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Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
10th-place Bournemouth host 11th-placed Brighton in Sunday afternoon’s early kick off in the Premier League. The two south coast teams have had conflicting fortunes over the course of the season. Bournemouth started the season slowly, but have had three excellent runs of good form which has propelled Andoni Iraola’s team into mid-table safety. Bournemouth have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine games, both defeats coming away from home. Only Liverpool and Manchester City have beaten Iraola’s team at their Vitality Stadium in their last 12 home games and they are unbeaten in five on home soil. The home side came into this game following a two-game trip to the Midlands that saw them lose 3-1 to Aston Villa last weekend, but then earn a fine 1-0 win away to Wolves in midweek.
Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton have struggled for form over the last few weeks. They have not won a game in five matches, losing three, although those three defeats have come against Liverpool, Arsenal and most recently a 4-0 home defeat to Manchester City on Thursday night. In between those two games the Seagulls have landed two draws away from home, a 0-0 at Brentford then a 1-1 draw away to Burnley. It is fair to point out that De Zerbi’s team have been decimated by injuries over recent times and that has certainly not helped them in any of their most recent performances. After a great start to the season, Brighton’s form has tailed off somewhat of late and with their four remaining games after this one against Aston Villa, Newcastle, Chelsea and Manchester United, things don’t get any easier for them.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 17 | 51 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.7 | 3 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.98 | 4.27 | 3.44 |
|
|
1.98 | 4.27 | 3.44 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.01 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.93 | 4.18 | 3.38 |
|
|
2 | 4.1 | 3.35 |
|
|
1 | 34 | 151 |
|
|
1.01 | 25 | 181 |
|
|
1 | 501 | 501 |
|
|
2 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.96 | 4.2 | 3.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Brighton?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2024 between Bournemouth and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.12% for a win of Bournemouth against Brighton with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Brighton is 25.34% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Bournemouth with odds of 501 at Betfair.
Bournemouth - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 50.12% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.33% | 2.88 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth | 22.56% | 6.1 at Unibet |
Bournemouth vs Brighton Form
Bournemouth and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
48 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -7 |
|
12
|
48 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | -13 |
Bournemouth and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
13 Mar 2024 - Premier League
9 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
Bournemouth vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
21 Jan 2020 - Premier League
28 Dec 2019 - Premier League
13 Apr 2019 - Premier League
Bournemouth against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Kerkez
ForwardL. Sinisterra
P. Estupinan
J. Van Hecke
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
ForwardE. Ferguson
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Brighton
D. Solanke
(20 Goals)
J. Pedro
(15 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
, 
R. Christie
(5 Assists)
P. Gross
(11 Assists)
Bournemouth - Brighton Key Points
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five games at the Vitality Stadium, winning three, drawing two.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 11 away games and that was against bottom side Sheffield United.
- The home side have won five, drawn two and lost just one of their eight home games against teams ranked lower than them in the Premier League table at present.
- 15 of Brighton’s 24 away goals came in just the first seven away games of the season. Since then, they have scored just nine goals in the next ten away games.
- Bournemouth have won five of the last seven home games they have played against Brighton.
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Our Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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