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England - FA Cup

Bournemouth

25 Jan 2024 14:45

Swansea

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Bournemouth vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

Prediction published on 25/01/2024, 05:51 by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions

The first FA Cup Fourth Round tie of the week sees Bournemouth host Swansea in what should be a competitive battle between two teams. Bournemouth looked dead and buried in their FA Cup Third Round tie with Queens Park Rangers, going in at the break 2-0 down to their hosts. However, three second half goals in 21 minutes put the Cherries in front and they hung on to move into the draw for the next round. Swansea had an easier time of it, as they drew Morecambe at home and landed a 2-0 victory at the Swansea.com Stadium, Arsenal loanee Charlie Patino scoring the first and Jerry Yates adding a second late on.

That is about as far as the good news goes for Swansea fans in terms of this fixture though. The Seans have won just one of the last 14 games beteen the two, and that came well back in October 2007. In recent times, Bournemouth have held the upper hand recording wins of 3-0 and 4-0 at home and a 3-2 away win in the League Cup in August this year. The Swans best result in this period was a home 3-3 draw with Bournemouth in April 2022.

In terms of recent form, Bournemouth have lost recently to Tottenham (3-1 away) and Liverpool (0-4 at home) but before that they had been on a seven-game unbeaten run which included 6 wins, a run which moved them away from the drop zone. Javier Iraola took a while to get the team set up in his own image, but there have certainly been plenty of evidence over the last few months that the Cherries are now starting to match their managers expectations.

Swansea are unbeaten in between two heavy defeats to Southampton (a 5-0 loss on Boxing Day and a 3-1 loss last weekend). In the four games in between they have drawn two away (at Coventry and Swansea) as well as winning two at home. Head Coach Luke Williams team lie 16th in the Championship and are ten points outside the playoff places.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Swansea Match

1	X	2
1.22	6.5	13
1.19	6.3	11.5
1.22	6.44	11.9
1.22	6.44	11.9
1.22	6.8	11.5
1.22	6.8	11.5
1.22	6.2	11
1.22	6.44	12.2
1.23	7.2	12
1.23	7	13
1.2	6.5	11
1.22	6.5	13
1.22	7	13
1.2	6.5	13

Check all Bournemouth vs Swansea odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Swansea?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2024 between Bournemouth and Swansea in FA Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.93% for a win of Bournemouth against Swansea with odds of 1.23 at Tonybet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Swansea is 27.18% with odds of 7.2 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 21.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Bournemouth with odds of 13 at Bet365.

Bournemouth - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:

Bournemouth Swansea Prediction	Probability	Odds
Bournemouth wins	50.93%	1.23 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals	71.76%	1.53 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	60.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth	25.79%	36 at Betsson

Bournemouth vs Swansea Form

Bournemouth and Swansea Last Matches

Bournemouth Last matches

All Home Away

W W W L W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 4

Liverpool

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

QPR

2 : 3

Bournemouth

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 1

Bournemouth

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

3 : 0

Fulham

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

2 : 3

Bournemouth

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Bournemouth

W L W D W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth

0 : 4

Liverpool

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

3 : 0

Fulham

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 2

Aston Villa

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 0

Newcastle

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth

1 : 2

Liverpool

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 1

Burnley

W W W W L W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

QPR

2 : 3

Bournemouth

31 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham

3 : 1

Bournemouth

23 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

2 : 3

Bournemouth

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United

0 : 3

Bournemouth

6 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

0 : 2

Bournemouth

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Sheffield United

1 : 3

Bournemouth

Swansea Last matches

All Home Away

L D W W D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 3

Southampton

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Birmingham

2 : 2

Swansea

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Swansea

2 : 0

Morecambe

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 0

West Brom

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Coventry City

2 : 2

Swansea

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

5 : 0

Swansea

D L W W W L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 3

Southampton

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Swansea

2 : 0

Morecambe

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 0

West Brom

22 Dec 2023 - Championship

Swansea

2 : 1

Preston North End

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 2

Middlesbrough

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 1

Huddersfield Town

L W D L D D

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

2.33 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Birmingham

2 : 2

Swansea

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Coventry City

2 : 2

Swansea

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

5 : 0

Swansea

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Stoke

1 : 1

Swansea

9 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham

1 : 2

Swansea

29 Nov 2023 - Championship

Leeds

3 : 1

Swansea

Bournemouth vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

67 %

Draw

33 %

Swansea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33

Total goals

17%

BTTS

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.33

Goals scored (Team 2)

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

29 Aug 2023 - Carabao Cup

Swansea

2 : 3

Bournemouth

6 Nov 2021 - Championship

Bournemouth

4 : 0

Swansea

16 Mar 2021 - Championship

Bournemouth

3 : 0

Swansea

8 Dec 2020 - Championship

Swansea

0 : 0

Bournemouth

25 Nov 2017 - Premier League

Swansea

0 : 0

Bournemouth

18 Mar 2017 - Premier League

Bournemouth

2 : 0

Swansea

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Players list

Bournemouth

Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

G. Kilkenny

M. Kerkez

M. Senesi

I. Zabarnyi

Midfielder

D. Sadi

L. Cook

M. Tavernier

Forward

L. Sinisterra

K. Moore

R. Christie

Swansea

Goalkeeper

A. Fisher

Defender

F. Lissah

B. Humphreys

K. Naughton

N. Wood

Midfielder

M. Grimes

O. Cooper

J. Fulton

Y. Bolasie

Forward

J. Yates

J. Paterson

Substitutes

Bournemouth

Goalkeeper

I. Radu

Defender

C. Mepham

M. Kerkez

L. Kelly

Midfielder

G. Kilkenny

J. Hill

M. Tavernier

D. Brooks

Forward

A. Semenyo

K. Moore

D. Solanke

D. Sadi

A. Scott

J. Kluivert

Swansea

Goalkeeper

C. Rushworth

Defender

K. Pedersen

N. Ogbeta

H. Darling

Midfielder

F. Lissah

H. Ashby

O. Cooper

J. Allen

Forward

J. Paterson

L. Cullen

M. Kukharevych

Y. Bolasie

C. Patino

Most goals and assists

Bournemouth

Swansea

Top Goalscorer

D. Solanke (20 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

J. Lowe (9 Goals)

Best assists

M. Senesi (5 Assists) ,

R. Christie (5 Assists)

Best assists

J. Paterson (5 Assists)

Bournemouth - Swansea Key Points

Eight of Bournemouth's last nine games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Eleven of Swansea's last 14 games have seen both teams score, including both their last two league games.
This season 50% of Bournemouth's games and 60% of Swansea's games have seen both team's score and Over 2.5 goals scored.
The last 11 games between Bournemouth and Swansea have seen 7 with over 2.5 goals scored.
The two most recent games between the two have seen both teams score - A 3-2 Bournemouth win in the league cup and a 3-3 draw in the League last season.

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Our Bournemouth vs Swansea Prediction

Although there are a number of places in the English pyramid between Bournemouth and Swansea, the two teams are pretty close in terms of quality. What the stats tend to show though is that both teams are liable to concede goals, as well as score them and that fairly often you will find their games see over 2.5 goals scored. As such, that makes the pick a lot easier to whittle down from the available options. Our pick for Bournemouth v Swansea therefore is for both teams to score in the game and there to be over 2.5 goals scored in the match as a whole. Bournemouth should win, but don't be too surprised if this one goes to a replay.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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