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France - Ligue 1

Brest
07 Apr 2024 07:00
Metz

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Brest vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Kennedy Kechula in Ligue 1 Predictions

Second in Ligue 1 Brest will face second from bottom Metz in their next league game, scheduled for this Sunday. While Brest are 12 points behind league leaders PSG, Metz are four points behind the safety line. The two sides had mixed results ahead of this game but three points will be the target here. Brest are coming from a 1-0 win over another relegation-threatened side, Lorient. The match had late drama as Romain Del Castillo scored in the 86th minute and minutes later Bilal Brahimi was sent off. A more comfortable outing will be desirable for Brest, having scored late goals in the last two games. That win was a welcome break for Brest, who had gone winless in the earlier two games. Les Pirates haven't been quite fluid in attack, failing to score more than once in the last four matches. They’ve however done well defensively and that could be all they need to secure an automatic Champions League spot. In the last 10 league matches, they have six clean sheets, while they managed more than a goal in just three of the 10.

In this encounter, Metz will be meeting the best defence in the league so far. It would pose as a tough game as Metz have the second lowest scoring return in the league. A double for Brest seems likely here, after a 1-0 away win in the first meeting. Metz have actually failed to score in the last two meetings with Brest, both matches being decided by a goal. The visitors have however done well in recent matches on the attacking front. At 4-0 down against Monaco in their last league game, they threatened a comeback, but it would end in a 5-2 home loss. That marked a fifth straight league game in which they managed to score. In the last 16 league matches, Metz managed four wins; all of those came against sides 14th or lower. This will be a tougher encounter, but that doesn’t diminish the fact they badly need three points for their survival quest.

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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Metz Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 3.75 7
Betfred
1.44 4 8
Ladbrokes
1.5 3.9 7.5
NetBet
1.43 4.1 7.25
1xbet
1.55 4.25 7.35
22bet
1.55 4.25 7.35
Betwinner
1.49 4.14 7.1
LSbet
1.49 4.14 7.1
Stake
1.48 4.3 7.6
Melbet
1.5 4.08 7
Tonybet
1.51 4.2 7.2
Betway
1.5 4 7
Unibet
1.48 4.1 7.5
Betfair
1.5 4 7.5
Betsson
1.48 4.15 7.3
William Hill
1.5 3.9 7.5
Vbet
1.52 4.2 7.6
Check all Brest vs Metz odds
Up to $150 to bet on Brest - Metz! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Metz?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/04/2024 between Brest and Metz in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.69% for a win of Brest against Metz with odds of 1.55 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Metz is 19.6% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Brest with odds of 8 at Betfred.

Brest - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:

Brest Metz Prediction Probability Odds
Brest wins 65.69% 1.55 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 67.03% 1.79 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 34.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brest 43.25% 4.1 at Unibet

Brest vs Metz Form

Brest and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Brest
Brest
61 34 17 10 7 19
16
Metz
Metz
29 34 8 5 21 -23

Brest and Metz Last Matches

Brest
Brest Last matches
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  1
Brest

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  1
Lille

9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Brest

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Le Havre

24 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  3
Brest

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Marseille
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  1
Lille

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Le Havre

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  0
Marseille

4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nice

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Montpellier Hsc

6 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Brest
1 :  0
Angers
D L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  1
Brest

9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Brest

24 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  3
Brest

11 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Clermont
1 :  1
Brest

7 Feb 2024 - French Cup

PSG
3 :  1
Brest

28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  2
Brest
Metz
Metz Last matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  5
Monaco

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Reims
2 :  1
Metz

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  0
Clermont

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

23 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  2
Lyon

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
3 :  0
Metz
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  5
Monaco

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  0
Clermont

23 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  2
Lyon

4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  2
Lorient

19 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
4 :  1
Swift Hesperange

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Toulouse
L L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Reims
2 :  1
Metz

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
3 :  0
Metz

9 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Metz

27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Metz

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Metz

Brest vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brest

50 %

Draw

17 %

Metz

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  2
Metz

31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  4
Metz

29 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  2
Brest

30 Oct 2019 - Coupe de la Ligue

Metz
1 :  1
Brest
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Brest against Metz Lineups: Starting 11

Brest

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

40
M. Bizot
27
K. Lala
5
B. Chardonnet
3
L. Brassier
2
B. Locko
10
R. Del Castillo
20
P. Lees-Melou
28
J. Martin
23
K. Doumbia
7
M. Satriano
9
S. Mounie
11
D. Lamkel Ze
10
G. Mikautadze
36
A. Jallow
25
A. Atta
27
D. Jean-Jacques
18
L. Camara
3
M. Udol
5
F. Cande
8
I. Traore
39
K. Kouao
16
A. Oukidja

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Metz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brest
CD Huachipato Metz
Top Goalscorer
France R. Del Castillo (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Georgia G. Mikautadze (14 Goals)
Best assists
France R. Del Castillo (8 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Udol (5 Assists)

Brest - Metz Key Points

  1. Brest are the best defensive side in Ligue 1 this season
  2. Eight of Brest’s last 10 league matches had under 2.5 goals
  3. Half of Metz’s last 10 league matches produced under 2.5 goals
  4. Metz’s last five away league games saw a total of 11 goals scored
  5. In Brest’s last five home league games, only five goals were scored
  6. Brest scored more than a goal in just one of their last eight league games
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Our Brest vs Metz Prediction

Brest’s success so far this season has been down to solidity in defence. They’ve shown great capability to hold on slim wins and that will be a key quality at this stage of the season. On the other hand, Metz have one of the poorest numbers in attack this season. That isn’t likely to change against the league’s best defence. Our prediction for Brest v Metz is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brest vs Metz Prediction
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