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Europe - Europa League

Brighton
26 Oct 2023 15:00
Ajax

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Brighton vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions

Gameweek three in Group B of the Europa League will see Brighton & Hove Albion play host to Ajax on Thursday evening. Brighton and Hove Albion come into this game bottom of the group with just one point from their two games. They host Ajax who are in third place, a point above their opponents. Brighton are only a point behind second placed Marseille but three adrift of leaders AEK Athens. Now the Seagulls play Ajax home and away in their next two games. A couple of good results should see them in with a good chance of qualification either for the Europa League knockout stages or a transfer to the Europa Conference League. Neither side are in good form at present and this week saw Ajax part company with their coach, will that bring better results? Earlier in the day Marseille host AEK so it'll be interesting to see how that changes the group table ahead of this match.

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Brighton vs Ajax Form

Brighton and Ajax's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Brighton
Brighton
13 6 4 1 1 5
3
Ajax
Ajax
5 6 1 2 3 -3

Brighton and Ajax Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W L L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brighton

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Liverpool

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
2 :  2
Brighton

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
6 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Bournemouth
W L W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Liverpool

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Bournemouth

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Brighton
2 :  3
AEK Athens

2 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Newcastle

26 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  3
West Ham

12 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  1
Luton Town
W W L L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brighton

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
2 :  2
Brighton

30 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
6 :  1
Brighton

27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton

16 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

19 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Brighton
Ajax
Ajax Last matches
L D L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  3
Ajax

8 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

AEK Athens
1 :  1
Ajax

30 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Waalwijk
2 :  3
Ajax

24 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  4
Feyenoord

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
3 :  3
Marseille
W W L D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

24 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  4
Feyenoord

21 Sep 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
3 :  3
Marseille

31 Aug 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
0 :  1
Ludogorets

12 Aug 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  1
Heracles

21 May 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Utrecht
D W D L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  3
Ajax

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

AEK Athens
1 :  1
Ajax

30 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Waalwijk
2 :  3
Ajax

17 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Twente
3 :  1
Ajax

3 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  0
Ajax

24 Aug 2023 - Europa League

Ludogorets
1 :  4
Ajax
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Brighton - Ajax: Form Analysis

Brighton come into this match off the back of a 2-1 loss to Premier League leaders Manchester City following the international break. That result saw their recent winless record extend to five matches in all competitions with three losses and two draws. They are now in seventh place in the Premier League with 16 points, three behind the top five sides. However, they have only earned one point from their last three league games. It's defending which is their main problem at present. Five goals have been conceded in their two group games so far. Their first ever European campaign began with a 3-2 home loss to AEK Athens. They then had to battle back from 2-0 down to get a 2-2 draw in Marseille. Brighton have conceded 12 goals in their last four matches. Home form has seen them only lose to AEK in their last four fixtures at the Amex. Their last match saw them draw 2-2 with Liverpool. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in all six of their home matches this season.  

Meanwhile, Ajax are in a bad way this season. They currently find themselves in the relegation zone in the Eredivisie, marking their worst start to a league season in history. Following a 4-3 loss to Utrecht over the weekend, Maurice Steijn left his role as manager of the club after just four months in charge. De Joden have now failed to win any of their last eight matches in all competitions, including five losses and three draws. They also conceded two or more goals in five of those matches. Ajax's only wins this season came over Heracles and a 4-1 win over Ludogrets in this competition back in August. The visitors have also failed to win any of their last four away matches, conceding eight and scoring five in that time. It's a tough time for Ajax at the moment, but a positive result will do wonders for their confidence. So far in this group, Ajax have drawn 3-3 at home with Marseille but led three times in that game. That was followed by a 1-1 draw at AEK, again giving away a lead. Five of their last six games have seen over 2.5 goals scored in them.

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Brighton against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
J. Steele
6
J. Milner
5
L. Dunk
29
J. Van Hecke
34
J. Veltman
24
S. Adingra
13
P. Gross
11
B. Gilmour
22
K. Mitoma
31
A. Fati
9
J. Pedro
7
S. Bergwijn
9
B. Brobbey
11
C. Borges
8
K. Taylor
23
S. Berghuis
33
B. Tahirovic
25
B. Sosa
4
J. Hato
37
J. Sutalo
3
A. Gaaei
40
D. Ramaj

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Ajax

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

P. Estupinan

Midfielder

S. March

Ajax
Ajax

Brighton & Ajax Squad Analysis

Roberto De Zerbi has a few notable absentees at the moment, with the defensive duo of Tariq Lamptey and Pervis Estupinan both out for at least another month due to injury. Jakub Moder has not featured as yet this season with an ACL issue and is only expected to return to training in November. Julio Enciso is a long-term absentee with a knee injury and should remain sidelined until the New Year. They are also going to be without Solly March and Danny Welbeck for a while as the injury crisis mounts.

Ajax will not only be without a permanent manager for this match but also have a few notable injuries absent. Geronimo Rulli (shoulder) and Ahmetcan Kaplan (knee) are the long-term absentees. Sivert Mannsverk (knee), Steven Berghuis (calf), and Amourricho van Axel Dongen have been flagged as doubtful but could feature if they pass late fitness tests.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Ajax
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Pedro (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands B. Brobbey (20 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Berghuis (10 Assists)

Brighton - Ajax Key Points

  1. Nine of Brighton’s last ten matches have ended with over 2.5 goals
  2. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in all five of Brighton's home games this season.
  3. Both of Brighton's group games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Four of Ajax’s last five matches have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored.
  5. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last three Ajax away Europa League matches.
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Our Brighton vs Ajax Prediction

What we have here are two sides that have been scoring relatively freely of late but have struggled to keep goals out the other end. Neither of their records are particularly impressive in recent weeks, especially that of Ajax who find themselves in the Eredivisie relegation zone. Brighton have injury problems mounting up but need to get a win here to keep their qualification hopes alive. We feel that we could see a handful of goals scored in this one. Our Brighton & Hove Albion vs Ajax prediction: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Brighton vs Ajax - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.61
Both teams have scored in five of the last six Ajax matches. For Brighton and Hove Albion, the stat has come up in each of their last four games and only in one of the 12 matches they have played this season.
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Brighton vs Ajax match : Frequently asked questions

This Europa League game between Brighton and Ajax is being played on Thursday 26 October with the kick-off being 20:00 UK time.
This is a home fixture for Brighton so will be played at the Amex Stadium in the Falmer area of ??Brighton.
UK viewers can watch this game on TNT Sports. That does require a subscription to be able to watch. You can follow all the action on the Europa League Sportytrader Livescore page .

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Ajax Prediction
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