Brest vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Kennedy Kechula in Ligue 1 Predictions
Stade Brest will commence a busy 2024/25 season with a Ligue 1 home match against giants Marseille this Saturday. Will the hosts post a second straight win against Marseille? Read on for our preview and prediction.
In recent meetings, Brest have challenged Marseille’s dominance in this fixture. They won two of the last three, the most recent ending 1-0 in February this year.
Last season Brest enjoyed a record-breaking campaign, qualifying for Europe for the first time ever. They will want to carry on in the same breath though their preseason wasn’t great. Les Pirates won only one of their off-season friendly matches.
They finished their preps with a 1-0 loss against Newcastle United. However, having only lost two of their home league matches last season, Eric Roy’s side will be positive about their opening match.
Marseille had a more fruitful preseason run, only losing once in the five matches played therein. The 3-1 win against Augsburg to wrap it up was the third time they scored three goals. The visitors will hope to take this scoring form into the new Ligue 1 season.
They failed to win at Brest in their last two visits and that will motivate them. In the past season, they finished outside European places, 11 points behind Brest. Among the biggest changes at the club is the arrival of former Brighton manager Roberto de Zerbi.
The Italian manager will hope to revitalize the side that won just 13 matches in Ligue 1 last season. Of particular concern for the Marseille fans will be the poor away run, having won just three times on the road in the league last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
67 | 29 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.4 | 2.37 |
|
|
159 | 41 | 1.01 |
|
|
159 | 41 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.48 | 2.38 |
|
|
100 | 25 | 1.01 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.52 | 2.37 |
|
|
3 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Marseille match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Brest and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.5% for a win of Brest against Marseille with odds of 159 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Marseille is 30.98% with odds of 41 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Brest with odds of 2.45 at Betobet.
Brest - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 36.52% | 2.45 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.13% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 49.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 12.55% | 6 at Ladbrokes |
Brest vs Marseille Form
Brest and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
|
14
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 |
Brest and Marseille Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
15 May 2024 - Ligue 1
Brest against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
27 May 2023 - Ligue 1
14 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
4 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
Brest against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Locko
MidfielderP. Lees Melou
R. Blanco
DefenderQ. Merlin
MidfielderB. Nadir
ForwardF. Moumbagna
Brest - Marseille Key Points
- In 21 away league matches Marseille have no clean sheet.
- In seven of nine meetings between these two, both teams scored.
- Marseille failed to score just once in their last seven league games.
- Brest failed to score three times in their last 15 Ligue 1 home games.
- Both teams scored in four of Marseille’s last six away league matches.
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Our Brest vs Marseille Prediction
Stade Brest have earned their place in the upper echelons of French football. They are getting a new status as a Champions League team and will not feel as underdogs against Marseille.
Having beaten Marseille twice in the last three meetings, they’ll imagine this remains a winnable clash. In their scoring form they’ll only be worried of conceding, given Marseille also possess great attackers.
Both teams have really few Ligue 1 clean sheets from last season and our prediction for Brest v Marseille is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Marseille
| Brest vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 2.38 | 67 | +2,715.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 29 | +752.9% |
| Marseille wins | 2.88 | 1.01 | -64.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 64.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.7% and is now 99.0% (64.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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