Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
AFC Bournemouth host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon. The Cherries will welcome former manager Eddie Howe back to the Vitality Stadium for this game. Howe’s Magpies first match of the season ended positively, but looking into the data for our prediction for this game showed just how tricky this game is to forecast.
Andoni Iraola has overseen a number of changes to his Bournemouth squad this summer, most notably the loss of key striker Dominic Solanke. However, they did pick up a point in their opening game and they will want something here ahead of a tough run of fixtures. Those games include West Ham in the Carabao Cup Second round, as well as forthcoming league games against Everton, Chelsea and Liverpool.
Eddie Howe will know his remit this season is to get Newcastle back into the Champions League picture, so a second win would be a great start. Especially with their next two home fixtures coming against Tottenham and Manchester City. Sandro Tonali is due to return from his ban imminently and Joelinton is also back from the injury he suffered last season. The Magpies are currently sixth in the table with three points, whereas their opponents lie ninth in the table on one point.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19 | 1.05 | 17 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.8 | 2.15 |
|
|
25 | 1.09 | 13.3 |
|
|
25 | 1.09 | 13.3 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.86 | 2.16 |
|
|
13.25 | 1.08 | 9.75 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.84 | 2.21 |
|
|
3 | 3.85 | 2.23 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Newcastle match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/08/2024 between Bournemouth and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.66% for a win of Bournemouth against Newcastle with odds of 25 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Newcastle is 26.15% with odds of 3.86 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Bournemouth with odds of 17 at Bet365.
Bournemouth - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 38.66% | 25 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.88% | 7.12 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth | 14.59% | 7 at Ladbrokes |
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Form
Bournemouth and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
8
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Bournemouth and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Bournemouth against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
20 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2022 - Premier League
1 Jul 2020 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Bournemouth came into this game having lost just one of their last five games, a friendly defeat on penalties to Arsenal. They began their competitive fixtures with a 1-1 draw against Nottingham Forest last weekend.
Seven of Bournemouth’s last eight home games have seen over 2.5 goals scored, and goals have been going in at both ends in league games for the Cherries. That hasn’t changed based on their opening game of this season - when Antoine Semenyo levelled on 86 minutes to earn the point against Forest.
Bournemouth won one of the previous five games against Newcastle.
That game was a 2-0 win last season, They have also drawn three and lost once to the Magpies in that run.
Including friendlies, Newcastle United have lost just one of their last eight games. They have been particularly impressive in defence, conceding just four goals over seven pre-season games. In response, they have netted 13 goals in those seven matches, winning six of them.
Last week, the Magpies started slowly against Southampton.
A lethargic start was compounded by Fabian Schar’s sending-off against the Saints after 27 minutes. However, Aleksander Isak capitalised on a mistake by the Saints goalkeeper, giving Joelinton the chance to score just before half-time, which the Brazilian took.
Defensively, Newcastle held on well against Southampton to claim the win and set them up nicely for this trip to the South Coast.
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Bournemouth against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
T. Adams
P. Billing
ForwardE. Unal
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
F. Schar
MidfielderL. Miley
J. Willock
ForwardC. Wilson
Bournemouth & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Bournemouth head coach Andoni Iraola could make several key changes for this game. Enes Unal and Tyler Adams are both out for a while yet, while defender Marcos Senesi is also ruled out. Julian Araujo may get his first start at right back after coming on as a substitute against Nottingham Forest.
Another summer signing, Dean Huijsen, should continue in central defence alongside Ilya Zabarnyi. However, there may be a change in attack where £40m summer signing from FC Porto, Evanilson, may get his debut for the club in front of the home fans.
Despite scoring the equaliser against Forest, Antoine Semenyo may be set to start on the bench again.
Luis Sinisterra is expected to keep his place in the team.
Eddie Howe will have to make at least one change from the team that started against Southampton. Fabian Schar will start the first game of a three-match ban for his straight red card in that game. With Sven Botman and Jamal Lascelles both out, that means ex-Bournemouth defender Lloyd Kelly will likely get his full debut for Newcastle against his former side.
Sandro Tonali’s ban expires on Monday, so he is out of contention for this game, as is Callum Wilson, who remains injured. However, the exciting front three, Anthony Gordon, Jacob Murphy, and Alexander Isak, should continue in attack for the Magpies.
Bournemouth - Newcastle Key Points
- Four of Bournemouth's last five EPL games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Three of Newcastle's last five Premier League matches have also seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- The last match between the two finished in a 2-2 draw at St James' Park in February 2024.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last six matches between the two teams.
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Our Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction
Our prediction for Bournemouth vs. Newcastle United is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Recent matches between these two teams have been tricky to predict regarding results, but there is a history of both teams scoring in this fixture. Add to that the fact that this is Bournemouth's first home game and that Newcastle played most of their win over Southampton with ten men, and chances will be likely. Given the quality attackers on show, and the solid start both teams made, both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals looks a good option.
Bournemouth vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Total Goals Exact - Three
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Newcastle
| Bournemouth vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 3 | 19 | +533.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 1.05 | -70.8% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.15 | 17 | +690.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bournemouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 533.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 5.3% (-28.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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