats Wieffer and Solly March are sidelined for a few more weeks.
Pervis Estupinan, Yasin Abbas and Carlos Baleba are all listed as doubts for this weekend and will have to undergo late fitness tests.
Tosin Adarabioyo has scored three goals in his last four starts for Chelsea!
Chelsea made a few significant moves during the transfer window, allowing Ben Chilwell, Axel Disasi, Joao Felix and Carney Chukwuemeka to leave Stamford Bridge on loan.
Nicolas Jackson picked up a knock in their victory against West Ham and Marc Guiu was also forced off through injury. Both players are doubts for this one. Reece James has started the last four matches, but Enzo Maresca will likely give Malo Gusto the nod at right-back for this trip to the South Coast.
Cole Palmer is the driving force for the visitors and shoulders a large burden of the attacking load. The Man City academy graduate leads the team in league goals (14), assists (6), chances created (66) and big chances created (18).
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Chelsea
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
J. Pedro
(5 Assists)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
Brighton and Chelsea Stats in FA Cup
Brighton - Chelsea Key Points
- Four of Brightons last seven games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton have conceded two or more goals in seven if their last eleven home games across all competitions.
- Each of Chelsea's last five games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Chelsea have only maintained one clean sheet in their last seven away games across all competitions.
- Three or more goals was scored in five of the last six matches between these teams.
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Our Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
While Brighton have been in decent shape in front of goal this season, they have been shaky in defence as was all too evident last week when they shipped seven goals on the road to Nottingham Forest.
That certainly does not inspire much confident in their chances here, given Chelsea's recent record in front of goal, as they have scored two or more goals in each of their last five games ahead of this one. Our Brighton vs Chelsea prediction is over 2.5.
Brighton vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 and BTTS
Chelsea have scored two or more goals in each of their last three matches against this opponent. Additionally, three or more goals and both teams scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Brighton vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The FA Cup match between Brighton and Chelsea will be played on February 8 at 20:00 hours GMT.
The FA Cup match between Brighton and Chelsea will be played at the American Express Stadium in East Sussex.
The FA Cup match between Brighton and Chelsea will be broadcast on ITV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our FA Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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