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Brentford vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Brentford host Newcastle United as they attempt to continue their unbeaten home league record. The Bees are ninth in the Premier League, one place above their opponents but only on goal difference. It would be a much wider gap if Brentford didn't have such appalling away league form. They have the best home record in the Premier League with 19 points from their seven games. However, on the road just one point has been earned and they lost 3-1 at Aston Villa on Wednesday.
Newcastle United led and trailed against league leaders Liverpool on Wednesday. They ended up drawing the game 3-3 and we could well be in for lots more goals being scored in this game. The Magpies will meet Brentford twice this month as they meet later this month in the Carabao Cup but at home. Before then, they have this away league fixture and really need to start getting some wins in the Premier League. Read our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
|
|
3 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.81 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.81 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.75 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.77 | 3.76 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.8 | 2.37 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.71 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.75 | 2.42 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.5 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2024 between Brentford and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.41% for a win of Brentford against Newcastle with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Newcastle is 28.65% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Brentford with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
Brentford - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 38.41% | 3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.23% | 1.63 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 82.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Brentford/Brentford | 17.66% | 4.65 at Betsson |
Brentford vs Newcastle Form
Brentford and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
|
11
|
28 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Brentford and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
Brentford vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sep 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
8 Oct 2022 - Premier League
26 Feb 2022 - Premier League
20 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Brentford - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Brentford really are a Jekyll and Hyde side. They have been in excellent form at home in the Premier League this season but only Southampton have a worse away record than the Bees. They are only two points behind the top six and six points adrift of the Champions League positions. but unless they vastly improve their away record, there seems little hope of European football next season.
Home form has seen them win six of their league games with the other drawn. 22 league goals have been scored, five more than any other side in the league. However, 12 goals have been conceded and only three teams have let in more on home soil.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of their last eight home league games. That stat has come up in all but three of their last 16 Premier League matches.
United have to start winning more on the road.
Newcastle United are only behind their opponents on goal difference. The Magpies have failed to win any of their last three league matches with the last two being drawn. They conceded a late goal at Palace last weekend to draw 1-1. The boot was on the other foot on Wednesday though when a last-gasp goal earned them a 3-3 draw at home to Premier League leaders Liverpool.
Only one of their last five away league games has been won with over 2.5 goals in seven of the last ten.
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Brentford against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Da Silva
A. Hickey
J. Lascelles
Brentford & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Brentford suffered another away loss on Wednesday at Aston VIlla. They were without Christian Norgaard and Mathias Jensen for that match and both are doubtful for this weekend home fixture against Newcastle United.
There will also be late fitness tests to determine whether Gustavo Nunes and Kristoffer Ajer can play. Definitely out of this home Premier League match are Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey and Josh Dasilva. With a hectic set of fixtures at present, some squad rotation may take place.
Trippier is still on the absentee list.
Kieran Trippier missed Wednesday's game due to illness and he remains a doubt for this game. United will continue to be missing Sven Botma, Jamaal Lascelles and Emil Krafth. Harvey Barnes could get a recall and if there is rotation, Joe Willcock and Sean Longstaff may start.
Alexander Isak was again on target for Newcastle in their 3-3 home draw with Liverpool. He had been an injury doubt for that match but seemed to get through the game ok. Callum Wilson remains on the bench for the Magpies.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Newcastle
B. Mbeumo
(13 Goals)
A. Isak
(17 Goals)
M. Damsgaard
(6 Assists)
J. Murphy
(7 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(7 Assists)
Brentford - Newcastle Key Points
- Seven of the last eight Brentford home league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Only three of the last 16 Brentford league games haven't seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Seven of the last ten Newcastle away league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last four games played between these two clubs.
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Our Brentford vs Newcastle Prediction
A Brentford home league game usually means plenty of goals being scored. That looks very much like what lies ahead of us this weekend as the Bees host Newcastle United. If only Brentford could get some away results then heaven knows what they might achieve.
Newcastle United also struggle for away wins with only two of their seven in this season's Premier League being won. Three of the last four games between these sides have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. Our main Brentford v Newcastle prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Brentford vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Newcastle
| Brentford vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.25 | 2.3 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 34.5% (0.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Brentford vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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