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Brest vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
The UEFA Champions League knockout phase play-off will get underway with an all-French affair, with Brest playing host to Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg on Tuesday evening. Les Pirates finished in 18th place in the League Phase of the competition while Les Parisiens ended three places above them in 15th. Check out our match prediction below!
This marks the first time ever that these sides will face French opposition in European competition. The only previous Champions League tie between two Ligue 1 sides was back in the 2009-10 quarter-final between Bordeaux and Lyon, which the latter won 3-2 on aggregate.
PSG have been the dominant side in this contest in recent times as they are against most French opponents. The Ligue 1 champions are unbeaten in their last 30 matches against Brest across all competitions (W22 D8 L0) and last lost to them in 1985. The winner of this tie will be rewarded with a matchup against either Liverpool or Barcelona in the round of 16. Let’s take a look at some other key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.29 |
|
|
7 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
|
|
10.9 | 5.74 | 1.31 |
|
|
10.9 | 5.74 | 1.31 |
|
|
10 | 5.75 | 1.3 |
|
|
10 | 5.9 | 1.27 |
|
|
10 | 5.9 | 1.27 |
|
|
9 | 5.8 | 1.32 |
|
|
10 | 5.85 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.4 | 6 | 1.32 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
10.5 | 5.6 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
11 | 5.95 | 1.29 |
|
|
11 | 5.5 | 1.27 |
|
|
10 | 5.8 | 1.31 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and PSG?
Our prediction for the Brest vs PSG match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2025 between Brest and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27% for a win of Brest against PSG with odds of 11 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs PSG is 11.99% with odds of 6 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.01% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Brest with odds of 1.5 at Ladbrokes.
Brest - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 61.01% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.47% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 26.39% | 1.86 at Unibet |
Brest vs PSG Form
Brest and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
Brest vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2024 - French Cup
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
Brest - PSG: Form Analysis
Brest were one of the five teams to make their debut in the Champions League this season and managed to qualify for this round with 13 points (W4 D1 L3) from their League Phase matches.
Notably, those three defeats came in the last four rounds of the competition (Barcelona, Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid), and they failed to score in any of those games.
However, only one of those defeats came at Stade du Roudourou. Les Piratas beat Sturm Graz and PSV at this venue, while also holding high-powered Bayer Leverkusen to a 1-1 draw.
PSG are unbeaten in their last 16 matches across all competitions!
Indeed, after a shaky start to their Champions League campaign when they won only one of their first five games, PSG bounced back with three consecutive wins to qualify for the playoffs.
Those three wins included a thumping 4-2 victory over Manchester City in between a 3-0 win against Sturm Graz and a final day 4-1 drubbing of Bundesliga outfit Stuttgart.
Notably, Les Parisiens faced this opponent in Ligue 1 at the start of this month and claimed a resounding 5-2 victory here at Stade du Roudourou - their third straight win against Brest.
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Brest against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
B. Locko
J. Bourgault
MidfielderR. Del Castillo
Brest & PSG Squad Analysis
Brest currently have three players listed on their injury report, including long-term absentee Bradley Locko, who has not featured at all this season and is out for the foreseeable future.
Jonas Martin (muscle) and Jordan Amavi (hamstring) have missed 15 and nine games across all competitions respectively and are also confirmed as out for this week’s matchup.
Ousmane Dembele has scored nine goals in his last five matches for PSG!
The PSG marksman has been on fire lately, ending as their top scorer during the League Phase (four goals) while he also scored a hat-trick against this opponent in Ligue 1 this month.
Midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery is the only confirmed absentee for the visitors this week owing to a sprained ankle, while Ibrahim Mbaye is flagged as a doubt, also due to an ankle issue.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia opened his account for his new employers over the weekend and will be in contention to start this week’s match.
Most goals and assists
Brest
PSG
L. Ajorque
(10 Goals)
O. Dembele
(27 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(11 Assists)
Brest - PSG Key Points
- Five of Brest’s last nine games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brest have scored two or more goals in six of their last nine matches.
- Eight of PSG’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in six of their last 10 matches.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last six matches between these sides across all competitions.
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Our Brest vs PSG Prediction
Brest are massive underdogs in this match, especially after that 5-2 hammering by this opponent in Ligue 1 earlier this month. However, they will know an early goal in this one could alter the course of the match.
PSG have largely relied on their ability to outscore opponents and that’s unlikely to change in this tie. Les Parisiens also have an in-form striker in Ousmane Dembele, who has netted nine goals in his last five games. Therefore, our Brest vs PSG prediction is both teams to score.
Brest vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Ousmane Dembele to score anytime
Ousmane Dembele has scored 21 goals in 26 games across all competitions this season, including nine in his last five matches. He also netted a hat-trick against this opponent less than two weeks ago in Ligue 1.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest PSG
| Brest vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 6.5 | 10 | +53.8% |
| Draw | 4.8 | 5.5 | +14.6% |
| PSG wins | 1.44 | 1.29 | -10.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 77.5% (8.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brest vs. PSG game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Brest vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Brest and PSG will be played on February 11 at 17:45 GMT.
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Brest and PSG will take place at Stade du Roudourou in Guingamp.
The Champions League knockout phase play-off first leg between Brest and PSG will be broadcast live on TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the actions using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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