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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Brazil will resume their World Cup Qualification campaign on Friday when they play host to Colombia at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha. Selecao are in fifth place in the standings, while Los Cafeteros are one spot above them in fourth after 12 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
This match marks the 38th time that these sides will meet. However, the one match that stands out as the most memorable is undoubtedly their 2014 World clash where James Rodriguez got on the scoresheet before David Luiz blasted a worldie of a free kick to lift Brazil to victory.
While Selecao have dominated this fixture over the years, Los Cafeteros are ones that are unbeaten in their last two meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 win in this competition back in November 2023. Despite that, the hosts are the clear favourites in this match. Let’s get into the key stats at play in this contest.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brazil v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.25 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.72 | 5.29 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.72 | 5.29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Colombia?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Colombia match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Brazil and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.56% for a win of Brazil against Colombia with odds of 1.8 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Colombia is 36.39% with odds of 3.72 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Brazil with odds of 5.3 at Vbet.
Brazil vs Colombia Form
Brazil and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
|
5
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Brazil and Colombia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Brazil vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
23 Jun 2021 - Copa America
6 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
Brazil - Colombia: Form Analysis
Brazil have had an underwhelming World Cup qualification campaign by their lofty standards, currently on 18 points after 12 games and trailing arch-rivals Argentina at the top of the table by seven points.
Selecao have managed five wins, three draws and four defeats in the competition, but after a 1-1 draw against Uruguay in their last match, they are now riding a four-match unbeaten streak (W2 D2 L0).
The hosts have played six home games in this competition and took 11 points from those matches. Their only home loss to date was against Argentina back in November last year.
Brazil have never lost to Colombia at home in 14 previous meetings!
Meanwhile, Colombia shot out the blocks in their qualification campaign, going eight games unbeaten from the start of the competition, including four wins and four draws.
However, all that changed in October last year when they lost 1-0 to Bolivia on the road, before they were defeated by Uruguay and Ecuador in rounds 11 and 12 a month later.
The visitors have also found wins hard to come by on the road in the World Cup qualifiers, with just a single victory earned in six outings, while they are winless in their last three and lost the last two.
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Brazil & Colombia Squad Analysis
Neymar looked set to make his long-awaited return to the national squad this week, but as has been the case for the last couple of years, injury once again halted his progress - Endrick has been called up in his absence.
However, Brazil’s all-time top-scorer is not the only notable absentee, as Eder Militao, Bremer and Danilo are also left out due to injury, while Ederson will be missing in goal.
Owing to Richarlison and Gabriel Jesus missing out through injury, the hosts have a void to fill at the top of the pitch, which could allow Matheus Cunha or Joao Pedro to make the starting 11.
Raphinha and Luis Diaz have both scored four goals each in this competition!
Indeed, Liverpool’s attacker will have fond memories of this fixture, as it was his brace that earned Colombia that famous 2-1 victory when these sides met in this competition in November 2023.
However, the player to watch in this match could be Al-Nassr’s Jhon Duran, who has already notched up seven goals in nine games for new Saudi Pro League employers since arriving in the Middle East.
For the visitors, Wolves defender Yerson Mosquera is still working his way back to full fitness from an ACL tear, so to is Juventus full-back Juan Cabal. Both will not make the trip to Brasilia this week.
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Colombia
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
L. Diaz
(4 Goals)
Brazil - Colombia Key Points
- Three of Brazil’s last four matches in this competition ended with both teams scoring.
- Brazil have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 World Cup qualification matches.
- Brazil have only failed to score in one of their last 23 World Cup qualification home games.
- Colombia have scored in three of their last four away games in this competition.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last seven matches between these sides.
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Our Brazil vs Colombia Prediction
While Brazil are understandably installed as favourites in this match, they have not been at their formidable best in these qualifiers and were beaten by this opponent when they met on matchday five.
Colombia have never beaten this opponent on the road but they do carry a proper threat in attack and will fancy their chances here against a Brazil side that are missing a host of their first-choice defenders due to injury. Thus, we're expecting a few goals in this one. Our Brazil vs Colombia prediction is both teams to score.
Brazil vs Colombia - Other Interesting Predictions
Brazil wins the match
Colombia have lost three of their last four matches in this competition, while Brazil are unbeaten in their last four. Additionally, Selecao have never been beaten by this opponent on home soil.
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Brazil vs Colombia match : Frequently asked questions
The World Cup qualifier between Brazil and Colombia will be played on March 21 at 00:45 GMT.
The World Cup qualifier between Brazil and Colombia will take place at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha in Brasilia.
The World Cup qualifier between Brazil and Colombia will be broadcast on Premier Sports in the UK and Telemundo in most countries across South America.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the action using our World Cup qualifier livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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