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Brazil vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Daniel Ngulu in World Cup Predictions
Brazil seem to be getting back to their best after a slow start to the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualification process. They have another tough test coming their way in the shape of Uruguay, a side that has had its shaky moments lately. Can Brazil rise to the challenge and claim a first win in three meetings with Uruguay? Read on for our preview as we break down the numbers then we will have at least two predictions as well.
Hosts Brazil will go into this game eyeing revenge for their Copa America elimination at the hands of Uruguay. La Celeste had also beaten Brazil earlier in the current World Cup qualifiers.
With four losses already, Brazil trail Uruguay by two points but will be banking on home form in this fixture. Meanwhile, Uruguay have their eyes on top spot, and with a win here, they might join Argentina at the summit.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brazil v Uruguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 30 | 2.14 |
|
|
1.63 | 30 | 2.14 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.5 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.74 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.6 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.55 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.83 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.85 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Uruguay match is: Brazil to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/11/2024 between Brazil and Uruguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.6% for a win of Brazil against Uruguay with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Uruguay is 41.95% with odds of 30 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Brazil with odds of 6.6 at Vbet.
Brazil - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brazil Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.95% | 30 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 70.08% | 2.21 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.75% | 2.36 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.29% | 5.4 at Vbet |
Brazil vs Uruguay Form
Brazil and Uruguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
|
5
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Brazil and Uruguay Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Brazil vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - World Cup
16 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies
Brazil - Uruguay: Form Analysis
If Brazil’s current campaign was to be taken into consideration and compared to past ones, then they have been underwhelming. The five-time World Cup winners have managed 17 points from 11 matches, winning just five times in the current qualifiers.
Being two points behind Uruguay, Brazil will target going second with a win on Wednesday. They have been doing well in recent times, their winning run of two matches only halted by a draw away to Venezuela in the most recent match.
Home form in World Cup qualifiers remains Brazil’s strongest point. In the last 24 years, Brazil have lost just once at home in World Cup qualification.
In 12 away matches in World Cup qualifiers, Uruguay have just three wins!
Uruguay, if anything, will not be an easy opponent for Brazil. They are not only coming here seeking a third straight unbeaten outing against the Samba Boys but are value for money as opponents.
Coming into this contest, they collected three points in dramatic fashion against an in-form Colombia. In a match that saw two goals in added time, it was Marcelo Bielsa’s side that edged the contest, winning 3-2.
That win was their first inside 90 minutes in the last nine matches. There is some element of shakiness that Uruguay may want to fix before this game. For example, they failed to score in four straight matches ahead of the Colombia win.
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Players list
Ederson
DefenderMarquinhos
G. Martinelli
Danilo
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderL. Paqueta
Andre
Estevao
ForwardV. Junior
Luiz Henrique
Raphinha
S. Rochet
DefenderM. Olivera
G. Varela
J. Gimenez
M. Saracchi
MidfielderP. Rodriguez
R. Bentancur
M. Ugarte
F. Valverde
ForwardC. Olivera
R. Aguirre
Substitutes
Bento
Weverton
DefenderDodo
L. Ortiz
A. Telles
MidfielderA. Pereira
L. Paqueta
Andre
Murillo
ForwardLuiz Henrique
Estevao
G. Martinelli
F. Israel
S. Mele
DefenderN. Marichal
J. Rodriguez
P. Rodriguez
N. Fonseca
B. Rodriguez
F. Torres
ForwardL. Rodriguez
R. Aguirre
C. Olivera
Brazil & Uruguay Squad Analysis
The match against Venezuela was eventful and Brazil will hope for smoother times coming into this game. Apart from their draw, the highlight of the game was Vinicius Junior missing a penalty. That came after the in-form Raphinha had given them the lead.
In the same match, Monaco defender Vanderson got booked and will be suspended for this game. Another defender, Guilherme Arana will sit this one out after suffering an ankle injury.
Head coach Dorival Junior has called up Fiorentina’s Dodo and Botafogo’s Alex Telles to fill in the space left by the two. The duo may at best serve as backup with Danilo stepping up as Vanderson's replacement, for his 65th cap. The hosts also have Alisson Becker, Eder Militao and Rodrygo out with injuries.
Darwin Nunez has scored 13 times in 32 matches for Uruguay and will be key here.
In the Uruguay fold, Manchester United midfielder Manuel Ugarte may force his way into the starting team after his winning goal late against Colombia. Ugarte will benefit from the solidity in midfield provided by Real Madrid’s Federico Valverde.
There are no injuries reported from the Uruguay camp coming into this game which might cause Bielsa to retain most of his starting team. In the search for goals, Darwin Nunez may still be the point-man even after struggling a bit in recent matches.
The Liverpool forward could do with support in the wide areas, from Luciano Rodriguez.
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Uruguay
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
Brazil - Uruguay Key Points
- Uruguay have one win in their last five away matches in World Cup qualification.
- Uruguay lost five times in 10 away matches in World Cup qualification.
- In 10 World Cup qualifying matches at home, Brazil have eight wins.
- In the last 24 years, Brazil have lost once at home in World Cup qualification.
- When hosting Uruguay, Brazil are unbeaten in eight matches.
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Our Brazil vs Uruguay Prediction
Brazil have been pulling some interesting results but this may be just what they need to send a strong statement. While they have injuries to cope with, Brazil have a lot of quality in the team and should be able to edge this.
Their home form in such matches is not to be ignored as well. The same, contrasted with Uruguay’s performance on the road, paints Brazil as favorites. Uruguay have also struggled in attack and could face the same here. Our prediction for Brazil v Uruguay is for Brazil to win.
Brazil vs Uruguay - Other Interesting Predictions
Brazil to win without conceding
While Uruguay failed to score in four of their last five matches, Brazil have been doing well at home. In 18 home matches in the World Cup qualifiers, Brazil only conceded in four.
Right before this game, they have back-to-back clean sheets in World Cup qualification at home. Our second prediction for this match would be for Brazil to win without conceding.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brazil Uruguay
| Brazil vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 1.5 | 1.61 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.6 | -7.7% |
| Uruguay wins | 6.25 | 6 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 27.8% (2.1%)
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Brazil vs Uruguay match : Frequently asked questions
The Brazil v Uruguay match will be played on Wednesday 20 November.
The Brazil v Uruguay match will be staged at the Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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