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Brest vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Newcomers Brest will get their first-ever Champions League campaign underway on Thursday night when they face off against Sturm Graz at Stade du Roudourou. The Pirates stunned Ligue 1 by finishing third in the league standings last season, while the Blackies won the Austrian Bundesliga. Check out our match prediction below.
The 2023-24 season was a historic one for Brest, as their third-placed finish in Ligue 1 earned them their first-ever qualification to any European competition in the club’s history. As for Sturm Graz, their against-the-odds league triumph brought an end to a 26-year wait to return to Europe’s elite cup competition.
Emotions will understandably be running high in Guingamp this week given the magnitude of the occasion for both these sides, but which of them will be able to hold their nerve and secure an opening-round victory? Let’s take a look at some of the key stats to consider in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Sturm Graz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.85 | 4.21 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.85 | 4.21 |
|
|
2 | 3.45 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.6 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.6 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.65 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.7 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.47 | 3.85 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.55 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Sturm Graz match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Brest and Sturm Graz in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.9% for a win of Brest against Sturm Graz with odds of 2.1 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Sturm Graz is 22.59% with odds of 3.85 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Brest with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.
Brest - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Sturm Graz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 49.51% | 4.35 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% | 2.02 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sturm Graz | 17.5% | 9 at Betfair |
Brest vs Sturm Graz Form
Brest and Sturm Graz's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
33
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Brest and Sturm Graz Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Aug 2024 - ÖFB Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
11 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - ÖFB Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Jul 2024 - ÖFB Cup
28 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
Brest - Sturm Graz: Form Analysis
After their stunning performance in Ligue 1 last season, the 2024-25 campaign has not begun as Brest would have hoped, as they are currently languishing in 14th place after the first four gameweeks.
The Pirates are currently on three points, courtesy of a 4-0 win over newly promoted Saint-Etienne, while they’ve lost their remaining three games against Marseille (5-1), Lens (2-0) and most recently PSG (3-1) last weekend.
Brest have already conceded 10 goals this season, which is the second most in the French top flight!
Additionally, while the hosts only lost three of their 17 home games last term, they enter this contest with just one victory in their last five games at Stade du Roudourou (W1 D2 L2).
Meanwhile, Sturm Graz pulled off a memorable feat last term, as they clinched the Austrian Bundesliga for the first time since 2010-11 and also brought an end to RB Salzburg's decade-long stranglehold on the title.
This season, after suffering a tough loss to Rapid Vienna in gameweek one, the Blackies have found their rhythm and enter this contest following four league wins in a row, scoring two or more goals in each of those victories.
The visitors maintained a solid away record last term, losing only once in 16 games and ending the campaign unbeaten in their final 10 matches on the road, including five wins and five draws.
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Brest against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 2 - 1 - 2
Missing players
B. Locko
Brest & Sturm Graz Squad Analysis
Eric Roy has three confirmed absentees for this opening-round matchup with Romain Faivre (ankle), Bradley Locko (Achilles) and Pierre Lees-Melou (leg) all set to miss out due to injuries.
Mama Balde has yet to make his first start for the Pirates since arriving from Lyon in the summer and will be hoping to do so in this match, potentially in place of Ludovic Ajorque, who has not opened his account as yet this season.
Alexandar Borkovic is likely ruled out for the rest of the season due to a cruciate ligament tear!
Aside from Borkovic, Christian Ilzer will also have to make do without the services of Manprit Sarkaria, who picked up a knock in the season-opener away to Rapid Vienna last month.
Mika Biereth, signed from Arsenal’s Under-21s during the summer, has made an impressive start to life in Austria, netting twice in his last first four games, and should continue to lead the line in this one.
Most goals and assists
Brest
Sturm Graz
M. Camara
(3 Goals)
,
R. Del Castillo
(3 Goals)
, 
A. Sima
(3 Goals)
M. Biereth
(8 Goals)
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
Brest - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Brest have only kept one clean sheet in their four games this season.
- Brest have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games.
- Sturm Graz have scored two or more goals in each of their last four matches this season.
- Five of Sturm Graz's last eight away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Eight of Sturm Graz’s last 10 matches in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Brest vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Given the magnitude of the occasion, both these teams will be desperate to impress on Europe’s grandest stage, and we are expecting an open and free-flowing contest when these two go toe-to-toe.
This match will likely give us a clearer indication of what to expect from these teams in this competition, but we fancy that they will both find the net at least once in this match. Our Brest vs Sturm Graz prediction: Both teams to score!
Brest vs Sturm Graz - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Three of Brest’s four games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals. Additionally, Sturm Graz have scored two or more goals in each of their last four matches ahead of this one.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Sturm Graz
| Brest vs Sturm Graz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 1.91 | 2 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Sturm Graz wins | 4 | 3.7 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sturm Graz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 27.0% (2.0%)
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Brest vs Sturm Graz match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Brest and Sturm Graz will be played on September 19 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Brest and Sturm Graz will take place at Stade du Roudourou in Guingamp.
The Champions League match between Brest and Sturm Graz will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Champions League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Nick Walsh will take charge of this match with the assistance of Graeme Stewart, Calum Spence and Don Robertson as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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