Botafogo vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Joseph King in Copa Libertadores Predictions
The second all-Brazilian matchup in the Copa Libertadores quarter-final sees Botafogo hosting Sao Paulo for this first leg match in Rio. Which team will get the early edge in this clash between Fogo and the Tricolor Paulista? Let’s get into the prediction.
Botafogo have given a good account of themselves in their first appearance back in the Libertadores since 2017. A win in this tie would match the club’s best ever finish in this competition which occurred in 1973.
After leading the Brazilian Serie A for much of last season, Botafogo ran out of steam late on to eventually finish fifth. They’ve done brilliantly to respond in this current campaign and are currently league leaders with roughly a third of the season remaining.
Botafogo come into this fixure in fine form with back-to-back wins and a six-match unbeaten run overall. Their last appearance saw them run out 2-1 winners at home over Corinthians, marking their fourth win in the last six games.
Botafogo claimed a huge scalp in the round of 16 when they knocked off 2020 and 2021 champions Palmeiras 4-3 on aggregate.
Sao Paulo have also performed well in the Copa Libertadores after a two-year absence. They topped their group with a 4-1-1 record before sealing a 2-0 aggregate win over Uruguayan club Nacional in the round of 16.
Sao Paulo are having a solid season domestically where they sit fifth in the Brasileiro Serie A. They were able to get back to winning ways at the weekend after they claimed a 1-0 away victory over Cruzeiro. The result put an end to Sao Paulo’s previous three-match winless run.
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The Best Betting Odds for Botafogo v SAO Paulo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.46 | 4.85 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.46 | 4.85 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.35 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.28 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.5 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.42 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Botafogo and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Botafogo vs SAO Paulo match is: Botafogo to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/09/2024 between Botafogo and SAO Paulo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.14% for a win of Botafogo against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.83 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botafogo vs SAO Paulo is 33.58% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.28% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Botafogo with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
Botafogo - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botafogo SAO Paulo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 47.14% | 1.83 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.42% | 1.99 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.5% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Botafogo | 29.47% | 4.33 at Ladbrokes |
Botafogo vs SAO Paulo Form
Botafogo and SAO Paulo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
Botafogo against SAO Paulo : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Oct 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Feb 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Botafogo against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Botafogo - SAO Paulo Key Points
- Botafogo have amassed a 13-1-4 home record across the league and Copa Libertadores this season.
- Sao Paulo have won just six of their 17 away matches in the league and Copa Libertadores.
- Botafogo have won their last three home matches against Sao Paulo, with the most recent finishing 2-1.
- The hosts are unbeaten in their last six with four wins.
- The visitors have just one win from their last four games.
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Our Botafogo vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Botafogo have had the leg up over Sao Paulo in their recent clashes at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Overall, Fogo have been excellent on their home soil this season which has been the foundation for their second title challenge in as many years.
Sao Paulo are much-improved this season with a quarter-final appearance in the Copa Libertadores to go along with their top four challenge in the league. This is sure to be a hotly-contested match but one that we ultimately see ending in victory for the hosts. Our Botafogo vs Sao Paulo prediction: Botafogo to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botafogo SAO Paulo
| Botafogo vs SAO Paulo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 1.9 | 1.7 | -10.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| SAO Paulo wins | 4 | 5.25 | +31.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Botafogo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 58.8% (6.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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