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Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Borussia Dortmund continue to struggle in the German Bundesliga but not the Champions League. They are home to Sporting in the second leg of this Knockout Play-off round and lead 3-0 from the away first leg. Can Sporting get back into this tie? Read our match prediction.
The winners of this tie go into the last 16 and will play Aston Villa or Lille. Dortmund are 11th in the German Bundesliga and may well have to win this season's Champions League to be playing in it next season. Just why the Black and Yellow can't produce the goods in their domestic league is one of the mysteries of this season.
Sporting have it all to do to get through to the last 16. The Green and Whites top the Primeira League but coming back from 3-0 down and having to travel to Dortmund is a massively difficult task for them. Can the Lions roar on Wednesday?
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.07 | 5.03 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.07 | 5.03 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.12 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.12 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.06 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.2 | 4.45 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Borussia Dortmund to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Sporting Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.32% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 1.76 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon is 31.64% with odds of 4.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 5.03 at 1xbet.
Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 38.32% | 1.76 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.63% | 1.82 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 13.68% | 2.72 at Betsson |
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Borussia Dortmund and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
0 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
24 Nov 2021 - Champions League
28 Sep 2021 - Champions League
2 Nov 2016 - Champions League
18 Oct 2016 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund have won five games in this season's Champions League. That's only three fewer than they have managed to win in the German Bundesliga where they lost 2-0 at Bochum on Sunday.
The Prussians finished tenth in the league phase of this competition, missing out on a top eight position by one point. Home form was impressive with three out of four matches being won, the other a 3-2 loss to Barcelona. 13 goals were scored in their four matches, seven against Celtic.
Sporting are also struggling for form.
Sporting lead the Primeria League by a couple of points. They are not in the best of form though and on Sunday only drew 2-2 at home to Arouca. Only one of their last five games has been won and that was a home victory over 17th-placed Farense.
On the road, Sporting have only won one of their last seven matches. In the Champions League, they earned four away points in the league phase and have lost their last two.
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Borussia Dortmund against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
F. Mane
MidfielderF. Nmecha
Borussia Dortmund & Sporting Lisbon Squad Analysis
It'll be one of the most amazing comebacks in Champions League history if Sporting can reach the last 16. Losing 3-0 at home to Dortmund last week was a disaster for the Portuguese side who held Dortmund to 0-0 for the first sixty minutes.
Who scores the first goal in this second leg is going to be vital. Sporting daren't go 1-0 down (4-0 on aggregate) but they'll need to stop Serhou Guirassy. He's scored seven goals in Dortmund's last five Champions League games.
Dortmund are likely to be without Ramy Bensebaini but Carney Chukwuemeka could make his return.
Sporting's strikers need to find their form.
Sporting need to rediscover the form that saw them beat Manchester City 4-1 last November. Since then though, the Lions have only scored four goals in five Champions League fixtures. Viktor Gyokeres has scored 6 goals this season in the Champions League, but his absence due to muscular fatigue is a real setback for the Portuguese.
19-year-old Conrad Harder has been scoring of late and will be a key player for Sporting. They will be without Pedro Goncalves, Francisco Trincao, Nuno Santos, Hidemasa Morita, Jerry St. Juste, Geny Catamo and Daniel Braganca, so this really is an uphill task for them.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lisbon
V. Gyokeres
(30 Goals)
J. Brandt
(9 Assists)
F. Trincao
(10 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Dortmund won the first leg 3-0.
- Sporting have only won one of their last seven away games.
- Sporting have lost their last two Champions League away matches.
- Dortmund won three of their four home games in the league phase.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
It'll be an amazing comeback if Sporting can get back into this tie. They trail 3-0 from the first leg but certainly didn't expect that to be so when the game was 0-0 until the 60th minute. Five of their last eight away games have seen them concede at least twice which isn't promising.
Dortmund probably wish they could play in the Champions League all the time. Their form in this competition is far better than in the German Bundesliga. Our main Borussia Dortmund v Sporting prediction is Borussia Dortmund to win.
Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Serhou Guirassy to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Sporting Lisbon
| Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.9 | 1.73 | -8.9% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 3.8 | 4.5 | +18.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 57.8% (5.2%)
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Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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