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Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
Borussia Dortmund are eyeing another deep run in the Champions League after reaching last year’s final. First, the German will be welcoming French side Lille for the opening leg of their round of 16 clash this Tuesday. Read on for our preview and two predictions on the possible outcomes of this match.
Borussia Dortmund had to go through the knockout round play-offs to get to the last 16. That was after finishing 10th in the league phase. They eased past Portuguese giants Sporting Lisbon with a 3-0 aggregate win. The home leg of that tie ended goalless but Dortmund had already done the needful. That earned them a seventh last 16 appearance in nine Champions League seasons.
Lille are having a solid season so far. In the league phase they did well to advance automatically. They finished seventh and will be contesting in the last 16 for the third time. The French side will be attempting to win a Champions League knockout tie for the first time. At the end of this two-legged tie, the winner will face either Benfica or Barcelona in the quarter-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
2 | 2.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.14 | 5.06 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.14 | 5.06 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.06 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.06 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.06 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.95 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.9 | 5.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Lille?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Lille match is: Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Lille in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.26% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Lille with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Lille is 29.82% with odds of 4.14 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 5.1 at Unibet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Form
Borussia Dortmund and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
Borussia Dortmund - Lille: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund will head into this game as the stronger side and history favors them too. The Germans are one-time European champions and two-time finalists.
Their latest appearance in the final was last season as they lost to Real Madrid. Despite their milestones in the Champions League, this round has borne some pain for the team.
Three times in their last six Champions League campaigns, Dortmund were eliminated at this stage. Coming into this game though, Niko Kovac’s side will be looking to build on an impressive recent run.
They are straight from a 2-0 win at St. Pauli in the Bundesliga, their third straight clean sheet. In the Champions League also, they haven't lost in three matches.
Lille are playing Dortmund for the first time in the Champions League.
The past few weeks have been heavy for Lille. They are coming from a 4-1 loss at PSG. Before that, they had beaten Monaco at home, and now they are traveling to Dortmund.
With a run of three wins in four Champions League matches, Lille will feel they can pull off a first leg win to take control of this tie.
Their away run in the competition isn’t great though; the 2-1 loss to Liverpool was the third in five Champions League matches. Generally, Lille are struggling away from home, winning three of their last 10 across all competitions.
The only previous meetings Lille had with Dortmund were in the Europa League over 20 years ago; both legs ended in draws.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Lille last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
F. Nmecha
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
ForwardE. Zhegrova
Borussia Dortmund & Lille Squad Analysis
Borussia Dortmund is home to the Champions League's leading scorer, Serhou Guirassy. The forward has 10 goals so far and will be a key threat to Lille, especially as he’s been in great shape.
Across the last five matches, Guirassy scored six times. So far this season, the Guinean has 24 goals across all competitions.
His precision in the Champions League is amazing, with 28 shots, and 71% of them on target. Guirassy will go into this game carrying an expected goals return of 8.06.
Guirassy and David will be on show here.
Jonathan David will lead the line for Lille and he also has impressive numbers in attack. He was afforded some rest in the weekend match against PSG, only introduced in the second half.
Still, the Canadian managed to score, albeit only a consolation with the team trailing by four goals. That was his 21st goal of the season and we expect that he will be starting this game, which offers Lille a proven attacking threat.
In the Champions League proper, David has six goals, while he scored three more in the qualifiers. His expected goals return is 3.95 and has a 56% success rate with shots.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Lille
J. David
(19 Goals)
P. Gross
(11 Assists)
J. David
(4 Assists)
, 
O. Sahraoui
(4 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund and Lille Stats in Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Lille Key Points
- Away from home in seven Champions League matches, Lille suffered four defeats.
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last three Champions League games.
- Dortmund only lost once in 16 Champions League matches at home.
- Dortmund are coming from two straight wins.
- Lille lost three of their last four away matches.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Lille Prediction
Lille have been disappointing in their recent matches, and especially when playing away from home. This will be a tough encounter for the French side and four losses in seven away Champions League games isn’t a run to be proud of.
While they’ve been great in attack, led by Jonathan David, at the back Lille have been porous. This will not be great, as they face the competition’s leading scorer. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Lille is that Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Borussia Dortmund vs Lille - Other Interesting Predictions
Serhou Guirassy to score anytime
This match has been billed a battle of the attackers, with Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy placed head-to-head with Jonathan David. If we were to pick anytime goal scorer, it would be Guirassy.
He comes to this game having scored six times in the last five matches and is the competition’s top scorer. David, on the other hand, has one goal in five matches. Our second prediction is for Serhou Guirassy to score anytime.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Borussia Dortmund vs. Lille game!
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Borussia Dortmund vs Lille match : Frequently asked questions
The Borussia Dortmund v Lille match will be played on Tuesday 4th March.
The Borussia Dortmund v Lille match will be played at the Signal Iduna Park.
Borussia Dortmund v Lille will be aired on TV. Followers from Germany can watch the game on DAZN and Amazon Prime. If following from France, Canal+ will air the match. There’s also the option of following the match on SportyTrader through UEFA Champions League livescores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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