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Europe - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

01 May 2024 15:00

PSG

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Prediction published on 01/05/2024, 08:00 by Ian John | Modified on 01/05/2024 at 08:03 in Champions League Predictions

The second Champions League semi-final first leg tie this week takes place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, where hosts Borussia renew rivalries with Paris St. Germain. This will be the seventh fixture between the two teams in this competition, including two matches in the Group Stages of this year's tournament. PSG won the opening game of the group 2-0 in Paris, but by matchday six, the French side needed to avoid defeat to stay in the competition in the return game in Dortmund. They achieved that earning a 1-1 draw - a result that saw Milan drop into third place in the Group F table. Games between the two teams in previous seasons have generally been very close and this two-legged semi-final will likely be no different. A place in the final at Wembley on 1st June awaits the winner where they will face the victor of the other semi-final; Bayern Munich or Real Madrid.

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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v PSG Match

1	X	2
1.05	11	251
2.87	3.6	2.25
3	3.75	2.15
2.87	3.72	2.52
2.87	3.72	2.52
2.95	3.58	2.3
2.95	3.58	2.3
2.8	3.7	2.42
2.77	3.58	2.42
2.85	3.75	2.37
1.01	21	251
3.05	3.75	2.4
2.8	3.6	2.4
2.88	3.8	2.35
2.7	3.6	2.4
2.93	3.72	2.43

Check all Borussia Dortmund vs PSG odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and PSG?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/05/2024 between Borussia Dortmund and PSG in Champions League :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.68% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against PSG with odds of 3.05 at Unibet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs PSG is 19.41% with odds of 21 at Betway.
Our prediction model gives a 52.92% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 251 at Bet365.

Borussia Dortmund - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:

Borussia Dortmund PSG Prediction	Probability	Odds
PSG wins	52.92%	251 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals	56.31%	10 at Betway
Both Team To Score	68.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG	26.52%	6.75 at Unibet

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Form

Borussia Dortmund and PSG Last Matches

Borussia Dortmund Last matches

All Home Away

L L W W D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Atletico Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach

1 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid

2 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 1

Stuttgart

L W W L W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Atletico Madrid

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

0 : 1

Stuttgart

17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

3 : 1

Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

PSV Eindhoven

25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 3

Hoffenheim

W W W L W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach

1 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid

2 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

0 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

1 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin

0 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

PSG Last matches

All Home Away

D L W W W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals

100% BTTS

3 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 3

Le Havre

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient

1 : 4

PSG

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 1

Lyon

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona

1 : 4

PSG

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 3

Barcelona

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

1 : 1

Clermont

W W D L W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.33 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 3

Le Havre

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 1

Lyon

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 3

Barcelona

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

1 : 1

Clermont

3 Apr 2024 - French Cup

PSG

1 : 0

Rennes

13 Mar 2024 - French Cup

PSG

3 : 1

Nice

D W W W W W

Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

3 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient

1 : 4

PSG

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona

1 : 4

PSG

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille

0 : 2

PSG

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc

2 : 6

PSG

5 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Real Sociedad

1 : 2

PSG

1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Monaco

0 : 0

PSG

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

25 %

Draw

25 %

PSG

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.25

Total goals

50%

BTTS

0.75

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.5

Goals scored (Team 2)

25%

Over 2.5

75%

Under 2.5

13 Dec 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

PSG

19 Sep 2023 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

11 Mar 2020 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

18 Feb 2020 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 1

PSG

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Borussia Dortmund - PSG: Form Analysis

Borussia Dortmund come into this game with a record of five wins, three draws and two defeats in the Champions League this season. They have scored 15 goals in the process, conceding nine. Drawn into a very tough Group F along with Paris St. Germain, AC Milan and Newcastle, Dortmund picked up just one point from their opening two games before winning three in a row and drawing with PSG to finish top of the group. Wins over PSV (3-1 on aggregate) and Atletico Madrid (5-4 on aggregate) earned them a shot at the French champions in the semi-final. They did not have the best form leading into the game as they were well-beaten 4-1 by RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga at the weekend.

Paris St. Germain have a very similar record to their opponents in the Champions League this season. They won two, drew two and lost two of their six Group F games, finishing second in the group behind Dortmund. They then dispatched two Spanish teams on their way to the semi-finals. First Real Sociedad were defeated in the round of 16, as PSG won both legs for a 4-1 aggregate win. Next up was Barcelona and despite losing the home leg 3-2, they thrashed the Catalans 4-1 away from home in the second leg with arguably their best-ever Champions League performance. The Parisians have scored 19 goals in their 10 games in the Champions League, conceding 13. Strangely, their three defeats in their 10 Champions League games are two more than they have endured in Ligue 1 this season. PSG were held 3-3 by Le Havre at the weekend, needing two late goals to avoid a rare defeat.

