England - FA Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions
Bournemouth attempt to make history this weekend when they play host to Manchester City in the FA Cup quarter-finals. The Premier League side have never reached the semi-finals of this competition. Can the CHerries make it to Wembley? Here's our match prediction.
The home side are playing in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup for only the third time in their history. They are tenth in the Premier League but that's only four points behind their opponents. Their form has slipped a little in recent weeks though.
Manchester City are so consistent in this competition. Not since 2018 have the Citizens failed to make it to Wembley for an FA Cup semi-final. They last lifted the trophy two seasons ago and were the losing finalist last year. It's been a strange season for them with their Premier League title defence being a hugely disappointing one. Domestically, they won the Community Shield this season but this is their only hope of adding to that silverware.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.7 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Manchester City match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between Bournemouth and Manchester City in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.63% for a win of Bournemouth against Manchester City with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Manchester City is 13.46% with odds of 3.96 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
Bournemouth - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 44.91% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.92% | 1.57 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | 1.48 at Betway |
| Half-time : Bournemouth / Full-time : Manchester City | 19.09% | 26 at Betsson |
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Form
Bournemouth and Manchester City Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
24 Sep 2020 - Carabao Cup
Bournemouth - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Over 90 minutes, Bournemouth have gone five games without a win. Their most recent match saw the Cherries lose 2-1 at home to Brentford. They have failed to win any of their last four home games over 90 minutes.
To reach this quarter-final, they have beaten West Bromwich Albion, won away at Everton and beat Wolves at home on penalties after a 1-1 draw. Only one of their last six home FA Cup ties has been lost. That was a 1-0 loss to Leicester City last season.
City still remain an inconsistent team.
Manchester City lost 2-1 away to Bournemouth last November. That was the second in a row of five successive defeats. City are also inconsistent at present with just a couple of wins in their last six matches. Four of their last six away matches have ended in defeat.
It's been an eventful time for them in the FA Cup this season. They have beaten Salford City, Leyton Orient and Plymouth Argyle with 13 goals scored. However, they have managed to go behind against both Orient and Plymouth.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Bournemouth against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Araujo
ForwardE. Unal
M. Akanji
J. Stones
N. Ake
MidfielderO. Bobb
Rodri
Bournemouth & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Some say the FA Cup is not what it used to be. Tell that to the Bournemouth fans and players who are dreaming of reaching their first ever FA Cup semi-final. A day out at Wembley where the semi-finals are played (a wrong decision by the way) is not to be sniffed at.
As will have been the case for Manchester City, the past week will have been spent hoping that their players didn't get injured playing internationals for their countries. Bournemouth seems to have got through those games unscathed.
Suspensions have hit the Bournemouth squad.
Ryan Christie has been having groin problems this season but didn't have any problems playing for Scotland against Croatia. It's not all good news for the home side. Both Milos Kerkez and Dean Huijsen are suspended for this match.
There are still doubts over Luis Sinisterra who had to go off early in their last game against Brentford and didn't play during the international break. Both Marcos Senesi and Julian Araujo are back in full training and should feature in some way for Bournemouth this weekend.
Manchester City have an excellent recent FA Cup record. Their fans are used to going to Wembley each season for at least a semi-final. Former Bournemouth player Nathan Ake won't be playing against his former side this weekend.
John Stones and Manuel Akanji are also both ruled out with Bernardo Silva and Oscar Bobb doubtful. Both Marmoush and Haaland are fit though and likely to cause plenty of problems for the Bournemouth defence.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Manchester City
J. Kluivert
(12 Goals)
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
J. Kluivert
(5 Assists)
, 
M. Tavernier
(5 Assists)
, 
M. Kerkez
(5 Assists)
Savinho
(9 Assists)
Bournemouth - Manchester City Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Manchester City's last eight away games.
- The last two City FA Cup games have each seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- These two clubs have met once this season with Bournemouth winning 2-1 at home.
- Five of the last six Bournemouth games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction
Neither of these clubs are in the best of form at present. Bournemouth have been struggling in recent matches and lost their last home game 2-1 to Brentford. They have the chance here to make it into the FA Cup semi-finals for the first time but have conceded in six consecutive games.
You never quite know these days what you are going to get with Manchester City. They are still capable of stunning displays but then have some disappointing performances. Our main Bournemouth v Manchester City prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Manchester City
| Bournemouth vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 3.9 | 3.1 | -20.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.95 | 2.15 | +10.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 46.5% (-4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bournemouth vs. Manchester City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bournemouth and Manchester City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
