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Brazil vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Struggling Brazil in sixth-place will look to leapfrog fifth-placed Ecuador in the 2026 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings when they clash at the Estadio Couto Pereira on Friday night. Let’s get into the prediction for this match between the Seleção Canarinho and La Tri.
After a 2-1-0 start to the World Cup qualifying campaign for Brazil, things took a drastic turn when they lost the next three in a row. Defeats to Uruguay and Colombia preceded a 1-0 home loss to Argentina in the team’s most recent World Cup qualifying fixture. It was, astonishingly, the first time that Brazil has suffered a home defeat in qualifying in the nation’s history.
The result sparked a change in manager with Dorival Junior taking over the reigns. Unfortunately for the former defensive midfielder, his team would still struggle in the Copa America. Brazil limped through the group stage only to be bounced in the quarter-final against Uruguay on penalties.
Ecuador come into this fixture after an encouraging Copa America performance. They were eliminated in the quarter-final by eventual winners Argentina, but a stoppage time equalizer saw them drag the world champions to a penalty shootout.
They’ve now lost just once in 90 minutes in their last six matches, winning three. Ecuador started off their qualifying campaign with a 1-0 away loss to Argentina but would then rattle off 11 points from their next five fixtures. However, a three point deduction for the use of false documents means they sit fifth on eight points. A win could see them move past fourth-place Venezuela and bring them closer to Colombia in third, who they currently trail by four points.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brazil v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.33 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.76 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.76 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.88 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.88 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.7 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.7 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.6 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Ecuador match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Brazil and Ecuador in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.62% for a win of Brazil against Ecuador with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Ecuador is 41.36% with odds of 4.88 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Brazil with odds of 10.5 at Betfair.
Brazil - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brazil Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.36% | 4.88 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 65.85% | 1.96 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | 2.38 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.26% | 6.75 at Unibet |
Brazil vs Ecuador Form
Brazil and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
|
5
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Brazil and Ecuador Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
Brazil vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
27 Jun 2021 - Copa America
4 Jun 2021 - World Cup
Players list
Alisson
DefenderG. Arana
Marquinhos
Danilo
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderL. Paqueta
Andre
B. Guimaraes
ForwardRodrygo
Luiz Henrique
V. Junior
H. Galindez
DefenderP. Hincapie
F. Torres
P. Estupinan
W. Pacho
MidfielderJ. Mendez
A. Franco
M. Caicedo
ForwardE. Valencia
J. Sarmiento
K. Rodriguez
Substitutes
Ederson
Bento
DefenderBeraldo
Wendell
MidfielderWillian
L. Moura
J. Gomes
Gerson
ForwardEstevao
Endrick
J. Pedro
M. Ramirez
G. Napa
DefenderJ. Porozo
X. Arreaga
J. Chavez
MidfielderJ. Yeboah
A. Mena
C. Gruezo
Y. Medina Ortiz
K. Paez
ForwardJ. Corozo
J. Mercado
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Ecuador
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
E. Valencia
(3 Goals)
Brazil - Ecuador Key Points
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in four of Brazil's last five games.
- Brazil have only managed to score more than a single goal in one of their last five outings.
- Ecuador have only seen a total of eight goals scored across their six qualifying matches (1.33 average).
- Two of Ecuador's last three World Cup qualifying matches have ended 0-0 with the third ending in a 1-0 win.
- The visitors have failed to find the net in two of their three away World Cup qualifying fixtures.
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Our Brazil vs Ecuador Prediction
Brazil are not looking themselves at the moment and have been uncharacteristically mediocre in qualifying. It's difficult to get behind them and back goals with how unthreatening their attack has looked in recent outings.
Ecuador certainly won't make life easy for the Brazilians and they've shown on a number of occasions what a stout defense they possess. The last two meetings between these sides produced 1-1 draws and we see a similarly low-scoring match in Curitiba on Friday. Our Brazil vs Ecuador prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brazil Ecuador
| Brazil vs Ecuador | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 1.4 | 1.38 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.33 | +3.1% |
| Ecuador wins | 8.5 | 9.5 | +11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 23.1% (-0.7%)
Betwinner’s Nil-Nil Draw Promotion
Let’s face it, nobody enjoys watching a 0-0 draw in football; even less so if you happened to bet a particular side to win the match. Luckily, Betwinner offers relief from one of the beautiful game’s not so beautiful results by offering users a 100% refund on their stake up to ₹1764 should the match finish 0-0 after the first 45 minutes.
How it works is fairly simple:
Place a bet on either side to win the match (regular time only - W1 or W2 bet) on the eligible matches that are featured on the ‘Nil-Nil draw’ promotion page. If the match should finish with a 0-0 scoreline at half time and your bet ends up losing, you’ll receive a promo code that can b e redeemed for the full amount of your stake up to ₹1764.
Keep in mind that this promotion is only valid for users who place a bet using their own funds, other promo codes or bonuses are not eligible to be used in conjunction with the ‘Nil-Nil draw’ promo.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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