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Borussia Dortmund against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

G. Kobel

J. Ryerson

M. Hummels

N. Schlotterbeck

I. Maatsen

E. Can

M. Sabitzer

K. Adeyemi

J. Brandt

J. Sancho

N. Fullkrug

B. Barcola

K. Mbappe

O. Dembele

F. Ruiz

Vitinha

W. Zaire-Emery

N. Mendes

L. Hernandez

Marquinhos

A. Hakimi

G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund

Defender

R. Bensebaini

Forward

J. Duranville

PSG

Defender

P. Kimpembe

Borussia Dortmund & PSG Squad Analysis

Borussia Dortmund manager Eden Terzic will be without four players for the semi-final first leg, all due to injury. Young midfielder Abdoulaye Kamara is sidelined and not expected to return this season, while winger Donyell Malen (knee) and Sebastian Haller (ankle) are both absent with their injuries with no return date set for either player. Left-back Ramy Bensebaini will miss the two semi-final ties but could be fit to feature in the final, should the German side reach it. On-loan winger Jadon Sancho has been in good form for Dortmund of late along with his companion on the opposite wing Julian Brandt.

Paris St. Germain manager Luis Enrique will be without two players for the semi-final. Goalkeeper Sergio Rico is still not fit to play, while defender Presnel Kimpembe has been out for over a year with an Achilles tendon injury that is still not fully healed. PSG will also be wary that two of their star players, striker Kylian Mbappe and young midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery are both just one booking away from missing the second leg. Mbappe has scored 43 goals in 44 games this season for PSG, adding ten assists.

Most goals and assists

Borussia Dortmund

PSG

Top Goalscorer

N. Fullkrug (15 Goals) ,

D. Malen (15 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

K. Mbappe (35 Goals)

Best assists

J. Brandt (14 Assists)

Best assists

O. Dembele (9 Assists)

Borussia Dortmund - PSG Key Points

Borussia Dortmund have won just two of their last six games in all competitions (drawn one, lost three).
Paris St Germain are unbeaten in their last three away Champions League matches, scoring seven goals in those games, conceding just three.
Dortmund have conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, conceding at least once in all those games.
Paris St Germain are unbeaten in their last 15 away games in all competitions, winning 12 and drawing three.
PSG scored home and away when the teams met earlier this season in the group stages, winning 2-0 at home and drawing 1-1 away.

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Our Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction

A massive semi-final double-header in the Champions League awaits Borussia Dortmund and PSG who will be facing each other for the third and fourth time. Dortmund were superb at home beating Atletico Madrid in the last round, but Paris St. Germain were exceptional when beating Barcelona 4-1 on the road. It was the kind of performance that will certainly make teams sit up and take notice. The French champions had the better of the two games between the two in the group stages and also have the better form of late, especially away from home. So our Borussia Dortmund v Paris St. Germain prediction is for a narrow win for the away team.

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions

Kylian Mbappe (Paris St. Germain) to score at any time

Odds 2.1

The mercurial French superstar may be in the final couple of months as a PSG player if rumours are correct. He has amassed 43 goals in 44 games this season, many of which he has only played for an hour or so, which is a stunning return. Mbappe always turns up in the big games for PSG and was deadly against Barcelona away from home in the last round. Our second prediction is no surprise as we are backing Kylian Mbappe to score at any time.

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Paris St. Germain to win and Both Teams to Score

Odds 3.75

Dortmund have not had the best of form over their last six games, but both teams have scored in all those matches. The same is true for Paris St. Germain's last six games too, but the Parisians form is much better. Semi-finals can be tight affairs, but both these teams forte is attacking football and away from home PSG have been devastating. Our third prediction carries on from our tip to back them to win and is for PSG to win the game and for both teams to score.

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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions

Borussia Dortmund have faced Paris St. Germain a total of six times in European competition, with all matches taking place in the Champions League.

Paris St. Germain have won two of those games, Dortmund just one with three matches drawn.

PSG have also scored more goals in the fixture, netting seven times in total to Dortmund's four.

The teams put in the Group Stages earlier this season. Paris St. Germain were 2-0 winners at the Parc des Princes in the first game in Group F. The second game saw the two teams draw 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park on Matchday Six. A win for Dortmund in that game would have eliminated PSG from the tournament.

The first leg of the Champions League semi-final between Borussia Dortmund and Paris St. Germain takes place at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday 1st May. Kick off is 8pm UK Time.

The second leg takes place on Tuesday 7th May, kicking off at 8pm from the Parc des Princes in Paris.

The winners progress to face either Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the final at Wembley on the 1st June, kick off 8pm.

Customers in the UK can watch this Champions League semi-final first leg tie live on TNT Sport.

Additionally, for detailed statistics and real-time data updates you can catch all the action from the game by following Sportytrader's Champions League Live page!

Yes, a total of five players have played for both Dortmund and PSG in their careers, three of whom could feature in this semi-final clash between the two.

Two former stars that won't be involved are retired defender Christian Worns, who played for Dortmund for nine seasons and the PSG for one. Abdou Diallo, the Senegalese central defender played for Dortmund in 2018/19 before spending four years with PSG from 2019 to 2023 before making a switch to Al-Arabi in Qatar.

Three players could line up against their former team in this game. PSG Stars Achraf Hakimi and Ousmane Dembele are both former Dortmund players, while the German team can call on Belgian defender Thomas Meunier, who signed for the team from PSG back in the summer of 2020.

Thomas Tuchel has managed both clubs in his career, and is now the manager of Bayern Munich, who are competing in the other semi-final.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.