England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa can go above Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League if they win this match. The Seagulls are the home side and seventh in the table with the visitors two places and a couple of points behind them. Here's our match prediction.
Brighton were knocked out of the FA Cup at the weekend but are still in with a good chance of playing in Europe next season. They are only two points behind fourth place and just one adrift of fifth. They'd love Aston VIlla to go even further in this season's Champions League as that would boost the chances of fifth place being good enough to qualify a team for next season's Champions League.
Aston VIlla are in the FA Cup semi-finals and the last eight of the Champions League. They are in good form at present and their January transfer window signings are playing a big part in their improvement. Can they earn three points on the south coast?
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.6 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Aston Villa match is: Aston Villa to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Brighton and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.07% for a win of Brighton against Aston Villa with odds of 2.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Aston Villa is 13.94% with odds of 3.75 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Brighton with odds of 3.25 at Betfred.
Brighton - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 49.07% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.4% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 47.5% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 24.11% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Aston Villa Form
Brighton and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
57 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
|
10
|
48 | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Brighton and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
Brighton vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2023 - Premier League
28 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Nov 2022 - Premier League
26 Feb 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
The local museum in Brighton has an exhibition looking back at Brighton's first ever season in European football. It may have to be updated because the Seagulls have a good chance of European qualification this season.
They are seventh in the table and unbeaten in their last five league games. Four in a row had been won before earning a creditable 2-2 draw at Manchester City. The weekend saw them suffer heartbreak as they lost on penalties to Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup.
Home form has seen the Seagulls win their last three home league games with seven goals being put past their opponents.
Villa are bidding to win a sixth successive match.
Aston Villa have a busy end to their season and won 3-0 at Preston in their FA Cup quarter-final. That was their second successive win by that scoreline and the Villans have now won their last five league and cup games, the last three all to nil.
Away form in the Premier League has seen them win five of their 14 games but seven have been lost.
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Players list
B. Verbruggen
DefenderJ. van Hecke
E. Cashin
P. Estupinan
MidfielderM. Wieffer
C. Baleba
Y. Ayari
K. Mitoma
ForwardS. Adingra
M. O'Riley
D. Welbeck
E. Martinez
DefenderA. Disasi
E. Konsa
P. Torres
L. Digne
MidfielderB. Kamara
A. Onana
J. McGinn
M. Asensio
ForwardD. Malen
O. Watkins
Substitutes
C. Rushworth
DefenderE. Cashin
M. O'Riley
M. Wieffer
S. March
C. Baleba
C. Tasker
ForwardY. Minteh
D. Welbeck
R. Olsen
DefenderI. Maatsen
A. Disasi
T. Mings
MidfielderA. Garcia
A. Onana
M. Asensio
O. Watkins
D. Malen
Missing players
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
J. Veltman
T. Lamptey
A. Webster
MidfielderJ. Milner
ForwardG. Rutter
R. Barkley
Brighton & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Brighton have huge injury problems ahead of this Premier League home game against Aston Villa. Many key members of their squad are out injured and expected to be absent for this fixture. They include Adam Webster, Solly March, James Milner, Ferdi Kadioglu and Tariq Lamptey.
Changes will have to be made both in defence and up front. At the back, Jan Paul van Hecke is likely to partner Lewis Dunk. They will have a tough task on their hands dealing with a Villa midfield and attack that includes Rashford, a returning Ollie Watkins and Asensio.
Up front, we could see Joao Pedro playing behind Danny Welbeck. Out wide are expected to be the always dangerous Kaoru Mitoma and Yankuba Minteh.
Watkins is likely to start this match.
Aston VIlla have a mainly fit squad to choose from. Ross Barkley is yet to recover from his calf problems but otherwise Villa have a strong line-up available. Olliie Watkins may make his return and if so, Rashford may play in a wider position.
Amadou Onana may also make his return to the starting line-up with either Boubacar Kamara or Youri Tielmemans missing out.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Aston Villa
J. Pedro
(10 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
O. Watkins
(11 Assists)
Brighton - Aston Villa Key Points
- Aston Villa have won their last five league and cup fixtures.
- Aston VIlla have kept four clean sheets in those five matches with only one goal conceded.
- Over 90 minutes, Brighton have gone two games without a win.
- Aston Villa have only lost one of their last seven games against Brighton.
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Our Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
Both clubs have a good chance of qualifying for European competition next season. They have both won 12 league games this season and the Seagulls are just a couple of places and points above their opponents.
Brighton have only lost two home league games this season but have drawn six times. Aston Villa have improved of late since the arrival of Asensio and Rashford. Our main Brighton v Aston VIlla prediction is a double chance bet on Aston Villa to win or draw.
Brighton vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Marcus Rashford to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Aston Villa
| Brighton vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.2 | 2.3 | +4.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.4 | -10.5% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.88 | 3 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 43.5% (-2.0%)
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Brighton vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
Brighton v Aston Villa is not being shown live on television in the UK. To keep in touch with all that is happening, go to our Premier League livescore with updated statistics and live text commentary, all will help you with your in-play wagers.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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