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Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The standalone fixture in the Premier League on New Year’s Day will come to us from the Gtech Community Stadium where Brentford will be playing host to Arsenal. The Bees are 12th in league standings while the Gunners are in third place after 18 top-flight matches. Check out our match prediction below!
Brentford won their first-ever Premier League matchup against this opponent back in August 2021, but that remains the only victory they have managed in this fixture having failed to come out on top in the last five meetings (W0 D1 L4). Arsenal, meanwhile, have won and maintained clean sheets in each of their last three games across all competitions against the Bees.
The visitors are massive favourites in this contest and need all three points here to remain within touching distance of Liverpool at the top of the league standings. Let’s get into the key stats and try to figure out how this match will pan out.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4.5 | 1.55 |
|
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6.5 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
|
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5.5 | 4.4 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.48 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.48 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.4 | 1.56 |
|
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5.8 | 4.4 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.4 | 1.53 |
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5.8 | 4.5 | 1.58 |
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5.9 | 4.4 | 1.52 |
|
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5.8 | 4.6 | 1.55 |
|
|
6 | 4.5 | 1.55 |
|
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5.75 | 4.33 | 1.53 |
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6.25 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
|
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5.5 | 4.33 | 1.5 |
|
|
6 | 4.6 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Arsenal match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2025 between Brentford and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.19% for a win of Brentford against Arsenal with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Arsenal is 24.74% with odds of 4.6 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Brentford with odds of 1.58 at 1xbet.
Brentford - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 47.07% | 1.58 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.54% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | 1.78 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 18.06% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Brentford vs Arsenal Form
Brentford and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
39 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 21 |
|
12
|
24 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | -2 |
Brentford and Arsenal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Brentford vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
18 Sep 2022 - Premier League
19 Feb 2022 - Premier League
Brentford - Arsenal: Form Analysis
After a very impressive November, in which they lost only one of four league games, Brentford ended the year poorly, managing just one win in their last five matches of 2024.
Their most recent fixture ended in a goalless draw to Brighton & Hove Albion. The Bees have been very impressive in attack this season, though, netting 32 goals to date - the fifth-best tally in the top flight.
However, much of their good attacking work has been negated by poor defensive performances, as they’ve also conceded 32 goals, which is the fourth-most of any side in the division.
Brentford have earned 22 of their 24 points at home this season (W7 D1 L1)!
Meanwhile, after a couple of underwhelming performances at the start of December, Arsenal ended the year on an upward trajectory, capped off by a 1-0 victory over Ipswich Town last week.
That result took the Gunners to eight matches unbeaten (W5 D3 L0), while they have still only lost two of their 18 Premier League games in 2024-25.
Notably, though, both defeats the visitors conceded this term were on the road, but they are currently unbeaten in four away matches and scored 12 goals in that period while conceding just four.
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Brentford against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Henry
E. Pinnock
K. Ajer
B. Mee
MidfielderJ. Da Silva
A. Hickey
ForwardI. Thiago
B. White
T. Tomiyasu
ForwardR. Sterling
B. Saka
Brentford & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Brentford are facing something of an injury crisis leading up to this match, with no fewer than 11 players potentially set to miss out on the first game of 2025.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and defender Ben Mee were both forced off in the last match against Brighton and both players are doubts until undergoing further assessments.
Should the aforementioned duo fail to return in time, they will join an already extensive list of absentees, which features the likes of Josh Dasilva, Ethan Pinnock, Kristoffer Ajer, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, Igor Thiago and Gustavo Nunes.
Additionally, Sepp van den Berg (groin) and Mathias Jensen (thigh) will need to pass late fitness tests ahead of kickoff.
Yoane Wissa has scored six goals in Brentford’s last five home league games!
Mikel Arteta delivered news that Gunners’ fans would not have wanted to hear following the win over Ipswich, confirming that Bukayo Saka’s recovery would likely take more than two months.
The England international left Selhurst Park on crutches a week earlier due to a torn hamstring and underwent surgery last weekend.
Saka’s most obvious replacement, Raheem Sterling, is also ruled out for a few weeks with a knee injury, and he will join longer-term absentees Ben White and Takehiro Tomiyasu on the sidelines for this match.
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Arsenal
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
K. Havertz
(12 Goals)
M. Damsgaard
(5 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Brentford - Arsenal Key Points
- Seven of Brentford’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Brentford have scored two or more goals in seven of their nine home league games this season.
- Arsenal have scored 12 goals in their last four away league games.
- Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven away league matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in three of the last five Premier League matches between these sides.
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Our Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction
While Brentford have been woeful on the road this season, they are a different beast at the Gtech, currently the highest-scoring team at home this term with 26 goals, eight more than league leaders Liverpool.
Arsenal have been uncharacteristically leaky in defence on the road lately, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last seven away games, but they have balanced that with good attacking output, netting 12 in the last four on their travels. Therefore, our Brentford vs Arsenal prediction is over 2.5.
Brentford vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
All but one of Brentford’s home games this season have ended with both teams scoring, while both sides have found the back of the net in each of Arsenal’s last four away league games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Arsenal
| Brentford vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 6.5 | 5.5 | -15.4% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.5 | -10.0% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.4 | 1.55 | +10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 64.5% (-6.9%)
Use £30 free bets for the Brentford vs. Arsenal game!
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Brentford vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Brentford and Arsenal will be played on January 1 at 17:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Arsenal will take place at the Gtech Community Stadium in Middlesex.
The Premier League match between Brentford and Arsenal will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Peter Bankes will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Edward Smart, Nick Greenhalgh and Thomas Bramall as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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