South America - Copa Libertadores
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Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Joseph King in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Botafogo and Peñarol will face off for the first leg of their semi-final clash in the 2024 Copa Libertadores on Wednesday. We’ve got a prediction ready for this high-stakes match between Fogo and Los Carboneros!
It’s a historic season for Botafogo as they have made the final four of the Copa Libertadores for the first time since the 1962/63 season. Not only that, but they’re also currently sitting atop the Brasileiro Serie A with eight matches remaining as they seek their first league title in 29 years.
Artur Jorge’s men held their nerve in the previous round as they edged past fellow Brazilian club São Paulo on penalties after a 1-1 aggregate scoreline.
Botafogo drew 1-1 at home against Criciúma last Friday which marked the third stalemate in their last four outings. While they’ve frustratingly been unable to scoop the full three points, the positive is that Fogo are unbeaten in their last 12 consecutive outings.
Their opponents Peñarol are seeking their sixth Copa Libertadores crown after last hoisting the trophy in 1987. The Uruguayans were extremely impressive against Flamengo in the quarter-final, successfully blanking the Brazilian goliaths in both legs to secure a 1-0 aggregate victory.
Last time out, Peñarol secured a 2-0 home win over Boston River to claim their third straight victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for Botafogo v CA Penarol Montevideo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.56 | 9.12 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.56 | 9.12 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.7 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.5 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.34 | 8.3 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.4 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.7 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.33 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.35 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.6 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.35 | 4 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Botafogo and CA Penarol Montevideo?
Our prediction for the Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo match is: Botafogo to win and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2024 between Botafogo and CA Penarol Montevideo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.02% for a win of Botafogo against CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 1.44 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo is 25.03% with odds of 4.7 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.95% chance ⭐ for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo vs Botafogo with odds of 10.5 at Betobet.
Botafogo - CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botafogo CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 47.02% | 1.44 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.86% | 2.3 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.1% | 2.51 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Botafogo | 21.68% | 4.2 at Unibet |
Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo Form
Botafogo and CA Penarol Montevideo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
16 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
11 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
6 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
30 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
26 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
11 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
30 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
26 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
17 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
6 Oct 2024 - Primera Division
22 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
19 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
7 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
Botafogo against CA Penarol Montevideo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Botafogo
CA Penarol Montevideo
Luiz Henrique
(10 Goals)
L. Fernandez
(18 Goals)
J. Savarino
(9 Assists)
L. Fernandez
(6 Assists)
Botafogo - CA Penarol Montevideo Key Points
- Botafogo have won five of their seven home matches in the 2024 Copa Libertadores.
- The hosts are unbeaten in their last 12 across all competitions.
- 17 of the last 20 Copa Libertadores semi-final first legs have finished with under 3.5 goals.
- 19 of Botafogo’s last 21 victories this season have been accompanied by under 3.5 goals.
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Our Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction
A fascinating fixture awaits in Rio de Janeiro with the winner of this tie moving on to face either River Plate or Atletico Mineiro in the final. Backing Botafogo straight up is a bit too steep of a price to recommend. However, adding in under 3.5 goals makes this very playable in our eyes.
This bet covers a Botafogo win by scorelines of either: 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 2-1. With there sure to be some nerves at play in the first leg, we don’t anticipate this being a very high-scoring fixture. Our Botafogo vs Peñarol prediction: Botafogo to win and under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botafogo CA Penarol Montevideo
| Botafogo vs CA Penarol Montevideo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 1.5 | 1.38 | -8.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.5 | +25.0% |
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 8 | 8.5 | +6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Botafogo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 72.5% (5.8%)
Use £50 free bets for the Botafogo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo game!
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The minimum odds on your bet on the Botafogo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo need to be at least 2.0 (1/1) to qualify for this bonus.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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