Brazil vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Struggling Brazil in sixth-place will look to leapfrog fifth-placed Ecuador in the 2026 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings when they clash at the Estadio Couto Pereira on Friday night. Let’s get into the prediction for this match between the Seleção Canarinho and La Tri.
After a 2-1-0 start to the World Cup qualifying campaign for Brazil, things took a drastic turn when they lost the next three in a row. Defeats to Uruguay and Colombia preceded a 1-0 home loss to Argentina in the team’s most recent World Cup qualifying fixture. It was, astonishingly, the first time that Brazil has suffered a home defeat in qualifying in the nation’s history.
The result sparked a change in manager with Dorival Junior taking over the reigns. Unfortunately for the former defensive midfielder, his team would still struggle in the Copa America. Brazil limped through the group stage only to be bounced in the quarter-final against Uruguay on penalties.
Ecuador come into this fixture after an encouraging Copa America performance. They were eliminated in the quarter-final by eventual winners Argentina, but a stoppage time equalizer saw them drag the world champions to a penalty shootout.
They’ve now lost just once in 90 minutes in their last six matches, winning three. Ecuador started off their qualifying campaign with a 1-0 away loss to Argentina but would then rattle off 11 points from their next five fixtures. However, a three point deduction for the use of false documents means they sit fifth on eight points. A win could see them move past fourth-place Venezuela and bring them closer to Colombia in third, who they currently trail by four points.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Brazil v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.33 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.76 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.76 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.88 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.7 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.7 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.6 | 8.6 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Ecuador match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Brazil and Ecuador in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.62% for a win of Brazil against Ecuador with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Ecuador is 41.36% with odds of 4.88 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Brazil with odds of 9.5 at Bet365.
Brazil - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brazil Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.36% | 4.88 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 65.85% | 1.96 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.26% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brazil vs Ecuador Form
Brazil and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
|
5
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Brazil and Ecuador Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Brazil against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
27 Jun 2021 - Copa America
4 Jun 2021 - World Cup
Brazil vs Ecuador last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Brazil - Ecuador Key Points
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in four of Brazil's last five games.
- Brazil have only managed to score more than a single goal in one of their last five outings.
- Ecuador have only seen a total of eight goals scored across their six qualifying matches (1.33 average).
- Two of Ecuador's last three World Cup qualifying matches have ended 0-0 with the third ending in a 1-0 win.
- The visitors have failed to find the net in two of their three away World Cup qualifying fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Brazil vs Ecuador Prediction
Brazil are not looking themselves at the moment and have been uncharacteristically mediocre in qualifying. It's difficult to get behind them and back goals with how unthreatening their attack has looked in recent outings.
Ecuador certainly won't make life easy for the Brazilians and they've shown on a number of occasions what a stout defense they possess. The last two meetings between these sides produced 1-1 draws and we see a similarly low-scoring match in Curitiba on Friday. Our Brazil vs Ecuador prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brazil Ecuador
| Brazil vs Ecuador | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 1.4 | 1.38 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.33 | +3.1% |
| Ecuador wins | 8.5 | 9.5 | +11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 23.1% (-0.7%)
FanDuel Bet $5 Get $200
Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer! Whether you're a fan of the NBA, NHL, MLB, US Soccer, or more, FanDuel offers you a spectacular chance to enjoy live sports and save on your entertainment. Simply place a wager of $5 or more on any eligible game through FanDuel Sportsbook, and you'll secure a fantastic $2000 in bonus bets, plus a trial of NFL Sunday Ticket! This offer is a golden opportunity for new and users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
