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Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Premier League action returns this week after the international break and at the Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth host Chelsea in a match that promises plenty of goals. Will our prediction back the Cherries to inflict a second defeat of the season on the visitors? Or can The Blues earn another comprehensive victory on the road?
Just two places in the table separate the two teams. Bournemouth is currently ninth on five points, while Chelsea is eleventh on four points. Tottenham Hotspurs are the only team between the two opponents heading into this game.
This fixture begins a tough spell of games for Bournemouth, who also face Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa and Manchester City across their next seven games. Chelsea meanwhile will start their Europa Conference League campaign on Tuesday home to Gent. The start of a busy period of games for the Londoners.
That run also includes games against West Ham, Brighton, Liverpool, Newcastle and Manchester United in their next ten fixtures.
Therefore, both managers must pick up some points before the teams head into a busy and crucial part of the season, when games come thick and fast.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.75 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.44 | 4.12 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.44 | 4.12 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 4 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.4 | 4 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.45 | 4 | 2 |
|
|
3.38 | 4.1 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.9 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.21 | 3.89 | 2.19 |
|
|
3 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.85 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.9 | 2 |
|
|
3 | 3.9 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Bournemouth and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.17% for a win of Bournemouth against Chelsea with odds of 3.45 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Chelsea is 27.2% with odds of 4.12 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.28 at Betsson.
Bournemouth - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 38.63% | 2.28 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.57% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 15.88% | 6 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Chelsea Form
Bournemouth and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
|
12
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Bournemouth and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2023 - Premier League
6 May 2023 - Premier League
27 Dec 2022 - Premier League
29 Feb 2020 - Premier League
14 Dec 2019 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Bournemouth remain unbeaten this season, but boss Andoni Iraola will know that is somewhat fortuitous. Draws with Nottingham Forest and Newcastle could have easily been defeated. In their last game away to Everton, they were losing 2-0 after 87 minutes. However, they staged an incredible and unlikely comeback to win 3-2 at the Premier League bottom club.
Their recent form against Chelsea isn't impressive.
Their last home win against Chelsea came in January 2019, and their only other home win against the Londoners was in 1988.
Under Andoni Iraola, the Cherries are playing some expansive football, but they need a little cutting edge in attack—notably someone to score the same number of goals as the now-departed Dominic Solanke.
The England international left Bournemouth and joined Tottenham in the transfer window.
Chelsea began the season with a 2-0 defeat at home to Champions Manchester City. However, despite the loss, there were encouraging signs in that performance of better things to come. They arrived when they visited Wolves in their next game, winning 6-2 with Noni Madueke scoring a hat-trick.
Their most recent game ahead of the international break saw them lead Crystal Palace, but Eberechi Eze's inspired strike handed the Eagles a share of the points. That game showed that despite improvements, Chelsea still has a little way to go to be a realistic challenger to the top four.
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Bournemouth against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Ouattara
O. Kellyman
Bournemouth & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Bournemouth will be without the injured Enes Unal and Tyler Adams for the game with Chelsea this weekend. However, manager Iraola will be able to name a team that will likely be close to the one that clinched the record-breaking win over Everton in their last Premier League match.
That means Kepa Arrizabalaga will continue in goal in place of Mark Travers. Luis Sinisterra, who scored the winner against Everton, could come into the team to replace Justin Kluivert if Iraola opts to change his attacking quartet.
Brazilian striker Evanilson is yet to score a Premier League goal.
However, he should start in attack as he seeks to establish himself as the first-choice central striker for Bournemouth.
Chelsea has injury issues in the right full-back position, with Malo Gusto and Reece James both ruled out of the game due to injury. That may mean Levi Colwill moves to right back, with either Axel Disasi or Tosin Adarabioyo coming in.
Cole Palmer pulled out of the England squad for the recent Nations League games, but he is expected to be fit enough to play against Bournemouth if required. If not, then Joao Felix may get a chance to deputize.
After his loan switch from Manchester United, Jadon Sancho will likely be on the bench for this fixture.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Chelsea
A. Semenyo
(4 Goals)
, 
Evanilson
(4 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
L. Cook
(3 Assists)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
Bournemouth - Chelsea Key Points
- Only Manchester City (nine) have scored more than Chelsea's seven goals in the Premier League.
- Chelsea scored six goals in their only other Premier League away fixture this season.
- Bournemouth have picked up one point from their previous two EPL home matches.
- Chelsea have won three of the last four matches between the two teams.
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Our Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction
Our prediction for Bournemouth vs. Chelsea in the Premier League is: Chelsea to win.
Chelsea's Premier League home form may be a concern, but they were superb away from home against Wolves. They face a Bournemouth side against whom they have an excellent recent record, both at home and away. The Cherries are unbeaten this season but were fortunate to fight back at Everton and drew their other two games. This should be an open contest, but the data suggests Chelsea has enough firepower to take the three points.
Bournemouth vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Nicolas Jackson (Chelsea) to score at any time.
The Senegalese striker has scored twice in three games for Chelsea this season, scoring once against Wolves and the other against Crystal Palace. Of Chelsea's central striking options, he is the man in form at present, ably supported by Cole Palmer and Noni Madueke in particular. Chelsea should create plenty of chances against a Bournemouth side that have conceded in every Premier League game this season.
That suggests Jackson has a very good chance to add to his goal tally this season in this game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Chelsea
| Bournemouth vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 3.1 | 3 | -3.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.2 | 2.25 | +2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 44.4% (-1.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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