England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Super Sunday in the Premier League brings us a West London Derby at the Gtech Community Stadium, where Brentford will be playing host to Chelsea. The Bees are in 11th place with 41 points, while the Blues are fourth with 52 points after 30 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Brentford will be hoping to avoid a fifth straight home league game without victory against this opponent, having lost two and drawn two of their last four such matches. After winning the reverse fixture back in December 2-1, Chelsea are now looking to complete the league double over their West London rivals for the first time since the 1946-47 season. Notably, both sides have been good in attack this season, with both having already surpassed the 50-goal mark.
A look at the latest bookmaker's odds shows the visitors as the favourites in this contest. Let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.57 | 2.42 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.57 | 2.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Chelsea match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Brentford and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.6% for a win of Brentford against Chelsea with odds of 3.2 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Chelsea is 19.3% with odds of 3.8 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Brentford with odds of 2.48 at Betsson.
Brentford - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 42.1% | 2.48 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.76% | 1.67 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 22.54% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Brentford vs Chelsea Form
Brentford and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
|
11
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
Brentford and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Brentford vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Oct 2022 - Premier League
2 Apr 2022 - Premier League
Brentford - Chelsea: Form Analysis
After five consecutive away wins and six games unbeaten, Brentford suffered a 2-1 loss on the road in midweek to Newcastle United, marking their 13th defeat in the league this season.
Indeed, the Bees have done their best work on the road this season but will now return to the Gtech, where they are winless in their last seven games, including five defeats and two draws.
Notably, the hosts are the only team that has failed to keep a clean sheet in the Premier League this season. In fact, they have conceded in 16 straight games on home soil dating back to mid-May of last season.
Brentford have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home league games!
Meanwhile, Chelsea are set to play a third consecutive London derby this week and split the previous two, losing 1-0 to Arsenal on the road before beating Spurs 1-0 at home either side of the international break.
However, the Blues have struggled on the road of late, losing each of their last four away league games - they have not lost five in a row since between October and December 2000.
Across all competitions, the visitors have only won two away games, which were against Astana and Copenhagen. Domestically, they’re winless in eight, including their FA Cup exit to Brighton in February.
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Players list
M. Flekken
DefenderM. Kayode
N. Collins
S. Van den Berg
MidfielderV. Janelt
C. Norgaard
Y. Wissa
ForwardK. Lewis-Potter
B. Mbeumo
M. Jensen
K. Schade
R. Sanchez
DefenderM. Cucurella
T. Adarabioyo
T. Chalobah
M. Gusto
MidfielderM. Caicedo
E. Fernandez
C. Palmer
ForwardP. Neto
J. Sancho
N. Jackson
Substitutes
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderE. Pinnock
R. Henry
M. Kayode
B. Mee
MidfielderM. Jensen
Y. Konak
V. Janelt
E. Maghoma
F. Jorgensen
DefenderM. Cucurella
J. Acheampong
B. Badiashile
L. Colwill
MidfielderC. Palmer
T. George
ForwardP. Neto
N. Jackson
Missing players
F. Carvalho
A. Hickey
J. Da Silva
ForwardG. Nunes
I. Thiago
R. Lavia
ForwardO. Kellyman
M. Mudryk
M. Guiu
Brentford & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Thomas Frank provided a positive injury update ahead of their match against Newcastle, mentioning that Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey and Gustavo Nunes could be in contention to return to the squad for this match.
However, the Brentford boss also confirmed that midfielder Fabio Carvalho is now likely to miss the remainder of the season with a shoulder injury.
In terms of potential difference-makers in this match, it’s tough to look past Bryan Mbeumo, who notched up his 16th goal of the season after converting from the spot against the Toons in midweek.
Mbeumo has now converted each of his last 10 penalties in the Premier League!
Chelsea also received a significant injury boost in their last match, with Nicolas Jackson returning to the starting lineup for the first time since February when he sustained a hamstring injury.
Cole Palmer was also back in the team in midweek after missing England duty with a muscle problem. However, he is enduring a dry spell, having failed to score in his last eight league games after netting seven in his preceding nine.
Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Marc Guiu and Datro Fofana are ruled out this week through injury.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Chelsea
B. Mbeumo
(18 Goals)
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
M. Damsgaard
(9 Assists)
E. Fernandez
(9 Assists)
,
J. Sancho
(9 Assists)
Brentford - Chelsea Key Points
- Brentford have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home league games.
- Brentford have not kept a clean sheet at home this season.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Chelsea have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six away league games.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last two matches between these sides.
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Our Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction
While Brentford are having a progressive campaign, much of their improvement this term has come on the road, while at home, they have not kept a single clean sheet this season and are winless in their last eight.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have been rotten on the road in recent times, having failed to win their last seven away league games, while conceding two or more goals in four of their last six outings. This has all the makings of a high-scoring encounter. Therefore, our Brentford vs Chelsea prediction is over 2.5.
Brentford vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Yoane Wisse to score or assist
Yoane Wisse has had goal contributions in four of his last five league matches (three goals; 1 assist) and has also scored six goals in his last 10 home games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Chelsea
| Brentford vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 3.2 | 2.8 | -12.5% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.5 | -7.9% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.05 | 2.45 | +19.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 40.8% (-8.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brentford vs. Chelsea game!
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Brentford vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Brentford and Chelsea will be played on April 6 at 14:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Chelsea will take place at the Gtech Community Stadium in Middlesex.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Chelsea will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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