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Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Home matches have this season elicited excitement among Borussia Dortmund faithful. The BVB have a second straight fixture at home when they resume Champions League action on Match Day 4, against Austrian champions Sturm Graz. This match pits two sides on opposite ends in the Champions League standings. In our preview, we will break down the stats and get to offer two predictions for the match.
Borussia Dortmund have made the Signal Iduna Park a fortress this season, which explains the excitement of a second straight game at the venue. They are coming from a win against Leipzig at home and will want to ride on this momentum in midweek. The leading scorers in the Champions League will also want to improve on their defeat in the last game in the competition.
Sturm Graz, on their part, will be targeting a first win in the Champions League this season. This will be the first time in 19 years that they face a German team in Europe since meeting Wolfsburg in 2005.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Sturm Graz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.95 | 14.6 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.95 | 14.6 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.5 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.9 | 15 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.9 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 8 | 14 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.3 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 8.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.5 | 14 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.3 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.19 | 8 | 15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz match is: Borussia Dortmund to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/11/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.16% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.22 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz is 9.93% with odds of 8.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 15 at Betwinner.
Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Sturm Graz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 59.16% | 1.22 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.06% | 1.38 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 80.95% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund | 22.03% | 4.5 at Unibet |
Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Form
Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
|
29
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
27 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
25 Sep 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
28 Aug 2024 - ÖFB Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund will be out to extend their impressive home form when they host Austrian champions Sturm Graz. Last year’s finalists, Dortmund opened their current campaign with back-to-back wins.
However, on Match Day 3, they were thumped by Real Madrid in a repeat of last season’s final. That 5-2 defeat in Spain was really sobering and Dortmund went on to lose two more matches before returning to winning ways.
Here they come very confident after ending Leipzig’s unbeaten start in the Bundesliga with a 2-1 win. They will be seeking a 10th straight home win.
Facing German clubs, Sturm Graz lost six times in eight matches.
Sturm Graz are struggling in Europe, as they go into their first match against German opposition in 19 years. They are one of the six teams yet to earn a point in the Champions League.
After losses to Brest, Club Brugge and Sporting Lisbon, this isn’t a match that offers many guarantees for the Austrians. They only have one goal to show from their opening three league phase matches.
As they are relatively inexperienced in this competition compared to Dortmund, their place as underdogs is clear. This is only the fourth time they play in the Champions League proper.
In the Austrian Bundesliga, Sturm Graz kept their three-point lead intact as they drew 1-1 with second placed Austria Vienna on Saturday.
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Borussia Dortmund against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Missing players
N. Sule
Borussia Dortmund & Sturm Graz Squad Analysis
The hosts are dealing with a lengthy injury list though this is not viewed as a reason they could struggle at home. They are without Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson, Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Yan Couto, Karim Adeyemi, Julien Duranville and Giovanni Reyna.
It is not all gloomy though; new signing Sehrou Guirassy has been in excellent form. His tally of 13 goals in 12 matches for club and country means he has capacity to influence this game.
Guirassy grabbed the winner in the last match, against Leipzig. He is one of three Dortmund players on three goals in the Champions League. Adeyemi and Jamie Glittens are the others.
Dortmund are the leading scorers in the Champions League; three of their players are on three goals each.
At Sturm Graz, two injuries have been reported ahead of this game. Gregory Wuthrich is not yet back since being withdrawn after 10 minutes of their Match Day 1 clash with Brest.
A few days later, Wuthrich was joined in the infirmary by Jon Gorenc Stankovic, with an almost similar hand injury. Stankovic, who has three assists this season, is nursing a forearm fracture and would have loved to feature against his former club but this game comes too soon.
Former Arsenal man Mika Biereth is having a good season, scoring nine times so far in all competitions. He will be the Sturm Graz focal person in their search for a first win in the league phase.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Sturm Graz
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
P. Gross
(6 Assists)
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
,
W. Boving Vick
(3 Assists)
,
M. Biereth
(3 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Dortmund’s five Champions League home matches.
- In four of Sturm Graz’s last six Champions League matches, both teams scored.
- Borussia Dortmund won their last four Champions League matches at home.
- Borussia Dortmund have nine straight home wins across all competitions.
- Sturm Graz are winless in nine away matches in the Champions League.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Borussia Dortmund carry into this game the heavy favorites’ tag and will be confident of going through unscathed. Their home form is great, as they come into this match with nine straight wins at their backyard.
In the Champions League, they also won all their last four home matches. The one area Dortmund have struggled in is defence. They may be sure to score at some point at home but we can’t bet on Nuri Sahin’s team keeping a clean sheet. Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund v Sturm Graz match is for Dortmund to win and both teams to score.
Prediction :
Borussia Dortmund to win and both teams to score
Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
There is a high chance these two teams will score a combined tally of three or more goals, going by their recent returns in attack. Twice in Dortmund’s last five home matches, they conceded two goals. Meanwhile, in each of their last eight, they scored at least twice.
As for Sturm Graz, four of their last six Champions League matches had at least three goals scored. Our second prediction for this match would be for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Sturm Graz
| Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.18 | 1.2 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 8 | 7 | -12.5% |
| Sturm Graz wins | 12 | 12 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 83.3% (-1.4%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz match : Frequently asked questions
The Borussia Dortmund v Sturm Graz match is scheduled for play on Tuesday 5th November.
The Borussia Dortmund v Sturm Graz match will be played at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund.
Belgian official Erik Lambrechts has been named the center referee for the Borussia Dortmund v Sturm Graz match. He will be assisted by Jo de Weirdt and Kevin Monteny while Nathan Verboomen will be the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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