Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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Botafogo vs Fortaleza Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
Matchday 25 in the Brasileirão Série A sees a top of the table clash as second-place Botafogo hosts league leaders Fortaleza. Let’s break down this potential title-deciding matchup between Fogão and Leão do Pici.
Botafogo could well be approaching this fixture as a must-win if they are to capture their first Brazilian top flight league title in nearly 30 years. They come into this game trailing Fortaleza by just a single point, although their opponents possess a game-in-hand advantage over them.
Defeat for Botafogo would see Fortaleza open up a four-point lead at the top of the standings, which could potentially be stretched to seven should they win their game in hand.
The hosts come into this fixture off the back of two consecutive away draws, the most recent of which finished 0-0 away to Bahia. The good news for Botafogo is that they won their last two home games: a 2-1 win over Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores and a 4-1 win over Flamengo in the league.
The visitors’ dream run continues as they have a legitimate shot at the league title despite finishing the prior campaign in 10th-place. Fortaleza have never captured the Brasileirão Série A title with their best ever results being a pair of second-place finishes in 1960 and 1968.
They come into this game riding an impressive 12-match unbeaten run, in which time they have racked up 10 wins and only two draws. Fortaleza ran out 1-0 winners at home over Corinthians in the team’s last outing, meaning they have now won six of their last seven overall.
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The Best Betting Odds for Botafogo v Fortaleza Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.05 | 11 | 151 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.21 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.21 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.98 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.98 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.65 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.7 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.65 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.1 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Botafogo and Fortaleza?
Our prediction for the Botafogo vs Fortaleza match is: Botafogo to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Botafogo and Fortaleza in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.99% for a win of Botafogo against Fortaleza with odds of 1.8 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botafogo vs Fortaleza is 30.62% with odds of 11 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Fortaleza vs Botafogo with odds of 151 at Bet365.
Botafogo - Fortaleza Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botafogo Fortaleza Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 36.99% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.41% | 2.09 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Botafogo | 18.86% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Botafogo vs Fortaleza Form
Botafogo and Fortaleza's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 26 |
|
3
|
63 | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
Botafogo and Fortaleza Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Botafogo vs Fortaleza Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Jun 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Sep 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 May 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Nov 2020 - Brasileirão Serie A
Players list
J. Victor
DefenderTche Tche
Bastos
A. Barboza
F. Marcal
MidfielderM. Freitas
Danilo Barbosa
Matheus Martins
T. Almada
ForwardT. Soares
I. Jesus
J. Ricardo
DefenderE. Britez
B. Kuscevic
F. Jonatan
B. Pacheco
MidfielderK. Andrade
P. Augusto
E. Martinez
ForwardBreno
Y. Pikachu
J. Lucero
Substitutes
Gatito Fernandez
DefenderL. Halter
Hugo
F. Marcal
Tche Tche
Kaue
Allan
Danilo Barbosa
O. Romero
ForwardCarlos Alberto
Matheus Martins
T. Soares
M. Kozlinski
DefenderE. Mancuso
Tinga
F. Jonatan
Titi
Y. Pikachu
Z. Welison
P. Augusto
I. Machuca
K. Andrade
E. Martinez
R. Kayzer
Most goals and assists
Botafogo
Fortaleza
Luiz Henrique
(10 Goals)
J. Lucero
(15 Goals)
J. Savarino
(9 Assists)
T. Pochettino
(10 Assists)
Botafogo - Fortaleza Key Points
- Fortaleza ranks 17th out of 20 when it comes to expected goal differential per 90 as the away side (-0.61).
- Botafogo is tied for the fifth best expected goal differential per 90 mark in the Brasileiro at +0.50.
- Botafogo has a stellar 6-1-1 record in their last eight home matches across all competitions.
- The visitors have a 4-3-3 away record (-4 goal differential) compared to their 10-3-0 home mark (+14 GD).
- Fortaleza are conceding more than three-times as many goals per match on the road (1.40) compared to at home (0.46).
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Our Botafogo vs Fortaleza Prediction
It’s been a fantastic season for Fortaleza so far but a look at the numbers tell us they are running above expectation. Should they eventually come back down to earth, they could start to see their results suffer.
Botafogo should be confident ahead of this fixture at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Their last two outings on home soil saw them defeat the two best clubs in the division in Palmeiras and Flamengo. We like them to carry over that momentum into Saturday’s game. Our Botafogo vs Fortaleza prediction: Botafogo to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botafogo Fortaleza
| Botafogo vs Fortaleza | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 1.85 | 1.05 | -43.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 11 | +205.6% |
| Fortaleza wins | 4.1 | 151 | +3,582.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Botafogo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 43.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 95.2% (41.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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