France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Brest and Lyon had contrasting starts to 2025 but both will be targeting three points when they meet in Ligue 1 on Saturday. Les Gones walk into the match as favorites, placed fifth, seven spots ahead of Les Pirates. Let’s have a look at the preview and prediction for this match.
Hosts Brest suffered a shock loss in their first game of 2025. They fell 2-0 to struggling Angers, bringing to a halt their three-game winning run.
That was their fourth straight Ligue 1 away loss and they will be happy to be back home. To this match, Brest carry two straight wins at home in the league.
Lyon had a more promising start to the year, beating Montpellier 1-0 at home. Being just two points below Monaco, they will feel this is the chance for them to break into the top three.
They have the run to back this up, having lost just once in the last 12 matches. Lyon won seven times in their last 11 league matches. They had a stunning comeback to beat Brest 4-3 in their last meeting with their hosts.
However, twice in their last three matches away to Brest, Lyon lost. Pierre Sage's men will want to carry their run of three wins in four away matches here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Lyon match is: Over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between Brest and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.55% for a win of Brest against Lyon with odds of 3.7 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Lyon is 27.49% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Brest with odds of 2.22 at Stake.
Brest - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 40.95% | 2.22 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.82% | 1.85 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lyon/Lyon | 16.79% | 3.6 at Betsson |
Brest vs Lyon Form
Brest and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
45 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
|
8
|
40 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Brest and Lyon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
Brest vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Dec 2022 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
7 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
Brest against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
B. Locko
Most goals and assists
Brest
Lyon
L. Ajorque
(10 Goals)
A. Lacazette
(13 Goals)
R. Cherki
(16 Assists)
Brest - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon’s last five away matches had 17 goals scored.
- Four of Lyon’s last five matches had at least three goals.
- Three of the last five meetings between these teams had over 2.5 goals.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Brest’s last five home league matches.
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Our Brest vs Lyon Prediction
Lyon will come into this game seeking to extend their good start to the new year. The last time they faced Brest, seven goals were scored with Lyon coming from behind to win. This fixture is picking a profile for high-scoring matches and we may have the same here, looking at the pre-match stats.
Brest playing at home makes this a tough match for favorites Lyon, that’s why we will stick with the goals market. Our prediction for Brest v Lyon is: Over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Lyon
| Brest vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Lyon wins | 2.1 | 2.05 | -2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 48.8% (1.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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