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Bournemouth vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions
The season's first South Coast derby between Bournemouth and Southampton comes against the backdrop of both teams struggling for impact. This Premier League match at the Vitality Stadium on Monday comes with our prediction of a win for the Cherries in front of home fans.
That's easier said than done, though, as their current form hasn't been convincing. Consecutive league defeats have taken the wind off their sails after starting the campaign with five points from three matches.
Bournemouth will hope they can get back into that groove, while Southampton have their own concerns to address. The Saints have lost four of their five Premier League matches, but a win and draw from their last two competitive games gives hope of changing things around.
The Saints have a poor record away from home in recent times, failing to win any of their last nine Premier League trips. Can they end that streak here? Read further to find our analysis.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.34 | 5.94 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.34 | 5.94 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.46 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.46 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.46 | 4.86 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.7 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Southampton match is: Bournemouth to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/09/2024 between Bournemouth and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.61% for a win of Bournemouth against Southampton with odds of 1.62 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Southampton is 15.86% with odds of 4.7 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Bournemouth with odds of 6.7 at Vbet.
Bournemouth - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 51.61% | 1.62 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 2.5 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 44.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bournemouth/Bournemouth | 22.25% | 2.33 at Betsson |
Bournemouth vs Southampton Form
Bournemouth and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
|
20
|
4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 |
Bournemouth and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Bournemouth vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2023 - Premier League
19 Oct 2022 - Premier League
20 Mar 2021 - FA Cup
19 Jul 2020 - Premier League
20 Sep 2019 - Premier League
27 Apr 2019 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Southampton: Form Analysis
Bournemouth finds itself in the mid-table muddle and is 13th with five points. The Cherries are just two points above the bottom-three, and although there's no imminent danger, they could soon be dragged into the relegation battle if things don't improve.
Two draws and a win in the first three matches, including a 1-1 draw against Newcastle, have given Bournemouth fans hope. Those were quickly extinguished with consecutive defeats—a 1-0 loss to Chelsea and a 3-0 reverse against Liverpool.
The Cherries need to recreate their three-game unbeaten start!
Southampton are already in the bottom-three with only one point from their five matches. They are saved from the bottom only by Wolves performing worse than them so far. The Saints can still take heart that they could move closer to safety zone with a win here.
Is that possible on the current form? The visitors started the season with four consecutive defeats, although the draw against Ipswich last time out was a welcome relief. They have also won against Everton in the EFL Cup prior to that draw, so there's enough hope that things can be turning around.
Giving credence to those hopes is the fact that Southampton have won two of their last three away matches in all competitions.
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Bournemouth against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Bournemouth & Southampton Squad Analysis
Tyler Adams is the only confirmed absentee for Bournemouth out of this match with a back injury. The hosts have a clear bill of health otherwise, but would need their players to step up and perform.
Antoine Semenyo has two goals and one assist to his name this Premier League campaign, but will also have to be careful with his game as he already picked up two yellow cards in this Premier League season. Luis Sinisterra is another key player for the Cherries, who has one goal and assists for the team. Both came in their only win this season, so another impactful performance could be key for Bournemouth.
Semenyo remains the best bet for Bournemouth!
Jack Stephens won't be leading Southampton, as he serves the third and final match of his suspension for the red card received against Manchester United. The visitors are also struggling with injuries as Gavin Bazunu is out of contention for this trip, along with Kamaldeen Sulemana and William Smallbone.
One of the shining lights for Southampton is the 18-year-old Tyler Dibling, who scored his first goal for the club against Ipswich in a game that landed their only point of this league campaign.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Southampton
Evanilson
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Semenyo
(4 Goals)
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
L. Cook
(3 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Bournemouth - Southampton Key Points
- Bournemouth won four of their last eight home Premier League matches, losing only twice
- Bournemouth won 1-0 when these sides last met in the Premier League
- Southampton lost seven of their last nine away league matches, drawing the other two
- Southampton have lost both their away matches in this Premier League campaign
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Our Bournemouth vs Southampton Prediction
This match isn't likely to stir the excitement factor for neutral fans, as both Bournemouth and Southampton have failed to get their campaigns going. Both need a win to desperately grab some momentum, although a win could actually push them closer to the top-half of the points tally. Southampton are going through a rough patch with only one point to their kitty, albeit coming in their last league match. There are no clear winners on recent form, but Bournemouth have a slight edge to get their campaign back on track. Our prediction for Bournemouth vs Southampton is a win for Bournemouth.
Bournemouth vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Antoine Semenyo to score anytime
Antoine Semenyo is the best player for Bournemouth this season, with two goals in his last five league matches. He is already in line to improve his record of eight goals last season. Can he get a move on and add another to his tally here? Back Semenyo to score here.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Bournemouth vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
This Bournemouth vs Southampton English Premier League match is set to be broadcast live on the TV via Sky Sports' Monday Night football.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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