Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Undoubtedly one of the matchups of the Round of 16 at the Copa Libertadores will see Botafogo taking on Palmeiras, with the first leg set for Thursday morning. The winner of this tie will move on to face either Nacional or Sao Paulo in the quarter-final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After only managing fifth place in Brasileiro in 2023, Botafogo have been much improved this term, currently leading the league standings with 43 points after 22 matches.
Fogo also had a solid group stage in this competition, where they secured second place in a fiercely competitive Group D behind Atletico Junio with a record of three wins, one draw and two losses in their six matches.
However, despite all their good work this season, the hosts have not been at their absolute best in recent weeks. In their last six games, Botafogo have won just once, while drawing two and losing three.
Meanwhile, last season’s Brasileiro winners find themselves in fourth place after 22 matches, trailing their upcoming opponents by five points.
However, their Copa Libertadores record is excellent so far, as they are unbeaten in the competition having secured four wins and two draws en route to top spot in the group stage.
Verdão won two and drew one of their three away games in this competition, but they were beaten 1-0 by Fogo when they met in the league at this venue on July 18.
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The Best Betting Odds for Botafogo v Palmeiras Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.11 | 6.5 | 67 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 2.87 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.9 | 250 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.9 | 250 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.18 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.08 | 7.5 | 100 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.2 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Botafogo and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the Botafogo vs Palmeiras match is: Botafogo Wins or Draw!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2024 between Botafogo and Palmeiras in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.17% for a win of Botafogo against Palmeiras with odds of 2.47 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botafogo vs Palmeiras is 26.63% with odds of 10.9 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Botafogo with odds of 250 at 1xbet.
Botafogo - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botafogo Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 49.17% | 2.47 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.29% | 2.12 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Botafogo | 25.45% | 5.75 at Ladbrokes |
Botafogo vs Palmeiras Form
Botafogo and Palmeiras Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Botafogo against Palmeiras : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jun 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Oct 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Oct 2020 - Brasileirão Serie A
Botafogo against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Botafogo - Palmeiras Key Points
- Botafogo have only lost one of their last nine home games in all competitions.
- Botafogo won two of their three home games in the group stage of Copa Libertadores.
- Botafogo beat this opponent 1-0 at this venue in the league last month.
- Botafogo have only failed to score once in their last 25 home games in all competitions.
- Palmeiras are winless in their last seven away matches in all competitions.
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Our Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction
While Palmeiras have been the dominant side in this fixture in recent years, they have not been at their best in 2024, particularly on the road, where they have not won a match since June 18.
Botafogo have also had a few ups and downs in recent weeks, but they have maintained solid home form and we feel they will avoid defeat in this one. Our Botafogo vs Palmeiras prediction: Double Chance - Botafogo wins or Draw!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botafogo Palmeiras
| Botafogo vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 2.63 | 1.11 | -57.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 6.5 | +103.1% |
| Palmeiras wins | 2.6 | 67 | +2,476.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Botafogo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 57.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 90.1% (52.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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