England - Premier League
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by Joseph King in Premier League Predictions
Second-place Arsenal make the short trip to the south coast to take on 10th-placed Brighton at the Amex Stadium for matchday 20 of the English Premier League. We’ve got a prediction ready for you in what promises to be an enthralling match between the Gunners and the Seagulls!
After breaking through in the 2022/23 campaign with a sixth place finish, Brighton have been unable to replicate the same type of performance in the following two seasons. A lengthy winless run has them sitting midtable with 27 points earned through the first half of the season. That’s not to say there isn’t time for them to turn things around as they sit just five points behind fifth-place Newcastle.
Arsenal need to be near perfect in the second half of the season if they are to catch runaway league leaders Liverpool. Mikel Arteta’s men are the only team with a realistic chance of catching the Reds according to the bookmakers. The Gunners currently trail the top spot by six points, although they have played an extra game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.2 | 2.45 | 2.1 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.59 | 1.77 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.59 | 1.77 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Brighton and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 11.61% for a win of Brighton against Arsenal with odds of 5.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Arsenal is 38.97% with odds of 3.8 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Brighton with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Brighton - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 49.43% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.41% | 2.02 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 82.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 19.8% | 3 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Arsenal Form
Brighton and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
61 | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 30 |
|
8
|
47 | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
Brighton and Arsenal Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Brighton vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
14 May 2023 - Premier League
31 Dec 2022 - Premier League
9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
Brighton - Arsenal: Form Analysis
An 81st minute goal by Tariq Lamptey this past Monday saw Brighton walk away with a point following a 2-2 away draw with Aston Villa. While they did well to get something from the match, the excessive amount of draws are starting to pile up for Albion.
Brighton have now gone seven matches since their last victory. They racked up five stalemates during that stretch alone and their nine draws is the most in the English top flight.
Brighton have beaten Man City, Tottenham and Manchester United at this ground.
The Seagulls have made themselves a tough team to beat when playing at the Amex. Their only home league defeat of the season so far came at the hands of Crystal Palace in mid December and they’ve already collected some impressive scalps.
Brighton are sure to have their hands full with Arsenal who come into this fixture in excellent form. The visitors have ripped off four straight wins across all competitions and are riding a 12-match unbeaten run (9W, 3D).
Arsenal’s match against Brentford on New Year’s Day saw the Gunners cruise to a 3-1 away victory, dealing Brentford only their second home loss of the campaign.
Finding the back of the net hasn’t been a problem either for Arsenal. They are tied for the third-highest scoring team in the division and have bagged 12 goals in their last four matches across all competitions.
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Brighton against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
F. Kadioglu
MidfielderJ. Milner
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardB. Saka
Brighton & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Brighton boss Fabian Hürzeler has quite a few injuries to deal with for the visit of Arsenal on Saturday. Six players are listed on the injury report: Mats Wieffer (knock), former Arsenal player Danny Welbeck (ankle), Jack Hinshelwood (knee), Ferdi Kadıoğlu (muscle), Adam Webster (hamstring) and James Milner (knee).
Japan international Kaoru Mitoma is always the player to watch when Brighton take the field. The electric winger leads the team in chances created (28) and big chances created (7).
For Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, they were recently rocked with the news that Bukayo Saka would be out for a few months following hamstring surgery. With the team losing one of its primary attacking threats, Arsenal needed someone to step up.
Gabriel Jesus has scored six goals in his last four appearances.
The former Manchester City player has so far been that spark will be the player to watch for the visitors.
Elsewhere, the in-form Jurriën Timber will miss out due to yellow card suspension. It’s yet another fullback out for Arsenal who are also without Ben White and Takehiro Tomiyasu.
Kai Havertz missed out against Brentford with the team citing an illness but the German should return to the starting 11 here.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Arsenal
J. Pedro
(8 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Brighton - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal have won their last four games in a row.
- The visitors are unbeaten in their last 12, winning nine and drawing three.
- Arsenal have won on their last two trips to the Amex, scoring seven goals during that time.
- Brighton have failed to win in their last seven straight matches.
- Arsenal are tied for the best defensive record in the league with 17 goals conceded.
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Our Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction
Brighton have a tough task at hand if they are to secure their first win since November. While they have pulled off some impressive results at this ground earlier in the season, the victories have since dried up.
Arsenal have had success at this ground recently and walked away with a 3-0 win in this fixture last season. The visitors are on a real roll at the moment and are playing with plenty of confidence and belief, even with some tough recent injury news. Our Brighton vs Arsenal prediction: Arsenal wins the match.
Brighton vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Arsenal
| Brighton vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.7 | 1.8 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 55.6% (-3.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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