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Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
A South Coast battle is in the offing as Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion prepare to square it out in the Premier League this Saturday. Our preview of this match will break down the stats before we offer a prediction.
The Cherries start the weekend in the bottom half despite recent encouraging results. On the other hand, the Seagulls will be looking to rise into the top four with an away win. A disappointing defeat ushered Bournemouth into the international break having done well before that. They will bank on their good recent run at home in the league for a lift here.
Meanwhile, Brighton left for the break on a high and will be looking to continue in the same breath. They haven't been on a great away run and hope for a shift here. Brighton have dominated this matchup and will be looking to bag another win here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.67 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.67 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.56 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.61 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Brighton match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2024 between Bournemouth and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.56% for a win of Bournemouth against Brighton with odds of 2.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Brighton is 18.76% with odds of 3.75 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Bournemouth with odds of 2.95 at Stake.
Bournemouth - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 43.56% | 2.5 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.31% | 1.98 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Bournemouth/Bournemouth | 16.11% | 4.1 at Betsson |
Bournemouth vs Brighton Form
Bournemouth and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
|
13
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
Bournemouth and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Bournemouth vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
21 Jan 2020 - Premier League
28 Dec 2019 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Brighton: Form Analysis
Bournemouth will be happy to be back at home for this game. They are coming from a 3-2 away loss at Brentford, having let their lead slip on two occasions.
A win at the Bees would have been a rare occurrence but we can’t say the same of their home form. Bournemouth have three straight wins at home. The most recent of them was a 2-1 outcome against Manchester City, while earlier they had beaten Arsenal and Southampton there.
Andoni Iraola’s side will be attempting to win four straight Premier League home matches for the first time.
Bournemouth are on a three-match winning streak at home.
While Bournemouth lick wounds from their defeat before the break, Brighton will be looking to build on their win against Manchester City. An impressive second half comeback from Brighton condemned City to a fourth straight defeat in all competitions.
With that they ended their three-match winless run in a big way and will hope to carry on here. Only goal difference is keeping Brighton out of the top four at the moment. They are one of the four teams on 19 points.
To stand out among the best, the Seagulls need to improve defensively. They have the poorest defensive record in the top eight.
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Bournemouth against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Araujo
MidfielderA. Scott
ForwardL. Sinisterra
A. Webster
L. Dunk
F. Kadioglu
T. Lamptey
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
Bournemouth & Brighton Squad Analysis
The price for the good performances Bournemouth have put in is injuries to their players. With a higher work rate comes a bigger injury risk and as such, they’ll miss at least three players while two more need late tests.
Alex Scott is ruled out with a knee injury while Luis Sinisterra has a hamstring injury and Dango Ouattara has an adductor injury. Julian Araujo (thigh) and Antoine Semenyo (knee) are listed as doubtful for this match.
Evanilson has scored in each of Bournemouth’s last three league matches and he will be charged for this.
Brighton are stuggling, with a number of their top players missing.
The international break must have come at an opportune moment for Brighton and for players to take a short rest.
In the run up to this game, Brighton have Jack Hinshelwood, Yasin Ayari, Tariq Lamptey, Carlos Baleba and Ferdi Kadioglu all doubtful for this game. Apart from these players, veteran James Milner is confirmed out with a thigh injury.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Brighton
Evanilson
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Semenyo
(4 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
L. Cook
(3 Assists)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
Bournemouth - Brighton Key Points
- A total of 15 goals were scored in Brighton’s last five away league matches.
- Each of Brighton’s last four matches had at least three goals scored.
- The last five meetings between these teams resulted in 14 goals.
- Each of Bournemouth’s last two matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Bournemouth’s last five matches averaged 2.6 goals.
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Our Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction
While these two sides have had inconsistent runs this season, you can’t take away from them the entertainment this match comes with. That is largely depicted in the number of goals this match produces. Three times in the last five meetings, at least one of these teams scored three goals.
Coming into this game, they are both on fine scoring run and are confident too, off the back of recent big wins. In their scoring runs, our prediction for Bournemouth v Brighton will be for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Bournemouth vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
In four of Brighton’s last five league matches, both teams scored, and away from home in the league both teams scored in three. Meanwhile, Bournemouth kept one clean sheet in five home matches while failing to score in just one of the five.
As we expect these trends to continue, our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.
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Bournemouth vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Bournemouth v Brighton match will be played on Saturday 23 November.
The Bournemouth v Brighton match will be staged at the Vitality Stadium.
The Bournemouth v Brighton match will not be aired on any TV channels in the UK. You can follow the game on Sportytrader too via the Premier League livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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